Optimal investment in learning-curve technologies
AbstractWe study optimal investment in technologies characterized by the learning curve. There are two investment patterns depending on the shape of the learning curve. If the learning process is slow, firms invest relatively late and on a larger scale. If the curve is steep, firms invest earlier and on a smaller scale. We further demonstrate that learning investment differs greatly from investment in technologies without learning effects. Learning investments generate substantial initial losses and are very sensitive to downside risk. We show that the most susceptible to losses and risk are technologies with intermediate speed of learning.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
Volume (Year): 36 (2012)
Issue (Month): 10 ()
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jedc
Learning-curve technology; Investment timing; Investment size; Real options;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
- D92 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice and Growth, Financing, Investment, and Capacity
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