IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v26y2020i8p1311-1326.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tourist arrivals versus tourist expenditures in modelling tourism demand

Author

Listed:
  • Jaume Rosselló-Nadal

    (16745Universitat de les Illes Balears, Spain; Griffith University, Australia; University of California, USA)

  • Jianan HE

    (16745Universitat de les Illes Balears, Spain)

Abstract

In empirical research, aggregate tourist arrivals and tourist expenditures are often indistinctly used as measures of tourism demand, depending on the aim of the analysis or, simply, on the availability of data. However, when a literature review was conducted, we found differences in the estimated elasticities, accordingly to the measure that was used. This article investigates these two measures, exploring the theoretical link between them in the context of tourism demand modelling at a destination level. Having established the theoretical connection between the two variables with implications on the estimated elasticities, we estimate tourism demand models using international arrivals and tourist expenditures for 191 countries from 1998 to 2016, providing evidence for the theoretical connection. Our results show that when both tourist demand measures are used, the estimated elasticities may differ.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaume Rosselló-Nadal & Jianan HE, 2020. "Tourist arrivals versus tourist expenditures in modelling tourism demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1311-1326, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:26:y:2020:i:8:p:1311-1326
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816619867810
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1354816619867810
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1354816619867810?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lindsay W. Turner & Stephen F. Witt, 2001. "Factors Influencing Demand for International Tourism: Tourism Demand Analysis Using Structural Equation Modelling, Revisited," Tourism Economics, , vol. 7(1), pages 21-38, March.
    2. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    3. Fourie, Johan & Santana-Gallego, María, 2011. "The impact of mega-sport events on tourist arrivals," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1364-1370.
    4. Fourie, Johan & Santana-Gallego, María, 2013. "Ethnic reunion and cultural affinity," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 411-420.
    5. K. E. McConnell, 1992. "On-Site Time in the Demand for Recreation," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 74(4), pages 918-925.
    6. Witt, Stephen F. & Witt, Christine A., 1995. "Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 447-475, September.
    7. Haiyan Song & Gang Li & Stephen F. Witt & Baogang Fei, 2010. "Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: How Should Demand Be Measured?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(1), pages 63-81, March.
    8. Yener Kandogan, 2008. "Consistent Estimates of Regional Blocs' Trade Effects," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(2), pages 301-314, May.
    9. Peng, Bo & Song, Haiyan & Crouch, Geoffrey I., 2014. "A meta-analysis of international tourism demand forecasting and implications for practice," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 181-193.
    10. Clive L. Morley, 1995. "Tourism Demand: Characteristics, Segmentation and Aggregation," Tourism Economics, , vol. 1(4), pages 315-328, December.
    11. Eymann, Angelika & Ronning, Gerd, 1997. "Microeconometric models of tourists' destination choice," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 735-761, November.
    12. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Scuderi, Raffaele, 2012. "Determinants of tourist expenditure: a review of microeconometric models," MPRA Paper 38468, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Angel Bujosa & Jaume Rosselló, 2013. "Climate change and summer mass tourism: the case of Spanish domestic tourism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(1), pages 363-375, March.
    14. Dogru, Tarik & Sirakaya-Turk, Ercan & Crouch, Geoffrey I., 2017. "Remodeling international tourism demand: Old theory and new evidence," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 47-55.
    15. Paul Downward & Les Lumsdon, 2000. "The Demand for Day-Visits: An Analysis of Visitor Spending," Tourism Economics, , vol. 6(3), pages 251-261, September.
    16. Paul Downward & Les Lumsdon, 2003. "Beyond the Demand for Day-Visits: An Analysis of Visitor Spending," Tourism Economics, , vol. 9(1), pages 67-76, March.
    17. Nada Kulendran & Sarath Divisekera, 2007. "Measuring the Economic Impact of Australian Tourism Marketing Expenditure," Tourism Economics, , vol. 13(2), pages 261-274, June.
    18. Crouch, Geoffrey I., 1996. "Demand elasticities in international marketing : A meta-analytical application to tourism," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 117-136, June.
    19. Christine Lim, 1997. "An Econometric Classification and Review of International Tourism Demand Models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 3(1), pages 69-81, March.
    20. Jaume Rosselló & Maria Santana-Gallego, 2014. "Recent trends in international tourist climate preferences: a revised picture for climatic change scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 119-132, May.
    21. Seán Lyons & Karen Mayor & Richard S.J. Tol, 2007. "Holiday Destinations: Understanding the Travel Choices of Irish," Papers WP210, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alina-Petronela Haller & Georgia-Daniela Tacu Hârșan, 2023. "Longitudinal Analysis of Sustainable Tourism Potential of the Black Sea Riparian States Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-24, February.
    2. Burak Darici & Ahmet Aydin & Fatih Ayhan & Merve Altaylar, 2023. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Tourism Demand Toward Emerging Markets," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(73-2), pages 837-864, December.
    3. Simplice A. Asongu & Mushfiqur Rahman & Richard Adu-Gyamfi & Raufhon Salahodjaev, 2022. "Tourism management synergies in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 22/059, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    4. Mauri, Chiara & Nava, Consuelo R., 2021. "Do tourists experience boredom in mountain destinations?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jaume Rosselló Nadal & María Santana Gallego, 2022. "Gravity models for tourism demand modeling: Empirical review and outlook," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1358-1409, December.
    2. Morley, Clive & Rosselló, Jaume & Santana-Gallego, Maria, 2014. "Gravity models for tourism demand: theory and use," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-10.
    3. Davide Provenzano, 2020. "The migration–tourism nexus in the EU28," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1374-1393, December.
    4. Johan Fourie & Jaume Rosselló & Maria Santana-Gallego, 2015. "Religion, Religious Diversity and Tourism," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(1), pages 51-64, February.
    5. Silvia Emili & Paolo Figini & Andrea Guizzardi, 2020. "Modelling international monthly tourism demand at the micro destination level with climate indicators and web-traffic data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1129-1151, November.
    6. Jong, Meng-Chang & Hong, Puah & Arip, Mohammad Affendy, 2020. "Modelling Tourism Demand: An Augmented Gravity Model," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 54(2), pages 105-112.
    7. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
    8. Ashrafi Tannaz Alizadeh & Myrland Øystein, 2017. "Determinants of trip duration for international tourists in Norway; a parametric survival analysis," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 75-86, May.
    9. Tarik Dogru & Umit Bulut & Ercan Sirakaya-Turk, 2021. "Modeling tourism demand: Theoretical and empirical considerations for future research," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 874-889, June.
    10. Dogru, Tarik & Sirakaya-Turk, Ercan & Crouch, Geoffrey I., 2017. "Remodeling international tourism demand: Old theory and new evidence," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 47-55.
    11. Nikeel Kumar & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar, 2020. "Relationship between ICT and international tourism demand: A study of major tourist destinations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(6), pages 908-925, September.
    12. Giovanni De Luca & Monica Rosciano, 2020. "Quantile Dependence in Tourism Demand Time Series: Evidence in the Southern Italy Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, April.
    13. Helena Nemec Rudez, 2018. "The Relationship between Income and Tourism Demand: Old Findings and New Research," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 11(1), pages 67-73.
    14. Fourie, Johan & Santana-Gallego, María, 2013. "Ethnic reunion and cultural affinity," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 411-420.
    15. Groizard, José Luis & Marques, Helena & Santana, María, 2014. "Islands in trade: Disentangling distance from border effects," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 8, pages 1-46.
    16. Wolfram Höpken & Tobias Eberle & Matthias Fuchs & Maria Lexhagen, 2019. "Google Trends data for analysing tourists’ online search behaviour and improving demand forecasting: the case of Åre, Sweden," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 45-62, March.
    17. Jaume Rosselló & Maria Santana-Gallego, 2014. "Recent trends in international tourist climate preferences: a revised picture for climatic change scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 119-132, May.
    18. Juan Gabriel Brida & Marta Disegna & Raffaele Scuderi, 2013. "Visitors to Two Types of Museums: Do Expenditure Patterns Differ?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 19(5), pages 1027-1047, October.
    19. Esther Martínez-García & Josep María Raya, 2009. "Determinantes de la demanda temporal de turismo: una aproximación microeconómica con un modelo de duración," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 33(2), pages 271-302, May.
    20. Richard T. Melstrom, 2017. "Estimating a model of sportfishing trip expenditures using a quasi-maximum likelihood approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(2), pages 448-459, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:26:y:2020:i:8:p:1311-1326. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.