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Tourism Income and Economic Growth in Greece: Empirical Evidence from Their Cyclical Components

Author

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  • Bruno Eeckels

    (Les Roches, International School of Hotel Management, Bluche, Switzerland)

  • George Filis

    (Department of Economics, Portsmouth Business School, University of Portsmouth, Richmond Building, Portland Street, Portsmouth PO1 3DE, UK)

  • Costas Leon

    (César Ritz Colleges, Löwenstrasse 16, 6004 Lucerne, Switzerland)

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between the cyclical components of Greek GDP and international tourism income for Greece for the period 1976–2004. Using spectral analysis the authors find that cyclical fluctuations of GDP have a length of about nine years and that international tourism income has a cycle of about seven years. The volatility of tourism income is more than eight times the volatility of the Greek GDP cycle. VAR analysis shows that the cyclical component of tourism income is significantly influencing the cyclical component of GDP in Greece. The findings support the tourism-led economic growth hypothesis and are of particular interest and importance to policy makers, financial analysts and investors dealing with the Greek tourism industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruno Eeckels & George Filis & Costas Leon, 2012. "Tourism Income and Economic Growth in Greece: Empirical Evidence from Their Cyclical Components," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(4), pages 817-834, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:18:y:2012:i:4:p:817-834
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2012.0148
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Vatsa, Puneet, 2020. "Comovement amongst the demand for New Zealand tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    5. Nikeel Nishkar Kumar & Arvind Patel & Sean Kimpton & Antony Andrews, 2022. "Asymmetric reactions in the tourism‐led growth hypothesis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 661-677, December.
    6. Radu Radulescu, 2020. "Granger Causality Analysis of the Economic Cycles of the Tourism Industry and the EU Regional Economy," ConScienS Conference Proceedings 014rr, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    7. Hsu, Pao-Peng, 2017. "Examination of Taiwan's travel and tourism market cycle through a two-period Markov regime-switching model," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 201-208.
    8. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2015. "How strong is the linkage between tourism and economic growth in Europe?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 142-155.
    9. Sarantis Lolos & Panagiotis Palaios & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2023. "Tourism-led growth asymmetries in Greece: evidence from quantile regression analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 22(1), pages 125-148, January.
    10. João Romão & João Guerreiro & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2016. "Tourism growth and regional resilience," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(4), pages 699-714, August.
    11. Christina Katsikari & Leonidas Hatzithomas & Thomas Fotiadis & Dimitrios Folinas, 2020. "Push and Pull Travel Motivation: Segmentation of the Greek Market for Social Media Marketing in Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-18, June.
    12. Muhammad Shahbaz & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Stanislav Ivanov & Nanthakumar Loganathan, 2017. "The nexus between tourism demand and output per capita with the relative importance of trade openness and financial development," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(1), pages 168-186, February.
    13. Chien-Chiang Lee & Godwin O Olasehinde-Williams & Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun, 2022. "GDP volatility implication of tourism volatility in South Africa: A time-varying approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(2), pages 435-450, March.
    14. Jianxu Liu & Vicente Ramos & Bing Yang & Mengjiao Wang & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2024. "Analysing the dynamic co-movement between tourism and expected economic growth considering extreme events," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(1), pages 3-26, February.
    15. Mina Dragouni & George Filis & Nikolaos Antonakakis, 2013. "Time-Varying Interdependencies of Tourism and Economic Growth: Evidence from European Countries," FIW Working Paper series 128, FIW.
    16. Maksim Godovykh & Alan Fyall & Abraham Pizam & Jorge Ridderstaat, 2022. "Evaluating the Direct and Indirect Impacts of Tourism on the Health of Local Communities," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 15(1), pages 43-52.
    17. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferrer, Román & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Haouas, Ilham, 2017. "Is the tourism-economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top ten tourist destinations," MPRA Paper 82713, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Nov 2017.
    18. Ronald Kumar & Nanthakumar Loganathan & Arvind Patel & Radika Kumar, 2015. "Nexus between tourism earnings and economic growth: a study of Malaysia," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 1101-1120, May.
    19. Herman Sahni & Christian Nsiah & Bichaka Fayissa, 2021. "The African economic growth experience and tourism receipts: A threshold analysis and quantile regression approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 915-932, August.
    20. Yonglian Wang & Lijun Wang & Changchun Pan, 2022. "Tourism–Growth Nexus in the Presence of Instability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-11, February.
    21. Muhammad Shahbaz & Román Ferrer & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Ilham Haouas, 2018. "Is the tourism–economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top 10 tourist destinations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(24), pages 2677-2697, May.
    22. Antonakakis, Nikos & Dragouni, Mina & Eeckels, Bruno & Filis, George, 2015. "Tourism and economic growth revisited: Empirical evidence from a Panel VAR approach," MPRA Paper 67419, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Olga Kalantzi & Dimitrios Tsiotas & Serafeim Polyzos, 2023. "The Contribution of Tourism in National Economies: Evidence of Greece," Papers 2302.13121, arXiv.org.

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