IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pid/journl/v32y1993i1p69-86.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Technical Change and Returns to Wheat Breeding Research in Pakistan's Punjab in the Post-Green Revolution Period

Author

Listed:
  • Derek Byerlee

    (International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), Mexico.)

Abstract

Rates of yield gain and returns to investment in wheat breeding research are estimated for Pakistan's Punjab for the period since the introduction of semidwarf varieties. Analysis of two comprehensive data sets indicates that wheat breeders have maintained a rate of yield gain in newer releases of semidwarf varieties of about 1 percent per year. Improved disease resistance of newer varieties may have also prevented a yield decline of the order of 0.25 percent per year. Yield gains on farms may be less (0.6 percent per year) because of slow diffusion of new varieties. Given costs of wheat research, returns to investment in wheat breeding have been above 20 percent and are over 15 percent even if all research costs at the national and international level are included. However, more rapid diffusion of new varieties in the Punjab could considerably increase returns to wheat research.

Suggested Citation

  • Derek Byerlee, 1993. "Technical Change and Returns to Wheat Breeding Research in Pakistan's Punjab in the Post-Green Revolution Period," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 69-86.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:32:y:1993:i:1:p:69-86
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/1993/Volume1/69-86.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brennan, John P., 1984. "Measuring the Contribution of New Varieties to Increasing Wheat Yields," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 52(03), pages 1-21, December.
    2. George W. Norton & Jeffrey S. Davis, 1981. "Evaluating Returns to Agricultural Research: A Review," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(4), pages 685-699.
    3. Byerlee, Derek & Ramzan Akhtar, M. & Hobbs, Peter R., 1987. "Reconciling conflicts in sequential cropping patterns through plant breeding: The example of cotton and wheat in Pakistan's Punjab," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 291-304.
    4. Brennan, John P., 1989. "Spillover effects of international agricultural research: CIMMYT-based semi-dwarf wheats in Australia," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 3(4), pages 323-332, December.
    5. Pardey, Philip G. & Roseboom, Johannes & Anderson, Jock R., 1991. "Agricultural Research Policy: International Quantitative Perspectives," ISNAR Archive 310674, CGIAR > International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. John P. Brennan, 1989. "Spillover Effects of International Agricultural Research: CIMMYT‐based Semi‐Dwarf Wheats in Australia," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 3(4), pages 323-332, December.
    7. Byerlee, Derek & Heisey, Paul, 1987. "On the Economics of Adaptive Research in Developing Country Agriculture," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 270133, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Alston, Julian M. & Pardey, Philip G. & Taylor, Michael J., 2001. "Agricultural science policy: changing global agendas," Food policy statements 32, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Iqbal & M. Azeem Khan & Munir Ahmad, 2002. "Adoption of Recommended Varieties: A Farm-level Analysis of Wheat Growers in Irrigated Punjab," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 41(1), pages 29-48.
    2. Rejesus, Roderick M. & Heisey, Paul W. & Smale, Melinda, 1999. "Sources of Productivity Growth in Wheat: A Review of Recent Performance and Medium- to Long-Term Prospects," Economics Working Papers 7693, CIMMYT: International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center.
    3. Joseph G. Nagy & M.A. Quddus, 1998. "The Pakistan Agricultural Research System: Present Status and Future Agenda," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 37(2), pages 167-187.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alston, Julian M. & Wyatt, T. J. & Pardey, Philip G. & Marra, Michele C. & Chan-Kang, Connie, 2000. "A meta-analysis of rates of return to agricultural R & D: ex pede Herculem?," Research reports 113, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. My wish K. Maredia & Richard Ward & Derek Byerlee, 1996. "Econometric estimation of a global spillover matrix for wheat varietal technology," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 14(3), pages 159-173, August.
    3. Alston, Julian M. & Chalfant, James A. & Pardey, Philip G., 1993. "Structural Adjustment In Oecd Agriculture: Government Policies And Technical Change," Working Papers 14473, University of Minnesota, Center for International Food and Agricultural Policy.
    4. Brennan, John P., 2007. "Beyond semi-dwarf wheat yield increases: impacts on the Australian wheat industry of on-going spillovers from the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 51(4), pages 1-17.
    5. Brennan, John P. & Bantilan, Ma Cynthia S., 1999. "Impact of ICRISAT Research on Australian Agriculture," Research Reports 28006, New South Wales Department of Primary Industries Research Economists.
    6. Aaron Michael Shew & Alvaro Durand‐Morat & Lawton Lanier Nalley & Karen Ann‐Kuenzel Moldenhauer, 2018. "Estimating the benefits of public plant breeding: beyond profits," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(6), pages 753-764, November.
    7. Binswanger, Hans P., 2006. "Leonard K. Elmhirst Lecture: Empowering Rural People for Their Own Development," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25713, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Gisselquist, David & Pray, Carl, 1999. "Deregulating technology transfer in agriculture : reform's impact on turkey in the 1980s," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2086, The World Bank.
    9. Philip G. Pardey & Julian M. Alston & Connie Chan-Kang & Eduardo C. Magalhães & Stephen A. Vosti, 2006. "International and Institutional R&D Spillovers: Attribution of Benefits among Sources for Brazil's New Crop Varieties," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(1), pages 104-123.
    10. Jock R. Anderson, 1999. "Institutional Reforms for Getting an Agricultural Knowledge System to Play Its Role in Economic Growth," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 38(4), pages 333-354.
    11. Robert Evenson & Keith Fuglie, 2010. "Technology capital: the price of admission to the growth club," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 173-190, June.
    12. Thirtle, Colin G. & Srinivasan, Chittur S. & Heisey, Paul W., 2001. "Public Sector Plant Breeding In A Privatizing World," Agricultural Information Bulletins 33775, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    13. Craig, Barbara J. & Pardey, Philip G. & Roseboom, Johannes, 1994. "International Agricultural Productivity Patterns," Working Papers 14470, University of Minnesota, Center for International Food and Agricultural Policy.
    14. Ruttan, Vernon W., 1991. "Sustainable Growth In Agricultural Production: Poetry, Policy And Science," Staff Papers 13601, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    15. Julian M. Alston & Philip G. Pardey & Xudong Rao, 2022. "Payoffs to a half century of CGIAR research," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 104(2), pages 502-529, March.
    16. Pardey, Philip G. & Alston, Julian M. & Chan-Kang, Connie & Magalhães, Eduardo C. & Vosti, Stephen A., 2002. "Assessing and attributing the benefits from varietal improvement research: evidence from Embrapa, Brazil," EPTD discussion papers 95, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    17. Brennan, John P. & Bantilan, M. C. S., 2003. "Price and yield effects of spill-overs in international agricultural research: evidence from ICRISAT and Australia," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 87-97, March.
    18. Mugunieri, Godiah Lawrence & Obare, Gideon A. & Omamo, Steven Were, 2009. "Does the structure of agricultural science and technology policy system matter in developing country agricultural productivity growth trends? Evidence from Kenya and Uganda," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 50538, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Runge, C. Ford, 1992. "A Policy Perspective On The Sustainability Of Production Environments: Toward A Land Theory Of Value," Working Papers 14443, University of Minnesota, Center for International Food and Agricultural Policy.
    20. Hrubovcak, James & Vasavada, Utpal & Aldy, Joseph E., 1999. "Green Technologies for a More Sustainable Agriculture," Agricultural Information Bulletins 33721, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:32:y:1993:i:1:p:69-86. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Khurram Iqbal (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/pideipk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.