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The Performance of Trading Rules on Four Asian Currency Exchange Rates

Author

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  • Yin-Wong Cheung

    (University of California Santa Cruz, U.S.A.)

  • Clement Yuk-Pang Wong

    (City University of Hong Kong)

Abstract

This article evaluates the performance of filter rules on four Asian exchange rates against the U.S. dollar. Risk premiums derived from the choice under uncertainty model and the GARCH specification are used to construct the risk–adjusted return series. Results show that risk premiums have significant implications for the performance of filter rules. Further, even if investors can tolerate some risk, transaction costs can further eliminate most of the remaining profitable trading opportunities.

Suggested Citation

  • Yin-Wong Cheung & Clement Yuk-Pang Wong, 1997. "The Performance of Trading Rules on Four Asian Currency Exchange Rates," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 1(1), pages 1-22, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mfj:journl:v:1:y:1997:i:1:p:1-22
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Norbert Fiess & Ronald MacDonald, 1999. "Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market: A Cointegration-Based Approach," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 3(3), pages 147-172, September.
    2. Jacinta Chan Phooi M’ng & Rozaimah Zainudin, 2016. "Assessing the Efficacy of Adjustable Moving Averages Using ASEAN-5 Currencies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(8), pages 1-19, August.
    3. Mark Cassano & Bing Han, 2008. "Option volume, strike distribution, and foreign exchange rate movements," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 49-67, January.
    4. Olson, Dennis, 2004. "Have trading rule profits in the currency markets declined over time?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 85-105, January.
    5. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Mishra, Sagarika & Narayan, Seema & Thuraisamy, Kannan, 2015. "Is Exchange Rate Trading Profitable?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 217-229.

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