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Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Ryan Sullivan (Economic Analysis LLC,)
Allan Timmermann (University of California, San Diego and the Financial Markets Group, London School of Economics,)
Halbert White (University of California, San Diego)
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In this paper we utilize White's Reality Check bootstrap methodology (White (1999)) to evaluate simple technical trading rules while quantifying the data-snooping bias and fully adjusting for its effect in the context of the full universe from which the trading rules were drawn. Hence, for the first time, the paper presents a comprehensive test of performance across all technical trading rules examined. We consider the study of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), expand their universe of 26 trading rules, apply the rules to 100 years of daily data on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and determine the effects of data-snooping. Copyright The American Finance Association 1999.
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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance .
Volume (Year): 54 (1999)
Issue (Month): 5 (October)
Pages: 1647-1691
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:54:y:1999:i:5:p:1647-1691Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.afajof.org/ More information through EDIRC
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Paper Allan Timmermann & Halbert White & Ryan Sullivan, 1998.
"Data-Snooping, Technical Trading, Rule Performance and the Bootstrap ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp303, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sullivan, Ryan & Timmermann, Allan G & White, Halbert, 1998.
"Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance and the Bootstrap ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ryan Sullivan & Allan Timmermann & Halbert White, 1997.
"Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
97-31, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Taylor, Mark P. & Allen, Helen, 1992.
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