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The Honeycomb Cycle in Real Estate

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    Abstract

    A change in market conditions can trigger a cyclical response in the housing market, a cycle in both prices and number of transactions. This is caused not only by production lags but also by the reactions of buyers and sellers. The fact that many buyers are also sellers, and vice versa, has a special effect on this cycle. In this paper a theory of this cycle in prices and transactions is developed and empirically tested. It is found that volume changes are much more closely related statistically to changes in market conditions that are price changes. A clear cycle is found in two of the four towns studied.

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    File URL: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol09n02/v09p237.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

    Volume (Year): 9 (1994)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 237-252

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    Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:9:n:2:1994:p:237-252

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    Postal: American Real Estate Society Clemson University School of Business & Behavioral Science Department of Finance 401 Sirrine Hall Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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    Web page: http://www.aresnet.org/

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    Postal: Diane Quarles American Real Estate Society Manager of Member Services Clemson University Box 341323 Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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    Web: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/about/get.htm

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    1. R Barras, 1983. "A simple theoretical model of the office-development cycle," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 15(10), pages 1381-1394, October.
    2. John S. Hekman, 1985. "Rental Price Adjustment and Investment in the Office Market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 13(1), pages 32-47.
    3. Richard Voith & Theodore Crone, 1988. "National Vacancy Rates and the Persistence of Shocks in U.S. Office Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 16(4), pages 437-458.
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    Cited by:
    1. Lisi, Gaetano, 2011. "The Hedonic Price Function in a Matching Model of Housing Market," MPRA Paper 32697, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Stephen A. Pyhrr & Stephen E. Roulac & Waldo L. Born, 1999. "Real Estate Cycles and Their Strategic Implications for Investors and Portfolio Managers in the Global Economy," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 18(1), pages 7-68.
    3. Gaetano Lisi, 2013. "Can the Montersen-Pissarides Model Match the Housing Market Facts?," Working Papers 1312, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    4. Jacques Gordon & Paige MosbaughTodd Canter & Todd Canter, 1996. "Integrating Regional Economic Indicators with the Real Estate Cycle," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 12(3), pages 469-501.

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