Simon Stevenson () (University College Dublin, Blackrock County Dublin, Ireland)
Abstract
This article is the winner of the International Real Estate Investment/ Portfolio Management manuscript prize (sponsored by LaSalle Investment Management) presented at the American Real Estate Society Annual Meeting. This article tests for the presence of both price continuation and price reversals in international real estate securities. The results reveal evidence of performance persistence in international markets over short and medium term horizons, however the evidence on price reversals is less compelling. The empirical analysis tests for mean reversion using Variance Ratio and Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests. In neither case is there consistent evidence of mean reversion in international real estate securities. The portfolio switching tests do reveal some evidence of performance reversals. However, while under-performing markets do outperform over longer horizons, they do not do so at statistically significant levels.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Brown, Stephen J & Goetzmann, William N, 1995.
" Performance Persistence,"
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David M. Cutler & James M. Poterba & Lawrence H. Summers, 1990.
"Speculative Dynamics,"
NBER Working Papers
3242, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:
Culter, D.M. & Poterba, J.M. & Summers, L.H., 1990.
"Speculative Dynamics,"
Working papers
544, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
Cutler, David M & Poterba, James M & Summers, Lawrence H, 1991.
"Speculative Dynamics,"
Review of Economic Studies,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 529-46, May.
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Cited by: (explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Cotter, John & Stevenson, Simon, 2007.
"Modeling Long Memory in REITs,"
MPRA Paper
3500, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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John Cotter & Simon Stevenson, 2008.
"Modeling Long Memory in REITs,"
Real Estate Economics,
American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 36(3), pages 533-554, 09.
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