IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jre/issued/v10n41995p483-494.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Predictability of REIT Returns and Market Segmentatio

Author

Abstract

A two-factor regression model was used to examine the relationship between returns on healthcare equity REITs (EREITs) and healthcare stocks from 1985 to 1992. General stock indices were incorporated in the model to account for the influence of the market. Multiple positive contemporaneous relationships were found between six of the seven REITs studied and portfolios of other healthcare stocks. Furthermore, in four of the six REITs with positive results, significant correlations were evident between individual REIT portfolios and the SIC indices with which they showed a significant relationship. These results are consistent with a common factor or factors affecting the returns of both healthcare EREITs and stocks. The relationships found between returns on healthcare EREITs and healthcare stocks, especially the correlation between the classification of the EREIT portfolios and SIC indices, indicate the importance of real estate management for healthcare firms and asset subclassification choice for the real estate manager. Although this study specifically investigated healthcare EREITs and healthcare stocks, the results may be more widely applicable to other single-property-type EREITs.

Suggested Citation

  • Darcey D. Terris & F.C. Neil Myer, 1995. "The Predictability of REIT Returns and Market Segmentatio," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(4), pages 483-494.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:10:n:4:1995:p:483-494
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pages.jh.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol10n04/v10p483.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joseph Gyourko & Edward Nelling, 1996. "Systematic Risk and Diversification in the Equity REIT Market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 24(4), pages 493-515, December.
    2. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, 1992. "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 20(3), pages 457-485, September.
    3. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, "undated". "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns? (Revision of 18-91) (Reprint 030)," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 11-92, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
    4. F.C. Neil Myer & James R. Webb, 1994. "Retail Stocks, Retail REITs, and Retail Real Estate," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 9(1), pages 65-84.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. James Payne, 2003. "Shocks to macroeconomic state variables and the risk premium of REITs," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(11), pages 671-677.
    2. John Cotter & Simon Stevenson, 2006. "Multivariate Modeling of Daily REIT Volatility," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 305-325, May.
    3. Cotter, John & Stevenson, Simon, 2004. "Uncovering Volatility Dynamics in Daily REIT Returns," MPRA Paper 3533, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2005.
    4. Su Han Chan & Wai Kin Leung & Ko Wang, 1998. "Institutional Investment in REITs: Evidence and Implications," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 16(3), pages 357-374.
    5. Edward Nelling & Joseph Gyourko, 1998. "The Predictability of Equity REIT Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 16(3), pages 251-268.
    6. James Payne & Hassan Mohammadi, 2004. "The transmission of shocks across real estate investment trust (REIT) markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(17), pages 1211-1217.
    7. Michael Cooper & David H. Downs, 1999. "Real Estate Securities and a Filter-based, Short-term Trading Strategy," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 18(2), pages 313-334.
    8. Simon Stevenson, 2002. "Momentum Effects and Mean Reversion in Real Estate Securities," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 23(1/2), pages 47-64.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Armonat, Stefan & Pfnür, Andreas, 2002. "Basel II and the German credit crunch?," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 35585, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    2. K.W. Chau & Bryan D. MacGregor & Gregory M. Schwann, 2001. "Price discovery in the Hong Kong real estate market," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 187-216.
    3. Kim Hiang Liow, 2000. "The dynamics of the Singapore commercial property market," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 279-291.
    4. Ming-Chu Chiang & Tien Foo Sing & I-Chun Tsai, 2017. "Spillover Risks in REITs and other Asset Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 579-604, May.
    5. Coletta Cuono Massimo & Busato Francesco, 2019. "U.S. REITs: A Financial Economics Review as of 2018," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 27(2), pages 20-32, June.
    6. Elias Oikarinen & Martin Hoesli & Camilo Serrano, 2013. "Do Public Real Estate Returns Really Lead Private Returns?," ERES eres2013_145, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    7. Chien‐Yun Chang & Jian‐Hsin Chou & Hung‐Gay Fung, 2012. "Time dependent behavior of the Asian and the US REITs around the subprime crisis," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(3), pages 282-303, April.
    8. Honghui Chen & David M. Harrison & Mahsa Khoshnoud, 2020. "Investors’ Limited Attention: Evidence from REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 408-442, October.
    9. Randy Anderson & Jim Clayton & Greg Mackinnon & Rajneesh Sharma, 2006. "REIT Returns and Pricing: The Small Cap Value Stock Factor," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 267-286, January.
    10. Jim Clayton, 1996. "Market Fundamentals, Risk and the Canadian Property Cycle: Implications for Property Valuation and Investment Decisions," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 12(3), pages 347-368.
    11. Yongheng Deng & Eric Girardin & Roselyne Joyeux & Shuping Shi, 2017. "Did bubbles migrate from the stock to the housing market in China between 2005 and 2010?," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 276-292, August.
    12. Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Makarov, Igor, 2004. "An econometric model of serial correlation and illiquidity in hedge fund returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 529-609, December.
    13. Okunev, John & Wilson, Patrick & Zurbruegg, Ralf, 2000. "The Causal Relationship between Real Estate and Stock Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 251-261, November.
    14. Ying Fan & Abdullah Yavas, 2023. "Price Dynamics in Public and Private Commercial Real Estate Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 150-190, July.
    15. Mohammad Sharik Essa & Evangelos Giouvris, 2023. "Fama–French–Carhart Factor-Based Premiums in the US REIT Market: A Risk Based Explanation, and the Impact of Financial Distress and Liquidity Crisis from 2001 to 2020," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-39, January.
    16. Les Ruddock, 2001. "The Portfolio strategy of UK Property Companies. "Style" Analysis and Portfolio Performance," ERES eres2001_211, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    17. Berg, Nathan & Gu, Anthony Y. & Lien, Donald, 2007. "Dynamic correlation: A tool hedging house-price risk?," MPRA Paper 26368, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Rainer Masera, 2011. "Taking the moral hazard out of banking: the next fundamental step in financial reform," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(257), pages 105-142.
    19. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Coskun, Yener, 2020. "How do stocks in BRICS co-move with real estate stocks?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 93-101.
    20. Masaki Mori, 2015. "Information Diffusion in the U.S. Real Estate Investment Trust Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 190-214, August.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:10:n:4:1995:p:483-494. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: JRER Graduate Assistant/Webmaster (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.aresnet.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.