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Development Strategies in a Market of High Vacancies and Sticky Rates – The Case of the Hotel Industry

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  • Rose Neng Lai

    (University of Macau)

  • Lawrence Hoc Nang Fong

    (University of Macau)

Abstract

This paper discusses the concurrence of vacancy and ongoing construction under inflexible rents, taking the hotel industry as an area of application. The prevalent modest occupancy in the hotel industry of the United States has led to questions about the ongoing construction of hotels, even if average daily rates (ADRs) have not been reduced to eliminate the excess supply. By constructing a framework based on a game theory approach in market equilibrium, developers can determine the optimal timing to construct the development. Given this option to build, both profit and a double-digit vacancy rate can coexist with inflexible ADRs that exceed the market equilibrium threshold. The option framework also allows the management to project occupancy rates and profits of their existing premises before entering price wars even if their rivals build new projects.

Suggested Citation

  • Rose Neng Lai & Lawrence Hoc Nang Fong, 2021. "Development Strategies in a Market of High Vacancies and Sticky Rates – The Case of the Hotel Industry," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 24(3), pages 363-383.
    • Handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:24:n:03:2021:p:363-383
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oversupply; sticky rent; real options; game theory; hotel construction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C71 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Cooperative Games
    • D47 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Market Design
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General
    • Z39 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - Other

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