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Is North and Southeast Asia becoming a yen block?

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Author Info

  • Colm Kearney

    (School of Business Studies and Institute for International Integration Studies, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland)

  • Cal Muckley

    (School of Economics, Finance and Business, University of Durham, UK)

Abstract

We examine the evidence of an emerging yen block in North and Southeast Asia using up to 27 years of weekly data on 9 bilateral yen exchange rates. The exchange rate returns are modelled in response to variations in their US dollar, German mark, and UK pound effective counterparts using a general-to-specific dynamic estimation strategy. We also investigate the pattern of regional trade integration over time. The results suggest increasing intra-regional trade integration, particularly regarding Japanese trade integration with the region. They also indicate the decreasing influence of the US dollar in terms of magnitude, the German mark in terms of scope and the UK pound in terms of both magnitude and scope with respect to exchange rate determination in the region. These findings are consistent with an emerging yen influence although not a de facto yen block. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal International Journal of Finance & Economics.

Volume (Year): 12 (2007)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 337-351

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Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:12:y:2007:i:3:p:337-351

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References

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  1. Aggarwal, Raj & Montanes, Antonio & Ponz, Monserrat, 2000. "Evidence of long-run purchasing power parity: analysis of real asian exchange rates in terms of the Japanese yen," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 351-361, December.
  2. Hernandez, Leonardo & Montiel, Peter J., 2003. "Post-crisis exchange rate policy in five Asian countries: Filling in the "hollow middle"?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 336-369, September.
  3. Bowman, Chakriya, 2005. "Yen bloc or koala bloc? Currency relationships after the East Asian crisis," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 83-96, January.
  4. Bayoumi, Tamim & Eichengreen, Barry & Mauro, Paolo, 2000. "On Regional Monetary Arrangements For ASEAN," CEPR Discussion Papers 2411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  5. repec:fip:fedfpb:02-07 is not listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
  1. Bong-Han Kim & Hyeongwoo Kim & Hong-Ghi Min, 2011. "Reassessing the Link between the Japanese Yen and Emerging Asian Currencies," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2011-05, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
  2. Kocenda, Evzen & Hanousek, Jan & Engelmann, Dirk, 2008. "Currencies, competition, and clans," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 1115-1132.

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