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Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

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  • Syed Asif Ali Naqvi

    (Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan)

  • Abdul Majeed Nadeem

    (Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan)

  • Muhammad Amjed Iqbal

    (Institute of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan)

  • Sadia Ali

    (Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan)

  • Asia Naseem

    (Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan)

Abstract

Mankind is in peril and there are many reasons for this; however, climate change precedes all other reasons. Problems of poor farming communities are augmented due to the menace of climate change. This study endeavors to determine the effect on farming communities of both climate change and a situation without climate change. To carry out the study, three different districts were selected (Rawalpindi, Chakwal, and Layyah). Impact of the climate vagaries on per capita income, farm returns, and poverty of the respondents was taken into consideration. To achieve pathways analysis, regional representative agricultural pathways were used. The decision support system for agrotechnology transfer (DSSAT) crop growth model was employed for wheat-related simulations. The tradeoff analysis model for multidimensional impact assessment (TOA-MD) model was used for economic analysis. The results lend credence to the aforementioned nuisance of climate change, as the findings which came through were negatively affecting farm returns, per capita income, and poverty of the farmers. The negative impact applies to both current and future production systems. Farmers are up against the wall because of climate change and they will have to adopt new innovations to raise their productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Asif Ali Naqvi & Abdul Majeed Nadeem & Muhammad Amjed Iqbal & Sadia Ali & Asia Naseem, 2019. "Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-13, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:19:p:5365-:d:271638
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    References listed on IDEAS

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