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Climate Change and Food Security in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Nasir Munir

    (PhD Scholar,)

  • Adiqa Kiani

    (Associate professor,)

  • Asia Baig

    (Demonstrator,)

Abstract

Climate change has a severe impact on the accessibility of various resources on earth. The present study determines the impact of climate change on food availability for 27 years from 1990-2016. An ARDL model is used in order to find out the long-run and short-run relationships. The result shows that average temperature shows a negative relationship with food security, as the temperature is increasing the food security is decreasing Food security has a positive relation with agriculture credit since as the agriculture credit increases it will increase the production of agriculture sector which in result increase the supply of food and increase the food security in the country. Fertilizer consumption also has a positive effect on food availability, which is obvious as more and more food is provided with the increased use of fertilizer.

Suggested Citation

  • Nasir Munir & Adiqa Kiani & Asia Baig, 2016. "Climate Change and Food Security in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 1(1), pages 47-55, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aaw:journl:v:1:y:2016:i:1:p:47-55
    DOI: 10.31703/ger.2016(I-I).05
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joseph J. Molnar, 1999. "Sound Policies for Food Security: The Role of Culture and Social Organization," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 21(2), pages 489-498.
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    3. Pervez Zamurrad Janjua & Ghulam Samad & Nazakat Ullah Khan, 2010. "Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 799-822.
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    5. Ather Maqsood Ahmed & Rehana Siddiqui, 1995. "Food Security in Pakistan: Can It Be Achieved?," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 34(4), pages 723-731.
    6. Rana Ejaz Ali Khan & Toseef Azid & Mohammad Usama Toseef, 2012. "Determinants of food security in rural areas of Pakistan," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(12), pages 951-964, October.
    7. Hussain, Syed Sajidin & Mudasser, Muhammad, 2007. "Prospects for wheat production under changing climate in mountain areas of Pakistan - An econometric analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 494-501, May.
    8. Bruce A. McCarl & Xavier Villavicencio & Ximing Wu, 2008. "Climate Change and Future Analysis: Is Stationarity Dying?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1241-1247.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Tariq, Aqil & Qin, Shujing, 2023. "Spatio-temporal variation in surface water in Punjab, Pakistan from 1985 to 2020 using machine-learning methods with time-series remote sensing data and driving factors," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Temperature; Agriculture Credit; Food Production Index; Fertilizer Consumption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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