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Detailed Modelling of the Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios with Demand Response Technologies in the Heating and Cooling Sector: A Case Study for Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Francesco Calise

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy)

  • Massimo Dentice D’Accadia

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy)

  • Carlo Barletta

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy)

  • Vittoria Battaglia

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy)

  • Antun Pfeifer

    (Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb,10000 Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Neven Duic

    (Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb,10000 Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

Energy policies accompanying the transition towards a sustainable development process must be supported by technical analyses in which future energy scenarios are modeled and evaluated. This paper analyzes possible decarbonization scenarios in Italy for the year 2050. They envisage high electrification of transports and residential buildings, high use of renewable energies, and a modal shift towards public transport. The energy scenarios are evaluated using a software program, EnergyPLAN, starting from a reference model developed for the year 2014. Special attention has been given to the modeling of data that are unavailable in the literature, such as the time profile of heating and cooling demands, obtained with the degree-days method and validated by elaborating the results of the modeling of the residential building stock, this latter was dynamically simulated in TRNSYS. The results show that to obtain a significant decrease of greenhouse gas emissions and fossil fuel consumption, it is necessary not only to promote a deeper penetration of renewable sources, but also their integration with other technologies (cogeneration, trigeneration, power-to-heat systems, thermal storage, vehicle-to-grid operations). In fact, renewables technologies alone can raise some critical issues, such as excess and/or shortage of electricity production and non-sustainable exploitation of biomass.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Calise & Massimo Dentice D’Accadia & Carlo Barletta & Vittoria Battaglia & Antun Pfeifer & Neven Duic, 2017. "Detailed Modelling of the Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios with Demand Response Technologies in the Heating and Cooling Sector: A Case Study for Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-33, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:10:y:2017:i:10:p:1535-:d:114007
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    8. Borasio, M. & Moret, S., 2022. "Deep decarbonisation of regional energy systems: A novel modelling approach and its application to the Italian energy transition," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
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    11. Sara Bellocchi & Michele Manno & Michel Noussan & Michela Vellini, 2019. "Impact of Grid-Scale Electricity Storage and Electric Vehicles on Renewable Energy Penetration: A Case Study for Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-32, April.
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    13. Kaiser Ahmed & Jarek Kurnitski, 2021. "New Equation for Optimal Insulation Dependency on the Climate for Office Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-20, January.
    14. Bellocchi, Sara & Manno, Michele & Noussan, Michel & Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Vellini, Michela, 2020. "Electrification of transport and residential heating sectors in support of renewable penetration: Scenarios for the Italian energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    15. Kaiser Ahmed & Margaux Carlier & Christian Feldmann & Jarek Kurnitski, 2018. "A New Method for Contrasting Energy Performance and Near-Zero Energy Building Requirements in Different Climates and Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-22, May.
    16. Groppi, D. & Astiaso Garcia, D. & Lo Basso, G. & De Santoli, L., 2019. "Synergy between smart energy systems simulation tools for greening small Mediterranean islands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 515-524.
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    19. Nicola Franzoi & Alessandro Prada & Sara Verones & Paolo Baggio, 2021. "Enhancing PV Self-Consumption through Energy Communities in Heating-Dominated Climates," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.

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