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The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on IIP and CPI in Emerging Countries

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  • Yukino Sakashita

    (International and Development Economics, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA)

  • Yasunori Yoshizaki

    (Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Rokkodai, Kobe 657-8501, Japan)

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the effects of oil price shocks on the production and price level in five emerging countries through comparison with the United States, using a two-block structural VAR model of the global crude oil market proposed by Kilian and Park (see International Economic , vol. 50, 2009, pp. 1267–1287). Our main finding is that the effect of oil price shocks on the index of the industrial production (IIP) and consumer price index (CPI) in emerging countries also depends on where the changes fundamentally come from (this is also the case for the United States). We also found that some emerging countries showed unique impulse response patterns, the shapes of which are different from those of the United States and there are differences in impulse response patterns among emerging countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Yukino Sakashita & Yasunori Yoshizaki, 2016. "The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on IIP and CPI in Emerging Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-9, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:4:y:2016:i:4:p:20-:d:79468
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Zakaria, Muhammad & Khiam, Shahzeb & Mahmood, Hamid, 2021. "Influence of oil prices on inflation in South Asia: Some new evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    2. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Naidoo, Lutchmee & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Amoo, Nii, 2018. "Implications of oil prices shocks for the major emerging economies: A comparative analysis of BRICS," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 76-88.
    3. Edouard Mien, 2022. "Impact of Oil Price and Oil Production on Inflation in the CEMAC," Post-Print hal-03790291, HAL.
    4. Jinyu Chen & Xuehong Zhu, 2021. "The Effects of Different Types of Oil Price Shocks on Industrial PPI: Evidence from 36 Sub-industries in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3411-3434, September.
    5. Pradeep, Siddhartha, 2022. "Impact of diesel price reforms on asymmetricity of oil price pass-through to inflation: Indian perspective," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    6. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.
    7. Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020. "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. Li, Houjian & Huang, Xinya & Guo, Lili, 2023. "Extreme risk dependence and time-varying spillover between crude oil, commodity market and inflation in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    9. Mien, Edouard, 2022. "Impact of oil price and oil production on inflation in the CEMAC," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

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