IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jagris/v12y2022i3p410-d771193.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric Price Transmission: A Case of Wheat in India

Author

Listed:
  • Ranjit Kumar Paul

    (ICAR-Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute, New Delhi 110012, India)

  • Tanmoy Karak

    (Upper Assam Advisory Center, Tea Research Association, Dikom 786101, India)

Abstract

In the present paper, horizontal and vertical integration was carried out on the wholesale and retail prices of wheat in the major markets of India. On confirming cointegration between the wholesale and retail prices of wheat in all needs, the vector error correction model (VECM) was applied to find the speed of adjustment in the corresponding price channel. The results revealed that price signals are transmitted across regions, indicating that price changes in one market are consistently related to price changes in markets and can influence the prices in other markets. In addition to studying cointegration, threshold autoregressive (TAR) and Momentum TAR (MTAR) models were applied to test for asymmetric cointegration. Hasen and Seo’s test was used to test for the presence of threshold cointegration. It revealed a significant presence of asymmetric and nonlinear cointegration in many markets. Accordingly, a threshold VECM (TVECM) model with two regimes was applied. The results indicate that the retail price significantly responds to the deviations from the long-run equilibrium compared to the wholesale price.

Suggested Citation

  • Ranjit Kumar Paul & Tanmoy Karak, 2022. "Asymmetric Price Transmission: A Case of Wheat in India," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-17, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:12:y:2022:i:3:p:410-:d:771193
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/3/410/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/3/410/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hansen, Bruce E. & Seo, Byeongseon, 2002. "Testing for two-regime threshold cointegration in vector error-correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 293-318, October.
    2. Sokbae Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2017. "Correction," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(518), pages 883-883, April.
    3. Jochen Meyer & Stephan von Cramon‐Taubadel, 2004. "Asymmetric Price Transmission: A Survey," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 581-611, November.
    4. Najibullah Hassanzoy & Shoichi Ito & Hiroshi Isoda & Yuichiro Amekawa, 2017. "Cointegration and spatial price transmission among wheat and wheat-flour markets in Afghanistan," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(30), pages 2939-2955, June.
    5. Frank Asche & Shabbar Jaffry & Jessica Hartmann, 2007. "Price transmission and market integration: vertical and horizontal price linkages for salmon," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(19), pages 2535-2545.
    6. Najibullah Hassanzoy & Shoichi Ito & Hiroshi Isoda & Yuichiro Amekawa, 2016. "A comparison of asymmetric price transmission from global to domestic markets between high and low quality grains: a case of Afghan rice markets," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 537-552.
    7. Wiseman, Taylor & Luckstead, Jeff & Durand-Morat, Alvaro, 2021. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Southeast Asian Rice Trade," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(3), pages 341-374, August.
    8. Michal Andrle & Patrick Blagrave, 2020. "Agricultural Market Integration in India," IMF Working Papers 2020/115, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Bagnai, Alberto & Mongeau Ospina, Christian Alexander, 2018. "Asymmetries, outliers and structural stability in the US gasoline market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 250-260.
    10. Enders, Walter & Granger, Clive W J, 1998. "Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment with an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(3), pages 304-311, July.
    11. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    12. Raghbendra Jha (ed.), 2008. "The Indian Economy Sixty Years After Independence," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-0-230-22833-7.
    13. Elena Claire Ricci & Massimo Peri & Lucia Baldi, 2019. "The Effects of Agricultural Price Instability on Vertical Price Transmission: A Study of the Wheat Chain in Italy," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-14, February.
    14. Samarjit Das & Kaushik Bhattacharya, 2008. "Price convergence across regions in India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 299-313, March.
    15. Granger, C. W. J., 1988. "Some recent development in a concept of causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1-2), pages 199-211.
    16. Raghbendra Jha & K. V. Bhanu Murthy & Anurag Sharma, 2008. "Market Integration in Wholesale Rice Markets in India," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Raghbendra Jha (ed.), The Indian Economy Sixty Years After Independence, chapter 13, pages 233-246, Palgrave Macmillan.
    17. Madhusudan Ghosh, 2003. "Spatial Integration of Wheat Markets in India: Evidence from Cointegration Tests," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 159-171.
    18. Rezitis Anthony N. & Rokopanos Andreas, 2019. "Asymmetric Price Transmission along the European Food Supply Chain and the CAP Health Check: a Panel Vector Error Correction Approach," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-20, November.
    19. Balaguer, Jacint & Ripollés, Jordi, 2014. "Are the transport fuel retail markets regionally integrated in Spain? Evidence from price transmission," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 323-332.
    20. Paul, R.K. & Saxena, R. & Chaurasia, S. & Zeeshan & Rana, S., 2015. "Examining Export Volatility, Structural Breaks in Price Volatility and Linkages between Domestic and Export Prices of Onion in India," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 28(Conferenc).
    21. Limon Deb & Yoonsuk Lee & Sang Hyeon Lee, 2020. "Market Integration and Price Transmission in the Vertical Supply Chain of Rice: An Evidence from Bangladesh," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-21, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Junguo Hua & Hui Li & Zejun He & Jing Ding & Futong Jin, 2022. "The Microcosmic Mechanism and Empirical Test of Uncertainty on the Non-Linear Fluctuation of Chinese Grain Prices-Based on the Perspective of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-17, September.
    2. Shen Liu & Jing Wang & Chen Sun, 2022. "Asymmetric Price Transmission and Market Power: A Case of the Aquaculture Product Market in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-13, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Judith Hillen, 2021. "Vertical price transmission in Swiss dairy and cheese value chains," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    2. Rahman, Mohammad Chhiddikur, 2020. "Welfare Impact of Asymmetric Price Transmission on Bangladesh Rice Consumers," EconStor Theses, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 242248, July.
    3. Bairagi, S. & Mohanty, S., 2018. "Analysis of Price Transmission along the Cambodian Rice Value Chain," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277022, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Rahman, Mohammad Chhiddikur, 2018. "Welfare Impact of Asymmetric Price Transmission on Bangladesh Rice Consumers," EconStor Theses, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 251114, July.
    5. Mohcine Bakhat & Klaas WŸrzburg, 2013. "Co-integration of Oil and Commodity Prices: A Comprehensive ApproachAbstract," Working Papers fa05-2013, Economics for Energy.
    6. Bagnai, Alberto & Mongeau Ospina, Christian Alexander, 2015. "Long- and short-run price asymmetries and hysteresis in the Italian gasoline market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 41-50.
    7. Pelin ÖGE GÜNEY, 2013. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Cointegration Analysis in the Non-Linear STAR Framework," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(12), pages 851-860.
    8. Sahito, Jam Ghulam Murtaza, 2015. "Market integration of wheat in Pakistan," Discussion Papers 72, Justus Liebig University Giessen, Center for international Development and Environmental Research (ZEU).
    9. Zouheir Ahmed Mighri & Majid Ibrahim Alsaggaf, 2019. "Asymmetric Threshold Cointegration and Nonlinear Adjustment between Oil Prices and Financial Stress," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 87-105.
    10. Stefano Mainardi, 2018. "Fishing vessel efficiency, skipper skills and hake pricetransmission in a small island economy," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, INRA Department of Economics, vol. 99(3-4), pages 215-251.
    11. Chang, Chia-Lin & Chen, Li-Hsueh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Asymmetric adjustments in the ethanol and grains markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1990-2002.
    12. Ilyasov, Jarilkasin & Götz, Linde & Akramov, Kamiljon T. & Dorosh, Paul A. & Glauben, Thomas, 2016. "Market integration and price transmission in Tajikistan’s wheat markets: Rising like rockets but falling like feathers?:," IFPRI discussion papers 1547, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    13. Hugo Ferrer-Pérez & Filippo Arfini & José M. Gil, 2019. "Modelling Price Transmission within the Supply Chain under a European Protected Designation of Origin Framework: The Case of Parmigiano Reggiano in Italy," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-13, March.
    14. Pratap Kumar JENA, 2016. "Commodity market integration and price transmission: Empirical evidence from India," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 283-306, Autumn.
    15. Chen, Bo & Saghaian, Sayed, 2016. "Market Integration and Price Transmission in theWorld Rice Export Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(3), pages 1-14.
    16. Pratap Kumar JENA, 2016. "Commodity market integration and price transmission: Empirical evidence from India," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 283-306, Autumn.
    17. Badolo, Félix, 2012. "Chocs de prix internationaux et transmission : cas du marché du riz au Burkina Faso," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 88(3), pages 317-346, Septembre.
    18. Kanjilal, Kakali & Ghosh, Sajal, 2017. "Dynamics of crude oil and gold price post 2008 global financial crisis – New evidence from threshold vector error-correction model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 358-365.
    19. Mohammad J Alam & Raghbendra Jha, 2016. "Asymmetric threshold vertical price transmission in wheat and flour markets in Dhaka (Bangladesh): seemingly unrelated regression analysis," ASARC Working Papers 2016-03, The Australian National University, Australia South Asia Research Centre.
    20. Meyer, Jochen, 2004. "Measuring market integration in the presence of transaction costs--a threshold vector error correction approach," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 31(2-3), pages 327-334, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:12:y:2022:i:3:p:410-:d:771193. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.