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Interest rate forecasts and market efficiency

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Author Info
Adrian W. Throop
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Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its journal Economic Review.

Volume (Year): (1981)
Issue (Month): Spr ()
Pages: 29-43
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML, plain text, BibTeX, RIS (EndNote), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfer:y:1981:i:spr:p:29-43

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Related research
Keywords: Interest rates Forecasting Treasury bills

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Carlson, John A, 1977. "Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(3), pages 469-75, June.
  2. Fildes, Robert A & Fitzgerald, M Desmond, 1980. "Efficiency and Premiums in the Short-Term Money Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(4), pages 615-29, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Friedman, Benjamin M, 1979. "Interest Rate Expectations versus Forward Rates: Evidence from an Expectations Survey," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(4), pages 965-73, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Sargent, Thomas J, 1972. "Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(1), pages 74-97, Part I Fe. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Shiller, Robert J, 1973. "Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 5(3), pages 856-60, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. William Poole, 2001. "Expectations," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • William Poole, 2000. "Expectations," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  7. Joines, Douglas, 1977. "Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(3), pages 476-77, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Richard W. Lang & Robert H. Rasche, 1978. "A comparison of yields on future contracts and implied forward rates," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Dec, pages 21-30. [Downloadable!]
  9. Modigliani, Franco & Shiller, Robert J, 1973. "Inflation, Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 40(157), pages 12-43, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Hamburger, Michael J & Platt, Elliott N, 1975. "The Expectations Hypothesis and the Efficiency of the Treasury Bill Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 57(2), pages 190-99, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Pami Dua & Nishita Raje & Satyananda Sahoo, 2004. "Interest Rate Modeling and Forecasting in India," Occasional papers 3, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. David S. Jones & V. Vance Roley, 1984. "Rational Expectations, the Expectations Hypothesis, and Treasury Bill Yields: An Econometric Analysis," NBER Working Papers 0869, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. repec:fip:fedreq:y:1990:i:sep/oct:p:3-26:n:v.76no.5 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Alden L. Toevs, 1983. "Gap management: managing interest rate risk in banks and thrifts," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Spr, pages 20-35. [Downloadable!]
  5. R.W. Hafer & Scott E. Hein, 1989. "Comparing futures and survey forecasts of near-term Treasury bill rates," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 33-42. [Downloadable!]
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