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Long Run Neutrality of Money in Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Frederick H.Wallace

    (Profesor-Investigador, Departamento de Ciencias Económico-Administrativas, Universidad de Quintana Roo, Chetumal, Quintana Roo, México.)

  • Gary L. Shelley

    (Lecturer in Economics and Finance, Department of Economics, Finance, and Urban Studies, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, Tennessee, USA)

Abstract

The Fisher-Seater (FS) methodology is used to investigate long run money neutrality with respect to real GDP and real output in ten selected industries in Mexico. Size distortions and low power of the FS test, issues first raised by Coe and Nason (2003, 2004), are addressed using the Coe-Nason bootstrapping procedure. The evidence indicates that long run money neutrality can be rejected for real GDP and for up to five of the ten industrial sectors studied. These findings indicate that the effects of monetary policy are likely to differ across sectors even in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Frederick H.Wallace & Gary L. Shelley, 2007. "Long Run Neutrality of Money in Mexico," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(2), pages 219-238, July-Dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:emc:ecomex:v:16:y:2007:i:2:p:219-238
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    File URL: http://www.economiamexicana.cide.edu/num_anteriores/XVI-2/02_WALLACE.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Coe, Patrick J. & Nason, James M., 2003. "The long-horizon regression approach to monetary neutrality: how should the evidence be interpreted?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 351-356, March.
    2. Garrett, Thomas A., 2003. "Aggregated versus disaggregated data in regression analysis: implications for inference," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 61-65, October.
    3. Noriega, Antonio E., 2004. "Long-run monetary neutrality and the unit-root hypothesis: further international evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 179-197, August.
    4. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    5. Obstfeld, Maurice & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1995. "Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(3), pages 624-660, June.
    6. Olekalns, Nilss, 1996. "Some further evidence on the long-run neutrality of money," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 393-398, March.
    7. Boschen, John F & Otrok, Christopher M, 1994. "Long-Run Neutrality and Superneutrality in an ARIMA Framework: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(5), pages 1470-1473, December.
    8. Frederick H. Wallace & Gary L. Shelley & Luis F. Cabrera Castellanos, 2004. "Pruebas de la neutralidad monetaria a largo plazo: el caso de Nicaragua," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 407-418, octubre-d.
    9. Bae, Sang-Kun & Ratti, Ronald A., 2000. "Long-run neutrality, high inflation, and bank insolvencies in Argentina and Brazil," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 581-604, December.
    10. Frederick Wallace, 1999. "Long-run neutrality of money in the Mexican economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(10), pages 637-639.
    11. Fisher, Mark E & Seater, John J, 1993. "Long-Run Neutrality and Superneutrality in an ARIMA Framework," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(3), pages 402-415, June.
    12. Haug, Alfred A & Lucas, Robert F, 1997. "Long-Run Neutrality and Superneutrality in an ARIMA Framework: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(4), pages 756-759, September.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Tang, Maggie May-Jean & Puah, Chin-Hong & Awang Marikan, Dayang-Affizzah, 2013. "Empirical Evidence on the Long-Run Neutrality Hypothesis Using Divisia Money," MPRA Paper 50020, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Arintoko & Nunik Kadarwati, 2009. "Is long-run monetary neutral? Evidence from Indonesia," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 1(3), pages 197-214, April.
    5. Amusa, Kafayat & Gupta, Rangan & Karolia, Shaakira & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D., 2013. "The long-run impact of inflation in South Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 798-812.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    money neutrality; Fisher-Seater Test; bootstrapping.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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