IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transb/v93y2016ipap181-206.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reliability-based stochastic transit assignment: Formulations and capacity paradox

Author

Listed:
  • Jiang, Y.
  • Szeto, W.Y.

Abstract

This study develops link-based and approach-based variational inequality (VI) formulations for the frequency-based transit assignment with supply uncertainty, where link flows and flow on each outgoing link from each node are decision variables, respectively. Both the mean and variance of travel cost, including the covariance of in-vehicle travel costs, are captured in both formulations. To address the covariance of in-vehicle travel costs between different links on the same transit line, an augmented route-section network representation is developed, allowing us to apply the dynamic programming method to compute the value of the mapping function of the VI. The approach-based formulation can be solved by an extragradient method that only requires mild assumptions for convergence. It is found that the number of links carrying flow and equilibrium cost can be underestimated if supply uncertainty is not considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiang, Y. & Szeto, W.Y., 2016. "Reliability-based stochastic transit assignment: Formulations and capacity paradox," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 181-206.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:93:y:2016:i:pa:p:181-206
    DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2016.06.008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S019126151630385X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.trb.2016.06.008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hamdouch, Younes & Szeto, W.Y. & Jiang, Y., 2014. "A new schedule-based transit assignment model with travel strategies and supply uncertainties," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 35-67.
    2. Zhi-Chun Li & William Lam & S. Wong, 2009. "The Optimal Transit Fare Structure under Different Market Regimes with Uncertainty in the Network," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 191-216, June.
    3. Lam, William H.K. & Shao, Hu & Sumalee, Agachai, 2008. "Modeling impacts of adverse weather conditions on a road network with uncertainties in demand and supply," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(10), pages 890-910, December.
    4. Spiess, Heinz & Florian, Michael, 1989. "Optimal strategies: A new assignment model for transit networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 83-102, April.
    5. Jia Hao Wu & Michael Florian & Patrice Marcotte, 1994. "Transit Equilibrium Assignment: A Model and Solution Algorithms," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(3), pages 193-203, August.
    6. Hamdouch, Younes & Lawphongpanich, Siriphong, 2008. "Schedule-based transit assignment model with travel strategies and capacity constraints," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 663-684, August.
    7. Cepeda, M. & Cominetti, R. & Florian, M., 2006. "A frequency-based assignment model for congested transit networks with strict capacity constraints: characterization and computation of equilibria," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 437-459, July.
    8. Sumalee, Agachai & Tan, Zhijia & Lam, William H.K., 2009. "Dynamic stochastic transit assignment with explicit seat allocation model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 43(8-9), pages 895-912, September.
    9. Lozano, Angelica & Storchi, Giovanni, 2001. "Shortest viable path algorithm in multimodal networks," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 225-241, March.
    10. Cantarella, Giulio Erberto & Cartenì, Armando & de Luca, Stefano, 2015. "Stochastic equilibrium assignment with variable demand: Theoretical and implementation issues," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 241(2), pages 330-347.
    11. Cortés, Cristián E. & Jara-Moroni, Pedro & Moreno, Eduardo & Pineda, Cristobal, 2013. "Stochastic transit equilibrium," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 29-44.
    12. Roberto Cominetti & José Correa, 2001. "Common-Lines and Passenger Assignment in Congested Transit Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 250-267, August.
    13. Lo, Hong K. & Yip, C. W. & Wan, K. H., 2003. "Modeling transfer and non-linear fare structure in multi-modal network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 149-170, February.
    14. Nguyen, S. & Pallottino, S., 1988. "Equilibrium traffic assignment for large scale transit networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 176-186, November.
    15. Chen, Xumei & Yu, Lei & Zhang, Yushi & Guo, Jifu, 2009. "Analyzing urban bus service reliability at the stop, route, and network levels," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(8), pages 722-734, October.
    16. Rasmussen, Thomas Kjær & Watling, David Paul & Prato, Carlo Giacomo & Nielsen, Otto Anker, 2015. "Stochastic user equilibrium with equilibrated choice sets: Part II – Solving the restricted SUE for the logit family," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 146-165.
    17. Hualing Ren & Ziyou Gao & William H.K. Lam & Jiancheng Long, 2009. "Assessing the benefits of integrated en-route transit information systems and time-varying transit pricing systems in a congested transit network," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 215-237, April.
    18. Fitsum Teklu, 2008. "A Stochastic Process Approach for Frequency-based Transit Assignment with Strict Capacity Constraints," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 225-240, September.
    19. Lam, William H. K. & Zhou, Jing & Sheng, Zhao-han, 2002. "A capacity restraint transit assignment with elastic line frequency," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 919-938, December.
    20. Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Fonzone, Achille & Shimamoto, Hiroshi & Kurauchi, Fumitaka & Bell, Michael G.H., 2011. "Frequency-based transit assignment considering seat capacities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 392-408, February.
    21. Fosgerau, Mogens & Engelson, Leonid, 2011. "The value of travel time variance," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 1-8, January.
    22. Henry Liu & Xiaozheng He & Bingsheng He, 2009. "Method of Successive Weighted Averages (MSWA) and Self-Regulated Averaging Schemes for Solving Stochastic User Equilibrium Problem," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 485-503, December.
    23. Lam, W. H. K. & Gao, Z. Y. & Chan, K. S. & Yang, H., 1999. "A stochastic user equilibrium assignment model for congested transit networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 351-368, June.
    24. Joaquín de Cea & Enrique Fernández, 1993. "Transit Assignment for Congested Public Transport Systems: An Equilibrium Model," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(2), pages 133-147, May.
    25. Nielsen, Otto Anker, 2000. "A stochastic transit assignment model considering differences in passengers utility functions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 377-402, June.
    26. Claude Chriqui & Pierre Robillard, 1975. "Common Bus Lines," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(2), pages 115-121, May.
    27. Yang, Hai & Bell, Michael G. H., 1998. "A capacity paradox in network design and how to avoid it," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 539-545, September.
    28. Sang Nguyen & Stefano Pallottino & Federico Malucelli, 2001. "A Modeling Framework for Passenger Assignment on a Transport Network with Timetables," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 238-249, August.
    29. Lo, Hong K. & Luo, X.W. & Siu, Barbara W.Y., 2006. "Degradable transport network: Travel time budget of travelers with heterogeneous risk aversion," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(9), pages 792-806, November.
    30. Watling, David Paul & Rasmussen, Thomas Kjær & Prato, Carlo Giacomo & Nielsen, Otto Anker, 2015. "Stochastic user equilibrium with equilibrated choice sets: Part I – Model formulations under alternative distributions and restrictions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 166-181.
    31. Siu, Barbara W.Y. & Lo, Hong K., 2008. "Doubly uncertain transportation network: Degradable capacity and stochastic demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 166-181, November.
    32. Otto Nielsen & Rasmus Frederiksen, 2006. "Optimisation of timetable-based, stochastic transit assignment models based on MSA," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 144(1), pages 263-285, April.
    33. Hillel Bar-Gera, 2002. "Origin-Based Algorithm for the Traffic Assignment Problem," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(4), pages 398-417, November.
    34. Agostino Nuzzolo & Francesco Russo & Umberto Crisalli, 2001. "A Doubly Dynamic Schedule-based Assignment Model for Transit Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 268-285, August.
    35. Zhi-Chun Li & William H.K. Lam & S.C. Wong, 2009. "Optimization of a Bus and Rail Transit System with Feeder Bus Services under Different Market Regimes," Springer Books, in: William H. K. Lam & S. C. Wong & Hong K. Lo (ed.), Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009: Golden Jubilee, chapter 0, pages 495-516, Springer.
    36. W. Burke Jackson & James V. Jucker, 1982. "An Empirical Study of Travel Time Variability and Travel Choice Behavior," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 16(4), pages 460-475, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Du, Muqing & Chen, Anthony, 2022. "Sensitivity analysis for transit equilibrium assignment and applications to uncertainty analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 175-202.
    2. Chu, James C., 2018. "Mixed-integer programming model and branch-and-price-and-cut algorithm for urban bus network design and timetabling," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 188-216.
    3. Tang, Yili & Jiang, Yu & Yang, Hai & Nielsen, Otto Anker, 2020. "Modeling and optimizing a fare incentive strategy to manage queuing and crowding in mass transit systems," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 247-267.
    4. Ye, Jiao & Jiang, Yu & Chen, Jun & Liu, Zhiyuan & Guo, Renzhong, 2021. "Joint optimisation of transfer location and capacity for a capacitated multimodal transport network with elastic demand: a bi-level programming model and paradoxes," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    5. Zhaolin Cheng & Laijun Zhao & Huiyong Li, 2020. "A Transportation Network Paradox: Consideration of Travel Time and Health Damage due to Pollution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-22, October.
    6. Sun, S. & Szeto, W.Y., 2019. "Optimal sectional fare and frequency settings for transit networks with elastic demand," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 147-177.
    7. Lee, Enoch & Cen, Xuekai & Lo, Hong K., 2022. "Scheduling zonal-based flexible bus service under dynamic stochastic demand and Time-dependent travel time," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    8. Ren, Hualing & Song, Yingjie & Long, Jiancheng & Si, Bingfeng, 2021. "A new transit assignment model based on line and node strategies," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 121-142.
    9. Sun, S. & Szeto, W.Y., 2018. "Logit-based transit assignment: Approach-based formulation and paradox revisit," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 191-215.
    10. Chen, Bi Yu & Li, Qingquan & Lam, William H.K., 2016. "Finding the k reliable shortest paths under travel time uncertainty," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 189-203.
    11. Bagloee, Saeed Asadi & (Avi) Ceder, Avishai & Sarvi, Majid & Asadi, Mohsen, 2019. "Is it time to go for no-car zone policies? Braess Paradox Detection," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 251-264.
    12. Yao, Jia & Huang, Wenhua & Chen, Anthony & Cheng, Zhanhong & An, Shi & Xu, Guangming, 2019. "Paradox links can improve system efficiency: An illustration in traffic assignment problem," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 35-49.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sun, S. & Szeto, W.Y., 2018. "Logit-based transit assignment: Approach-based formulation and paradox revisit," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 191-215.
    2. Hamdouch, Younes & Szeto, W.Y. & Jiang, Y., 2014. "A new schedule-based transit assignment model with travel strategies and supply uncertainties," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 35-67.
    3. Du, Muqing & Chen, Anthony, 2022. "Sensitivity analysis for transit equilibrium assignment and applications to uncertainty analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 175-202.
    4. Khani, Alireza, 2019. "An online shortest path algorithm for reliable routing in schedule-based transit networks considering transfer failure probability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 549-564.
    5. Ren, Hualing & Song, Yingjie & Long, Jiancheng & Si, Bingfeng, 2021. "A new transit assignment model based on line and node strategies," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 121-142.
    6. Szeto, W.Y. & Jiang, Y., 2014. "Transit route and frequency design: Bi-level modeling and hybrid artificial bee colony algorithm approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 235-263.
    7. Xu, Zhandong & Xie, Jun & Liu, Xiaobo & Nie, Yu (Marco), 2020. "Hyperpath-based algorithms for the transit equilibrium assignment problem," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    8. Trozzi, Valentina & Gentile, Guido & Bell, Michael G.H. & Kaparias, Ioannis, 2013. "Dynamic user equilibrium in public transport networks with passenger congestion and hyperpaths," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 266-285.
    9. Li, Guoyuan & Chen, Anthony, 2023. "Strategy-based transit stochastic user equilibrium model with capacity and number-of-transfers constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(1), pages 164-183.
    10. Canca, David & Andrade-Pineda, José Luis & De los Santos, Alicia & Calle, Marcos, 2018. "The Railway Rapid Transit frequency setting problem with speed-dependent operation costs," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PA), pages 494-519.
    11. S. Mahmassani, Hani & F. Hyland, Michael, 2016. "Gap-based transit assignment algorithm with vehicle capacity constraints: Simulation-based implementation and large-scale applicationAuthor-Name: Verbas, Ömer," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1-16.
    12. Liu, Jiangtao & Zhou, Xuesong, 2016. "Capacitated transit service network design with boundedly rational agents," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 225-250.
    13. Li, Qianfei & (Will) Chen, Peng & (Marco) Nie, Yu, 2015. "Finding optimal hyperpaths in large transit networks with realistic headway distributions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(1), pages 98-108.
    14. Codina, Esteve & Rosell, Francisca, 2017. "A heuristic method for a congested capacitated transit assignment model with strategies," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 293-320.
    15. Shang, Pan & Li, Ruimin & Guo, Jifu & Xian, Kai & Zhou, Xuesong, 2019. "Integrating Lagrangian and Eulerian observations for passenger flow state estimation in an urban rail transit network: A space-time-state hyper network-based assignment approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 135-167.
    16. Cortés, Cristián E. & Jara-Moroni, Pedro & Moreno, Eduardo & Pineda, Cristobal, 2013. "Stochastic transit equilibrium," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 29-44.
    17. Valentina Trozzi & Guido Gentile & Ioannis Kaparias & Michael Bell, 2015. "Effects of Countdown Displays in Public Transport Route Choice Under Severe Overcrowding," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 823-842, September.
    18. Hamdouch, Younes & Ho, H.W. & Sumalee, Agachai & Wang, Guodong, 2011. "Schedule-based transit assignment model with vehicle capacity and seat availability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1805-1830.
    19. Cats, Oded & West, Jens & Eliasson, Jonas, 2016. "A dynamic stochastic model for evaluating congestion and crowding effects in transit systems," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 43-57.
    20. Chen, Kang & Yang, Zhongzhen & Notteboom, Theo, 2014. "The design of coastal shipping services subject to carbon emission reduction targets and state subsidy levels," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 192-211.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:93:y:2016:i:pa:p:181-206. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/548/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.