IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reveco/v68y2020icp33-46.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk dependence between energy corporations: A text-based measurement approach

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Jingyu
  • Li, Jianping
  • Zhu, Xiaoqian

Abstract

Most of the existing studies measure the risk dependence between corporations based on quantitative market data, which is susceptible to interference from market speculative behaviors. This paper innovatively studies the risk dependence between the energy corporations based on their textual risk disclosures in annual financial reports, which can fully reflect their fundamentals and avoid market speculation. The risk dependence between energy corporations is measured by the similarity of the disclosed risk factors faced by them. The empirical analysis discusses the risk dependence of 482 U.S. energy corporations based on the textual risk disclosures of 3,390 10-K filings from 2005 to 2017. The results show that the text-based risk dependence between the energy corporations is informative about their future stock co-movement.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Jingyu & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian, 2020. "Risk dependence between energy corporations: A text-based measurement approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 33-46.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:68:y:2020:i:c:p:33-46
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2020.02.009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056020300460
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.iref.2020.02.009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert S. Pindyck & Julio J. Rotemberg, 1993. "The Comovement of Stock Prices," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(4), pages 1073-1104.
    2. Restrepo, Natalia & Uribe, Jorge M. & Manotas, Diego, 2018. "Financial risk network architecture of energy firms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 630-642.
    3. Boyer, M. Martin & Filion, Didier, 2007. "Common and fundamental factors in stock returns of Canadian oil and gas companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 428-453, May.
    4. Bianconi, Marcelo & Yoshino, Joe A., 2014. "Risk factors and value at risk in publicly traded companies of the nonrenewable energy sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 19-32.
    5. Li, Jingyu & Yao, Yanzhen & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian, 2019. "Network-based estimation of systematic and idiosyncratic contagion: The case of Chinese financial institutions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
    6. Ramos, Sofia B. & Veiga, Helena, 2011. "Risk factors in oil and gas industry returns: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 525-542, May.
    7. Broadstock, David C. & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "Social-media and intraday stock returns: The pricing power of sentiment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 116-123.
    8. Laura L. Veldkamp, 2006. "Information Markets and the Comovement of Asset Prices," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 73(3), pages 823-845.
    9. Samuel Ronnqvist & Peter Sarlin, 2014. "Bank Networks from Text: Interrelations, Centrality and Determinants," Papers 1406.7752, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
    10. Dyer, Travis & Lang, Mark & Stice-Lawrence, Lorien, 2017. "The evolution of 10-K textual disclosure: Evidence from Latent Dirichlet Allocation," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 221-245.
    11. Yan‐ran Ma & Qiang Ji & Jiaofeng Pan, 2019. "Oil financialization and volatility forecast: Evidence from multidimensional predictors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 564-581, September.
    12. Shen, Yifan & Shi, Xunpeng & Variam, Hari Malamakkavu Padinjare, 2018. "Risk transmission mechanism between energy markets: A VAR for VaR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 377-388.
    13. Gupta, Kartick, 2016. "Oil price shocks, competition, and oil & gas stock returns — Global evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 140-153.
    14. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2011. "New evidence on oil price and firm returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3253-3262.
    15. Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Zhang, Zhiwei, 2019. "Connectedness and risk spillovers in China’s stock market: A sectoral analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    16. Friberg, Richard & Seiler, Thomas, 2017. "Risk and ambiguity in 10-Ks: An examination of cash holding and derivatives use," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 608-631.
    17. Tsai, Feng-Tse & Lu, Hsin-Min & Hung, Mao-Wei, 2016. "The impact of news articles and corporate disclosure on credit risk valuation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 100-116.
    18. Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2009. "International Stock Return Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(6), pages 2591-2626, December.
    19. Box, Travis, 2018. "Qualitative similarity and stock price comovement," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 49-69.
    20. Clifford S. Asness & Tobias J. Moskowitz & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2013. "Value and Momentum Everywhere," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(3), pages 929-985, June.
    21. Wen, Xiaoqian & Guo, Yanfeng & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi, 2014. "How do the stock prices of new energy and fossil fuel companies correlate? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 63-75.
    22. Ma, Yan-Ran & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang & Pan, Jiaofeng, 2019. "Spillovers between oil and stock returns in the US energy sector: Does idiosyncratic information matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 536-544.
    23. Wei, Lu & Li, Guowen & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping, 2019. "Developing a hierarchical system for energy corporate risk factors based on textual risk disclosures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 452-460.
    24. Chen, Peng, 2018. "Understanding international stock market comovements: A comparison of developed and emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 451-464.
    25. Ji, Qiang & Li, Jianping & Sun, Xiaolei, 2019. "Measuring the interdependence between investor sentiment and crude oil returns: New evidence from the CFTC's disaggregated reports," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 420-425.
    26. Lu Wei & Guowen Li & Xiaoqian Zhu & Jianping Li, 2019. "Discovering bank risk factors from financial statements based on a new semi‐supervised text mining algorithm," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 59(3), pages 1519-1552, September.
    27. Wei, Lu & Li, Guowen & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian, 2019. "Bank risk aggregation with forward-looking textual risk disclosures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    28. Yang Bao & Anindya Datta, 2014. "Simultaneously Discovering and Quantifying Risk Types from Textual Risk Disclosures," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(6), pages 1371-1391, June.
    29. Zhang, Bing & Li, Xiao-Ming, 2014. "Has there been any change in the comovement between the Chinese and US stock markets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 525-536.
    30. Samuel R�nnqvist & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Bank networks from text: interrelations, centrality and determinants," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 1619-1635, October.
    31. Volkan Muslu & Michael Rebello & Yexiao Xu, 2014. "Sell‐Side Analyst Research and Stock Comovement," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(4), pages 911-954, September.
    32. Sadorsky, Perry, 2001. "Risk factors in stock returns of Canadian oil and gas companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 17-28, January.
    33. Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2019. "Information interdependence among energy, cryptocurrency and major commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1042-1055.
    34. Ewing, Bradley T. & Malik, Farooq & Ozfidan, Ozkan, 2002. "Volatility transmission in the oil and natural gas markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 525-538, November.
    35. Choi, Bongseok & Kim, Seon Tae, 2018. "Price volatility and risk management of oil and gas companies: Evidence from oil and gas project finance deals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 594-605.
    36. Zhu, Xiaoqian & Xie, Yongjia & Li, Jianping & Wu, Dengsheng, 2015. "Change point detection for subprime crisis in American banking: From the perspective of risk dependence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 18-28.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Xiaoqian & Wei, Lu & Li, Jianping, 2021. "A two-stage general approach to aggregate multiple bank risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    2. Li, Guowen & Jing, Zhongbo & Li, Jingyu & Feng, Yuyao, 2023. "Drivers of risk correlation among financial institutions: A study based on a textual risk disclosure perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    3. Shen, Yiran & Liu, Chang & Sun, Xiaolei & Guo, Kun, 2023. "Investor sentiment and the Chinese new energy stock market: A risk–return perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 395-408.
    4. Li, Jianping & Li, Jingyu & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Yao, Yinhong & Casu, Barbara, 2020. "Risk spillovers between FinTech and traditional financial institutions: Evidence from the U.S," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Liu, Mingxi & Li, Guowen & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Yao, Yinhong, 2021. "Forecasting the price of Bitcoin using deep learning," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    6. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Luo, Tianqi & Yahya, Muhammad & Jayasekera, Ranadeva & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Okhrin, Yarema, 2023. "Risk network of global energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    7. Li, Jing & Li, Nan & Xia, Tongshui & Guo, Jinjin, 2023. "Textual analysis and detection of financial fraud: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Han, Chen & Wu, Chengliang & Wei, Lu, 2023. "The impact of the disclosure characteristics of the application material on the successful listing of companies on China’s Science and Technology Innovation Board," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    9. Senave, Elseline & Jans, Mieke J. & Srivastava, Rajendra P., 2023. "The application of text mining in accounting," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Guowen & Jing, Zhongbo & Li, Jingyu & Feng, Yuyao, 2023. "Drivers of risk correlation among financial institutions: A study based on a textual risk disclosure perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    2. Lv, Fei & Yang, Chen & Fang, Libing, 2020. "Do the crude oil futures of the Shanghai International Energy Exchange improve asset allocation of Chinese petrochemical-related stocks?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Sun, Xiaolei & Liu, Chang & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Assessing the extreme risk spillovers of international commodities on maritime markets: A GARCH-Copula-CoVaR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Systemic risk and financial contagion across top global energy companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Zhu, Zhaobo & Ji, Qiang & Sun, Licheng & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2020. "Oil price shocks, investor sentiment, and asset pricing anomalies in the oil and gas industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo, 2022. "The COVID-19 storm and the energy sector: The impact and role of uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    7. Wei, Lu & Li, Guowen & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping, 2019. "Developing a hierarchical system for energy corporate risk factors based on textual risk disclosures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 452-460.
    8. Travis Box & Danjue Shang, 2021. "Information‐driven stock price comovement," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(2), pages 403-429, June.
    9. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Soo-Wah Low & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi, 2020. "The Effects of Oil and Gas Risk Factors on Malaysian Oil and Gas Stock Returns: Do They Vary?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-22, July.
    10. Song, Yingjie & Ji, Qiang & Du, Ya-Juan & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2019. "The dynamic dependence of fossil energy, investor sentiment and renewable energy stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    11. Baur, Dirk G. & Todorova, Neda, 2023. "Big oil in the transition or Green Paradox? A capital market approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    12. Restrepo, Natalia & Uribe, Jorge M. & Manotas, Diego, 2018. "Financial risk network architecture of energy firms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 630-642.
    13. Li, Jianping & Feng, Yuyao & Li, Guowen & Sun, Xiaolei, 2020. "Tourism companies' risk exposures on text disclosure," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    14. Swaray, Raymond & Salisu, Afees A., 2018. "A firm-level analysis of the upstream-downstream dichotomy in the oil-stock nexus," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 199-218.
    15. Zhang, Guofu & Du, Ziping, 2017. "Co-movements among the stock prices of new energy, high-technology and fossil fuel companies in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 249-256.
    16. Mushtaq Hussain Khan & Junaid Ahmed & Mazhar Mughal & Imtiaz Hussain Khan, 2023. "Oil price volatility and stock returns: Evidence from three oil‐price wars," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3162-3182, July.
    17. David C. Broadstock, Ying Fan, Qiang Ji, and Dayong Zhang, 2016. "Shocks and Stocks: A Bottom-up Assessment of the Relationship Between Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and the Returns of Chinese Firms," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(China Spe).
    18. Misund, Bård, 2015. "Reserves Replacement and Oil and Gas Company Shareholder returns," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/11, University of Stavanger.
    19. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "What drives volatility of the U.S. oil and gas firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    20. Stavros Degiannakis, George Filis, and Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:68:y:2020:i:c:p:33-46. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620165 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.