IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v15y2011i3p1575-1592.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fuel consumption and emission prediction by Iranian power plants until 2025

Author

Listed:
  • Mazandarani, A.
  • Mahlia, T.M.I.
  • Chong, W.T.
  • Moghavvemi, M.

Abstract

Electricity consumption has grown eleven-times within the last 30 years in Iran, which has resulted in about 118Â Mtons in CO2 emission in 2009. Economic growth in Iran depends on electricity; therefore, the trend of electricity generation should keep going in the future to guarantee this growth. In view of this need, the country has to build many new power plants. If most of them are thermal types, the CO2 and other air pollutant emissions will increase and cause harmful environmental effects. In this paper, Iranian future power plant composition is investigated to predict the fuel consumption and emissions until 2025, which is the end of the country's 20-year vision plan (2006-2025). Government is planning to change the structure of power industries to a more variety and fewer shares of fossil fuel bases. The results showed that in this new composition, consumption of natural gas will increase by 47% and diesel by 50% by 2025. Coal consumption in power plants will reach to 10,826Â ktons in the same time span. Whereas if the old composition continues in the future, fuel consumption will increase by 130%, 106% and 69% for natural gas, diesel and fuel oil respectively. It is also found that by 2025, CO2 emission will increase another 2.1 times for the old and 1.6 times for the new power plant composition which government is planning to do.

Suggested Citation

  • Mazandarani, A. & Mahlia, T.M.I. & Chong, W.T. & Moghavvemi, M., 2011. "Fuel consumption and emission prediction by Iranian power plants until 2025," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 1575-1592, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:15:y:2011:i:3:p:1575-1592
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364-0321(10)00412-0
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mazandarani, A. & Mahlia, T.M.I. & Chong, W.T. & Moghavvemi, M., 2010. "A review on the pattern of electricity generation and emission in Iran from 1967 to 2008," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(7), pages 1814-1829, September.
    2. Mostafaeipour, Ali & Mostafaeipour, Neda, 2009. "Renewable energy issues and electricity production in Middle East compared with Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(6-7), pages 1641-1645, August.
    3. Yaghoubi, M. & Azizian, K. & Kenary, A., 2003. "Simulation of Shiraz solar power plant for optimal assessment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(12), pages 1985-1998.
    4. Nazari, S. & Shahhoseini, O. & Sohrabi-Kashani, A. & Davari, S. & Paydar, R. & Delavar-Moghadam, Z., 2010. "Experimental determination and analysis of CO2, SO2 and NOx emission factors in Iran’s thermal power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 2992-2998.
    5. Ghobadian, Barat & Najafi, Gholamhassan & Rahimi, Hadi & Yusaf, T.F., 2009. "Future of renewable energies in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 689-695, April.
    6. Hosseini, R. & Soltani, M. & Valizadeh, G., 2005. "Technical and economic assessment of the integrated solar combined cycle power plants in Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(10), pages 1541-1555.
    7. Hessari, F. A., 2005. "Sectoral energy consumption in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 203-214, April.
    8. Holttinen, Hannele & Tuhkanen, Sami, 2004. "The effect of wind power on CO2 abatement in the Nordic Countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(14), pages 1639-1652, September.
    9. Nguyen, Nhan T. & Ha-Duong, Minh, 2009. "Economic potential of renewable energy in Vietnam's power sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1601-1613, May.
    10. Lior, Noam & Chair, Panel, 2007. "Brief summary of the ECOS ’05 Panel on “Future Power Generation”," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 254-260.
    11. Gnansounou, Edgard & Dong, Jun & Bedniaguine, Denis, 2004. "The strategic technology options for mitigating CO2 emissions in power sector: assessment of Shanghai electricity-generating system," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1-2), pages 117-133, September.
    12. Romeo, Luis M. & Calvo, Elena & Valero, Antonio & De Vita, Alessia, 2009. "Electricity consumption and CO2 capture potential in Spain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(9), pages 1341-1350.
    13. Fadai, Dawud, 2007. "Utilization of renewable energy sources for power generation in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 173-181, January.
    14. Khosroshahi, Kaveh Aflaki & Jadid, Shahram & Shahidehpour, Mohammad, 2009. "Electric Power Restructuring in Iran: Achievements and Challenges," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 74-83, March.
    15. Oh, Tick Hui & Chua, Shing Chyi, 2010. "Energy efficiency and carbon trading potential in Malaysia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(7), pages 2095-2103, September.
    16. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio, 2009. "Electricity consumption forecasting in Italy using linear regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(9), pages 1413-1421.
    17. Mahlia, T.M.I, 2002. "Emissions from electricity generation in Malaysia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 293-300.
    18. Karbassi, A.R. & Abduli, M.A. & Mahin Abdollahzadeh, E., 2007. "Sustainability of energy production and use in Iran," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 5171-5180, October.
    19. Squalli, Jay, 2007. "Electricity consumption and economic growth: Bounds and causality analyses of OPEC members," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1192-1205, November.
    20. Noorollahi, Younes & Yousefi, Hossein & Itoi, Ryuichi & Ehara, Sachio, 2009. "Geothermal energy resources and development in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(5), pages 1127-1132, June.
    21. Ghorashi, Amir Hossien, 2007. "Prospects of nuclear power plants for sustainable energy development in Islamic Republic of Iran," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1643-1647, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ismail, M.S. & Moghavvemi, M. & Mahlia, T.M.I., 2013. "Energy trends in Palestinian territories of West Bank and Gaza Strip: Possibilities for reducing the reliance on external energy sources," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 117-129.
    2. Nabavieh, Alireza & Gholamiangonabadi, Davoud & Ahangaran, Ali Asghar, 2015. "Dynamic changes in CO2 emission performance of different types of Iranian fossil-fuel power plants," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 142-150.
    3. Ghorbani, Afshin & Rahimpour, Hamid Reza & Ghasemi, Younes & Zoughi, Somayeh & Rahimpour, Mohammad Reza, 2014. "A Review of Carbon Capture and Sequestration in Iran: Microalgal Biofixation Potential in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 73-100.
    4. Hasan, M.H. & Muzammil, W.K. & Mahlia, T.M.I. & Jannifar, A. & Hasanuddin, I., 2012. "A review on the pattern of electricity generation and emission in Indonesia from 1987 to 2009," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 3206-3219.
    5. Farzaneh-Gord, Mahmood & Ghezelbash, Reza & Sadi, Meisam & Moghadam, Ali Jabari, 2016. "Integration of vertical ground-coupled heat pump into a conventional natural gas pressure drop station: Energy, economic and CO2 emission assessment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 998-1014.
    6. Fabrizio, Enrico & Seguro, Federico & Filippi, Marco, 2014. "Integrated HVAC and DHW production systems for Zero Energy Buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 515-541.
    7. Arabi, Behrouz & Munisamy, Susila & Emrouznejad, Ali & Shadman, Foroogh, 2014. "Power industry restructuring and eco-efficiency changes: A new slacks-based model in Malmquist–Luenberger Index measurement," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 132-145.
    8. Rajaeifar, Mohammad Ali & Ghanavati, Hossein & Dashti, Behrouz B. & Heijungs, Reinout & Aghbashlo, Mortaza & Tabatabaei, Meisam, 2017. "Electricity generation and GHG emission reduction potentials through different municipal solid waste management technologies: A comparative review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 414-439.
    9. M. Mofijur & Teuku Meurah Indra Mahlia & Arridina Susan Silitonga & Hwai Chyuan Ong & Mahyar Silakhori & Muhammad Heikal Hasan & Nandy Putra & S.M. Ashrafur Rahman, 2019. "Phase Change Materials (PCM) for Solar Energy Usages and Storage: An Overview," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-20, August.
    10. Shekarchian, M. & Moghavvemi, M. & Rismanchi, B. & Mahlia, T.M.I. & Olofsson, T., 2012. "The cost benefit analysis and potential emission reduction evaluation of applying wall insulation for buildings in Malaysia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(7), pages 4708-4718.
    11. Rodrigues, Stefane Dias & Garcia, Vinicius Jacques, 2023. "Transactive energy in microgrid communities: A systematic review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    12. Nawaf S. Alhajeri & Fahad M. Al-Fadhli & Ahmed Z. Aly, 2019. "Unit-Based Emissions Inventory for Electric Power Systems in Kuwait: Current Status and Future Predictions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-19, October.
    13. Bahrami, Mohsen & Abbaszadeh, Payam, 2016. "Development a scenario-based model for Iran׳s energy future," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 963-970.
    14. Arabi, Behrouz & Munisamy, Susila & Emrouznejad, Ali & Toloo, Mehdi & Ghazizadeh, Mohammad Sadegh, 2016. "Eco-efficiency considering the issue of heterogeneity among power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 722-735.
    15. Hamed, Beheshti, 2011. "The prospective environmental impacts of Iran nuclear energy expansion," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 6351-6359, October.
    16. Shahsavari Alavijeh, H. & Kiyoumarsioskouei, A. & Asheri, M.H. & Naemi, S. & Shahsavari Alavije, H. & Basirat Tabrizi, H., 2013. "Greenhouse gas emission measurement and economic analysis of Iran natural gas fired power plants," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 200-207.
    17. Afshar, O. & Saidur, R. & Hasanuzzaman, M. & Jameel, M., 2012. "A review of thermodynamics and heat transfer in solar refrigeration system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(8), pages 5639-5648.
    18. Ostadi, Bakhtiar & Motamedi Sedeh, Omid & Husseinzadeh Kashan, Ali, 2020. "Risk-based optimal bidding patterns in the deregulated power market using extended Markowitz model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    19. Pishgar-Komleh, Seyyed Hassan & Omid, Mahmoud & Heidari, Mohammad Davoud, 2013. "On the study of energy use and GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions in greenhouse cucumber production in Yazd province," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 63-71.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ghorbani, Afshin & Rahimpour, Hamid Reza & Ghasemi, Younes & Zoughi, Somayeh & Rahimpour, Mohammad Reza, 2014. "A Review of Carbon Capture and Sequestration in Iran: Microalgal Biofixation Potential in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 73-100.
    2. Najafi, G. & Ghobadian, B. & Mamat, R. & Yusaf, T. & Azmi, W.H., 2015. "Solar energy in Iran: Current state and outlook," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 931-942.
    3. Meyar-Naimi, H. & Vaez-Zadeh, S., 2012. "Sustainable development based energy policy making frameworks, a critical review," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 351-361.
    4. Tavana, Alireza & Emami Javid, Alireza & Houshfar, Ehsan & Mahmoudzadeh Andwari, Amin & Ashjaee, Mehdi & Shoaee, Saeed & Maghmoomi, Abtin & Marashi, Fatima, 2019. "Toward renewable and sustainable energies perspective in Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1194-1216.
    5. Zangeneh, Ali & Jadid, Shahram & Rahimi-Kian, Ashkan, 2009. "A hierarchical decision making model for the prioritization of distributed generation technologies: A case study for Iran," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5752-5763, December.
    6. Arabi, Behrouz & Munisamy, Susila & Emrouznejad, Ali & Shadman, Foroogh, 2014. "Power industry restructuring and eco-efficiency changes: A new slacks-based model in Malmquist–Luenberger Index measurement," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 132-145.
    7. Bagheri Moghaddam, Nasser & Mousavi, Sayyed Moslem & Nasiri, Masoud & Moallemi, Enayat A. & Yousefdehi, Hami, 2011. "Wind energy status of Iran: Evaluating Iran's technological capability in manufacturing wind turbines," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 4200-4211.
    8. Morteza Aien & Omid Mahdavi, 2020. "On the Way of Policy Making to Reduce the Reliance of Fossil Fuels: Case Study of Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-28, December.
    9. Khojasteh, Danial & Khojasteh, Davood & Kamali, Reza & Beyene, Asfaw & Iglesias, Gregorio, 2018. "Assessment of renewable energy resources in Iran; with a focus on wave and tidal energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2992-3005.
    10. Habib Hussain Khan & Nahla Samargandi & Adeel Ahmed, 2021. "Economic development, energy consumption, and climate change: An empirical account from Malaysia," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(4), pages 397-423, November.
    11. Najafi, Gholamhassan & Ghobadian, Barat, 2011. "LLK1694-wind energy resources and development in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 2719-2728, August.
    12. Gorjian, Shiva & Zadeh, Babak Nemat & Eltrop, Ludger & Shamshiri, Redmond R. & Amanlou, Yasaman, 2019. "Solar photovoltaic power generation in Iran: Development, policies, and barriers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 110-123.
    13. Alizadeh, Reza & Soltanisehat, Leili & Lund, Peter D. & Zamanisabzi, Hamed, 2020. "Improving renewable energy policy planning and decision-making through a hybrid MCDM method," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    14. Mazandarani, A. & Mahlia, T.M.I. & Chong, W.T. & Moghavvemi, M., 2010. "A review on the pattern of electricity generation and emission in Iran from 1967 to 2008," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(7), pages 1814-1829, September.
    15. Amin Yousefi-Sahzabi & Kyuro Sasaki & Hossein Yousefi & Yuichi Sugai, 2011. "CO 2 emission and economic growth of Iran," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 63-82, January.
    16. Zhang, Chi & Zhou, Kaile & Yang, Shanlin & Shao, Zhen, 2017. "On electricity consumption and economic growth in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 353-368.
    17. Fazelpour, Farivar & Soltani, Nima & Soltani, Sina & Rosen, Marc A., 2015. "Assessment of wind energy potential and economics in the north-western Iranian cities of Tabriz and Ardabil," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 87-99.
    18. Nematollahi, Omid & Hoghooghi, Hadi & Rasti, Mehdi & Sedaghat, Ahmad, 2016. "Energy demands and renewable energy resources in the Middle East," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1172-1181.
    19. Assareh, E. & Behrang, M.A. & Assari, M.R. & Ghanbarzadeh, A., 2010. "Application of PSO (particle swarm optimization) and GA (genetic algorithm) techniques on demand estimation of oil in Iran," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 5223-5229.
    20. Afsharzade, Nashmil & Papzan, Abdolhamid & Ashjaee, Mehdi & Delangizan, Sohrab & Van Passel, Steven & Azadi, Hossein, 2016. "Renewable energy development in rural areas of Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 743-755.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:15:y:2011:i:3:p:1575-1592. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.