IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v232y2023ics0951832022006883.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The human factor in the disaster resilience modeling of critical infrastructure systems

Author

Listed:
  • Magoua, Joseph Jonathan
  • Li, Nan

Abstract

Under major shocks such as natural or man-made disasters, the ability of human actors to maintain the safety, reliability and performance of critical infrastructure systems (CISs) is essential for improving the resilience of the systems. To understand human-system influence mechanisms and provide solutions for improving the disaster resilience of CISs, a growing number of studies are attempting to incorporate the human factor in the disaster resilience modeling of CISs. This paper presents a systematic review of such studies and discusses the state of the art on the disaster resilience modeling of CISs from a socio-technical systems perspective. The in-depth review of literature helped to identify and classify the main human factors affecting CISs resilience and also highlighted the social aspects of CISs resilience that are still overlooked in relevant studies. Moreover, several knowledge and technical gaps were identified and discussed while providing inferences to possible solutions or future research directions. The findings and discussions of this study could be of significant value to researchers and professionals in the area of CISs resilience that aim to identify and propose solutions to CISs resilience problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Magoua, Joseph Jonathan & Li, Nan, 2023. "The human factor in the disaster resilience modeling of critical infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:232:y:2023:i:c:s0951832022006883
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.109073
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832022006883
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2022.109073?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Reilly, Allison C. & Baroud, Hiba & Flage, Roger & Gerst, Michael D., 2021. "Sources of uncertainty in interdependent infrastructure and their implications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    2. Kyriakidis, Miltos & Majumdar, Arnab & Ochieng, Washington Y., 2018. "The human performance railway operational index—a novel approach to assess human performance for railway operations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 226-243.
    3. Tao Wang & Bingsheng Liu & Jiaming Zhang & Guijun Li, 2019. "A Real Options‐Based Decision‐Making Model for Infrastructure Investment to Prevent Rainstorm Disasters," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 28(11), pages 2699-2715, November.
    4. Arif Mohaimin Sadri & Satish V. Ukkusuri & Seungyoon Lee & Rosalee Clawson & Daniel Aldrich & Megan Sapp Nelson & Justin Seipel & Daniel Kelly, 2018. "The role of social capital, personal networks, and emergency responders in post-disaster recovery and resilience: a study of rural communities in Indiana," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(3), pages 1377-1406, February.
    5. A Weintraub & J Aboud & C Fernandez & G Laporte & E Ramirez, 1999. "An emergency vehicle dispatching system for an electric utility in Chile," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 50(7), pages 690-696, July.
    6. Ruesch, Lea & Tarakci, Murat & Besiou, Maria & Van Quaquebeke, Niels, 2022. "Orchestrating coordination among humanitarian organizations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113725, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Khakzad, Nima & Khan, Faisal & Amyotte, Paul, 2012. "Dynamic risk analysis using bow-tie approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 36-44.
    8. Edward G. Anderson & Kyle Lewis & Gorkem Turgut Ozer, 2018. "Combining stock‐and‐flow, agent‐based, and social network methods to model team performance," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(4), pages 527-574, October.
    9. Andrew M. Smith & Andrés D. González & Leonardo Dueñas‐Osorio & Raissa M. D'Souza, 2020. "Interdependent Network Recovery Games," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(1), pages 134-152, January.
    10. Masini, Andrea & Menichetti, Emanuela, 2012. "The impact of behavioural factors in the renewable energy investment decision making process: Conceptual framework and empirical findings," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 28-38.
    11. Cameron A. MacKenzie & Hiba Baroud & Kash Barker, 2016. "Static and dynamic resource allocation models for recovery of interdependent systems: application to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 236(1), pages 103-129, January.
    12. Olivia Patterson & Frederick Weil & Kavita Patel, 2010. "The Role of Community in Disaster Response: Conceptual Models," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 29(2), pages 127-141, April.
    13. Jingjing Kong & Chao Zhang & Slobodan P. Simonovic, 2019. "A Two-Stage Restoration Resource Allocation Model for Enhancing the Resilience of Interdependent Infrastructure Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-16, September.
    14. Li Sun & Bozidar Stojadinovic & Giovanni Sansavini, 2019. "Agent‐Based Recovery Model for Seismic Resilience Evaluation of Electrified Communities," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(7), pages 1597-1614, July.
    15. Quan Mao & Nan Li, 2018. "Assessment of the impact of interdependencies on the resilience of networked critical infrastructure systems," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 315-337, August.
    16. Cameron MacKenzie & Hiba Baroud & Kash Barker, 2016. "Static and dynamic resource allocation models for recovery of interdependent systems: application to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 236(1), pages 103-129, January.
    17. Lea Ruesch & Murat Tarakci & Maria Besiou & Niels Van Quaquebeke, 2022. "Orchestrating coordination among humanitarian organizations," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(5), pages 1977-1996, May.
    18. Andrea Masini & E. Menichetti, 2012. "The impact of behavioural factors in the renewable energy investment decision making process: Conceptual framework and empirical findings," Post-Print hal-00651706, HAL.
    19. Shahid Hussain & Ki-Beom Lee & Mohamed A. Ahmed & Barry Hayes & Young-Chon Kim, 2020. "Two-Stage Fuzzy Logic Inference Algorithm for Maximizing the Quality of Performance under the Operational Constraints of Power Grid in Electric Vehicle Parking Lots," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-31, September.
    20. Liu, Xing & Ferrario, Elisa & Zio, Enrico, 2019. "Identifying resilient-important elements in interdependent critical infrastructures by sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 423-434.
    21. John Östh & Martina Dolciotti & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp, 2018. "Social Capital, Resilience and Accessibility in Urban Systems: a Study on Sweden," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 313-336, June.
    22. Nader Naderpajouh & David J. Yu & Daniel P. Aldrich & Igor Linkov & Juri Matinheikki, 2018. "Engineering meets institutions: an interdisciplinary approach to the management of resilience," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 306-317, September.
    23. Abdul Rahman, Fariz & Varuttamaseni, Athi & Kintner-Meyer, Michael & Lee, John C., 2013. "Application of fault tree analysis for customer reliability assessment of a distribution power system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 76-85.
    24. Allison C. Reilly & Andrew Samuel & Seth D. Guikema, 2015. "“Gaming the System”: Decision Making by Interdependent Critical Infrastructure," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 12(4), pages 155-172, December.
    25. Dmitry Anokhin & Payman Dehghanian & Miguel A. Lejeune & Jinshun Su, 2021. "Mobility‐As‐A‐Service for Resilience Delivery in Power Distribution Systems," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(8), pages 2492-2521, August.
    26. Sonja Kolen & Stefan Dähling & Timo Isermann & Antonello Monti, 2018. "Enabling the Analysis of Emergent Behavior in Future Electrical Distribution Systems Using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-16, February.
    27. Coles John & Zhuang Jun, 2011. "Decisions in Disaster Recovery Operations: A Game Theoretic Perspective on Organization Cooperation," Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-16, July.
    28. Hunt, J.C.R. & Timoshkina, Y. & Baudains, P. J. & Bishop, S.R., 2012. "System Dynamics Applied to Operations and Policy Decisions," European Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(3), pages 324-342, May.
    29. Liu, Yu & Chen, Yiming & Jiang, Tao, 2020. "Dynamic selective maintenance optimization for multi-state systems over a finite horizon: A deep reinforcement learning approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(1), pages 166-181.
    30. Sharkey, Thomas C. & Cavdaroglu, Burak & Nguyen, Huy & Holman, Jonathan & Mitchell, John E. & Wallace, William A., 2015. "Interdependent network restoration: On the value of information-sharing," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(1), pages 309-321.
    31. Ding, Long & Khan, Faisal & Ji, Jie, 2020. "A novel approach for domino effects modeling and risk analysis based on synergistic effect and accident evidence," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    32. Ayedh Almutairi & John P. Wheeler & David L. Slutzky & James H. Lambert, 2019. "Integrating Stakeholder Mapping and Risk Scenarios to Improve Resilience of Cyber‐Physical‐Social Networks," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 2093-2112, September.
    33. Bolton, Matthew L. & Zheng, Xi & Kang, Eunsuk, 2021. "A formal method for including the probability of erroneous human task behavior in system analyses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    34. Trucco, P. & Cagno, E. & De Ambroggi, M., 2012. "Dynamic functional modelling of vulnerability and interoperability of Critical Infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 51-63.
    35. Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Jaradat, Raed & Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Marufuzzaman, Mohammad & Buchanan, Randy K., 2019. "A framework for modeling and assessing system resilience using a Bayesian network: A case study of an interdependent electrical infrastructure system," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 62-83.
    36. Goldbeck, Nils & Angeloudis, Panagiotis & Ochieng, Washington Y., 2019. "Resilience assessment for interdependent urban infrastructure systems using dynamic network flow models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 62-79.
    37. Camilo Gomez & Andrés D. González & Hiba Baroud & Claudia D. Bedoya‐Motta, 2019. "Integrating Operational and Organizational Aspects in Interdependent Infrastructure Network Recovery," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1913-1929, September.
    38. Hassan, Emad M. & Mahmoud, Hussam, 2020. "An integrated socio-technical approach for post-earthquake recovery of interdependent healthcare system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    39. Krishnamurti, Tamar & Schwartz, Daniel & Davis, Alexander & Fischhoff, Baruch & de Bruin, Wändi Bruine & Lave, Lester & Wang, Jack, 2012. "Preparing for smart grid technologies: A behavioral decision research approach to understanding consumer expectations about smart meters," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 790-797.
    40. Arka Pandit & John C. Crittenden, 2016. "Index of network resilience for urban water distribution systems," International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 12(1/2), pages 120-142.
    41. Ouyang, Min, 2014. "Review on modeling and simulation of interdependent critical infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 43-60.
    42. Yaw Nyarko & Andrew Schotter, 2002. "An Experimental Study of Belief Learning Using Elicited Beliefs," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(3), pages 971-1005, May.
    43. Anu Ramaswami & Christopher Weible & Deborah Main & Tanya Heikkila & Saba Siddiki & Andrew Duvall & Andrew Pattison & Meghan Bernard, 2012. "A Social‐Ecological‐Infrastructural Systems Framework for Interdisciplinary Study of Sustainable City Systems," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 16(6), pages 801-813, December.
    44. Hu, Jinqiu & Khan, Faisal & Zhang, Laibin, 2021. "Dynamic resilience assessment of the Marine LNG offloading system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    45. Maarten Ottens & Maarten Franssen & Peter Kroes & Ibo Van De Poel, 2006. "Modelling infrastructures as socio-technical systems," International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2/3), pages 133-145.
    46. He, Xian & Cha, Eun Jeong, 2018. "Modeling the damage and recovery of interdependent critical infrastructure systems from natural hazards," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 162-175.
    47. Burcu Balcik & Selene Silvestri & Marie‐Ève Rancourt & Gilbert Laporte, 2019. "Collaborative Prepositioning Network Design for Regional Disaster Response," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 28(10), pages 2431-2455, October.
    48. Hunt, Kyle & Agarwal, Puneet & Zhuang, Jun, 2021. "Technology adoption for airport security: Modeling public disclosure and secrecy in an attacker-defender game," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    49. Zarei, Esmaeil & Khan, Faisal & Abbassi, Rouzbeh, 2021. "Importance of human reliability in process operation: A critical analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    50. Holmberg, Jan-Erik & Kahlbom, Ulf, 2020. "Application of human reliability analysis in the deterministic safety analysis for nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    51. Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Nur, Farjana & Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Jaradat, Raed & Marufuzzaman, Mohammad & Puryear, Stephen M., 2019. "A Bayesian network based approach for modeling and assessing resilience: A case study of a full service deep water port," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 378-396.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jiangbin Zhao & Mengtao Liang & Zaoyan Zhang & Xiangang Cao & Qi Lu & Zhiqiang Cai, 2023. "Post-Disaster Resilience Optimization for Road–Bridge Transportation Systems Considering Economic Loss," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-19, September.
    2. Xu, Min & Li, Guoyuan & Chen, Anthony, 2024. "Resilience-driven post-disaster restoration of interdependent infrastructure systems under different decision-making environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    2. Reilly, Allison C. & Baroud, Hiba & Flage, Roger & Gerst, Michael D., 2021. "Sources of uncertainty in interdependent infrastructure and their implications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    3. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    4. Caputo, A.C. & Donati, L. & Salini, P., 2023. "Estimating resilience of manufacturing plants to physical disruptions: Model and application," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    5. Jingjing Kong & Chao Zhang & Slobodan P. Simonovic, 2019. "A Two-Stage Restoration Resource Allocation Model for Enhancing the Resilience of Interdependent Infrastructure Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-16, September.
    6. Valaei Sharif, Shahab & Habibi Moshfegh, Peyman & Kashani, Hamed, 2023. "Simulation modeling of operation and coordination of agencies involved in post-disaster response and recovery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    7. Xu, Min & Li, Guoyuan & Chen, Anthony, 2024. "Resilience-driven post-disaster restoration of interdependent infrastructure systems under different decision-making environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    8. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    9. Hao, Yucheng & Jia, Limin & Zio, Enrico & Wang, Yanhui & Small, Michael & Li, Man, 2023. "Improving resilience of high-speed train by optimizing repair strategies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    10. Bhardwaj, U. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2022. "Casualty analysis methodology and taxonomy for FPSO accident analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    11. Brunner, L.G. & Peer, R.A.M. & Zorn, C. & Paulik, R. & Logan, T.M., 2024. "Understanding cascading risks through real-world interdependent urban infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    12. Camilo Gomez & Andrés D. González & Hiba Baroud & Claudia D. Bedoya‐Motta, 2019. "Integrating Operational and Organizational Aspects in Interdependent Infrastructure Network Recovery," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1913-1929, September.
    13. Talebiyan, Hesam & Dueñas-Osorio, Leonardo, 2023. "Auctions for resource allocation and decentralized restoration of interdependent networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    14. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    15. Jingjing Kong & Slobodan P. Simonovic & Chao Zhang, 2019. "Resilience Assessment of Interdependent Infrastructure Systems: A Case Study Based on Different Response Strategies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-31, November.
    16. Goldbeck, Nils & Angeloudis, Panagiotis & Ochieng, Washington Y., 2019. "Resilience assessment for interdependent urban infrastructure systems using dynamic network flow models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 62-79.
    17. Du, Ao & Wang, Xiaowei & Xie, Yazhou & Dong, You, 2023. "Regional seismic risk and resilience assessment: Methodological development, applicability, and future research needs – An earthquake engineering perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    18. Kowalska-Pyzalska, Anna, 2018. "What makes consumers adopt to innovative energy services in the energy market? A review of incentives and barriers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3570-3581.
    19. Jamar Kattel, Prakash & Aros-Vera, Felipe, 2020. "Critical infrastructure location under supporting station dependencies considerations," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    20. Guiyuan Li & Guo Cheng & Zhenying Wu & Xiaoxiao Liu, 2022. "Coupling Coordination Research on Disaster-Adapted Resilience of Modern Infrastructure System in the Middle and Lower Section of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-24, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:232:y:2023:i:c:s0951832022006883. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.