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Currency depreciations and the U.S.–Italian trade balance: Industry-level estimates

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  • Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen
  • Harvey, Hanafiah
  • Hegerty, Scott

Abstract

As one of the indebted Southern European countries that have put pressure on the Euro in recent months, Italy would benefit from a reduction in its external trade deficit. One channel could be through a weakening of its currency—which would only work if the Euro depreciated against the currency of an outside importer, such as the U.S. dollar. This study examines the response of the trade balances of 106 individual industries to such depreciations, using annual data and applying cointegration analysis. We find that only 19 industries register a long-run improvement, with these concentrated in miscellaneous manufactures (SITC sector 8). Two major products in the automotive industry—petroleum and road motor vehicles, show evidence of a “J-curve” effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Harvey, Hanafiah & Hegerty, Scott, 2013. "Currency depreciations and the U.S.–Italian trade balance: Industry-level estimates," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 215-225.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reecon:v:67:y:2013:i:3:p:215-225
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2013.04.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ridha Nouira, 2021. "U.S. – Italy commodity trade and the J-curve: new evidence from asymmetry analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 73-103, February.
    2. Stefano Lucarelli & Filippo Umberto Andrini & Annamaria Bianchi, 2018. "Euro depreciation and trade asymmetries between Germany and Italy versus the US: industry-level estimates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 15-34, January.

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