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Does economic policy uncertainty affect bank earnings opacity? Evidence from China

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  • Desalegn, Tigist Abebe
  • Zhu, Hongquan

Abstract

Uncertainty about economic policy (EPU) in today's interconnected world and its impact worldwide is more significant than ever before. Thus, this study examines EPU's impact on the bank's earnings opacity of the Chinese banking industry, using the two-step system GMM estimator and the time covering 2011–2018. Our finding shows a negative and statistically significant relationship between EPU and bank earnings opacity, implying that the Chinese banking sector decreases earnings opacity in times of high EPU to earn trust and show good banks’ financial image. Moreover, our finding reveals that the effect of EPU on earnings opacity relies on the banks’ financial strength. This study recommends that a policy to reduce earnings opacity should be in place and also the supervisory capability and financial regulation should be strengthened. Moreover, the regulators should be more vigilant while making economic policies during high economic uncertainties.

Suggested Citation

  • Desalegn, Tigist Abebe & Zhu, Hongquan, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect bank earnings opacity? Evidence from China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 1000-1015.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:43:y:2021:i:5:p:1000-1015
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2021.03.006
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    4. Ruiwen Zhang & Shujun Wang, 2023. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bank Stability: An Analysis Based on the Intermediary Effects of Opacity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-17, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EPU; Earnings opacity; Two-step system GMM estimator; Bank industry; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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