IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jotrge/v68y2018icp142-148.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Implications of automated vehicles for accessibility and location choices: Evidence from an expert-based experiment

Author

Listed:
  • Milakis, Dimitris
  • Kroesen, Maarten
  • van Wee, Bert

Abstract

In this paper, possible accessibility impacts of fully automated vehicles (AVs) are explored. A conceptual framework for those impacts is developed based on the model of four accessibility components (i.e. land use, transport, temporal and individual) of Geurs and van Wee (2004). Q-method is applied among a sample of seventeen international accessibility experts to explore heterogeneity among experts with respect to the impacts of AVs on accessibility, and study different views and clusters of experts. Q-method statements are deductively categorized according to four accessibility components of the conceptual framework. Three viewpoints were extracted, indicating that experts expect AVs to influence accessibility through all four accessibility components. Viewpoint A expects that accessibility benefits stemming from AVs will be highly uncertain, mainly because of induced travel demand that will likely cancel out travel time and cost savings of AVs in the long term. Viewpoint B anticipates that accessibility changes because of AVs will have two opposing implications for urban form: densification of city center and further urban sprawl. Finally, viewpoint C expects that those who can afford an AV will mainly enjoy AVs benefits, thus AVs will have more negative than positive implications for social equity.

Suggested Citation

  • Milakis, Dimitris & Kroesen, Maarten & van Wee, Bert, 2018. "Implications of automated vehicles for accessibility and location choices: Evidence from an expert-based experiment," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 142-148.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:142-148
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.03.010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0966692317308098
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.03.010?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raffael Argiolu & Rob van der Heijden & Ilona Bos & Vincent Marchau, 2008. "Intelligent Transport Systems and Preferences for Office Locations," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 40(7), pages 1744-1759, July.
    2. Correia, Gonçalo Homem de Almeida & van Arem, Bart, 2016. "Solving the User Optimum Privately Owned Automated Vehicles Assignment Problem (UO-POAVAP): A model to explore the impacts of self-driving vehicles on urban mobility," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 64-88.
    3. Fagnant, Daniel J. & Kockelman, Kara, 2015. "Preparing a nation for autonomous vehicles: opportunities, barriers and policy recommendations," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 167-181.
    4. Rammel, Christian & van den Bergh, Jeroen C. J. M., 2003. "Evolutionary policies for sustainable development: adaptive flexibility and risk minimising," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2-3), pages 121-133, December.
    5. van Wee, Bert, 2016. "Accessible accessibility research challenges," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 9-16.
    6. Chen, T. Donna & Kockelman, Kara M. & Hanna, Josiah P., 2016. "Operations of a shared, autonomous, electric vehicle fleet: Implications of vehicle & charging infrastructure decisions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 243-254.
    7. Rajé, Fiona, 2007. "Using Q methodology to develop more perceptive insights on transport and social inclusion," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 467-477, November.
    8. Zakharenko, Roman, 2016. "Self-driving cars will change cities," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 26-37.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Luca Staricco & Valentina Rappazzo & Jacopo Scudellari & Elisabetta Vitale Brovarone, 2019. "Toward Policies to Manage the Impacts of Autonomous Vehicles on the City: A Visioning Exercise," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-21, September.
    2. Carrese, Stefano & Nigro, Marialisa & Patella, Sergio Maria & Toniolo, Eleonora, 2019. "A preliminary study of the potential impact of autonomous vehicles on residential location in Rome," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 55-61.
    3. Latham, Alan & Nattrass, Michael, 2019. "Autonomous vehicles, car-dominated environments, and cycling: Using an ethnography of infrastructure to reflect on the prospects of a new transportation technology," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Gu, Yewen & Goez, Julio C. & Mario, Guajardo & Wallace, Stein W., 2019. "Autonomous vessels: State of the art and potential opportunities in logistics," Discussion Papers 2019/6, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    5. Zhiwei Liu & Jianrong Liu, 2023. "Shared Autonomous Vehicles as Last-Mile Public Transport of Metro Trips," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-15, October.
    6. Bouzouina, Louafi & Baraklianos, Ioannis & Bonnel, Patrick & Aissaoui, Hind, 2021. "Renters vs owners: The impact of accessibility on residential location choice. Evidence from Lyon urban area, France (1999–2013)," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 72-84.
    7. Wadud, Zia & Mattioli, Giulio, 2021. "Fully automated vehicles: A cost-based analysis of the share of ownership and mobility services, and its socio-economic determinants," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 228-244.
    8. Nogués, Soledad & González-González, Esther & Cordera, Rubén, 2020. "New urban planning challenges under emerging autonomous mobility: evaluating backcasting scenarios and policies through an expert survey," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Ahmed, Tanjeeb & Hyland, Michael & Sarma, Navjyoth J.S. & Mitra, Suman & Ghaffar, Arash, 2020. "Quantifying the employment accessibility benefits of shared automated vehicle mobility services: Consumer welfare approach using logsums," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 221-247.
    10. S. S. Ganji & A. N. Ahangar & Samaneh Jamshidi Bandari, 2022. "Evaluation of vehicular emissions reduction strategies using a novel hybrid method integrating BWM, Q methodology and ER approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11576-11614, October.
    11. Rubén Cordera & Soledad Nogués & Esther González-González & José Luis Moura, 2021. "Modeling the Impacts of Autonomous Vehicles on Land Use Using a LUTI Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-16, February.
    12. Nahmias-Biran, Bat-hen & Oke, Jimi B. & Kumar, Nishant, 2021. "Who benefits from AVs? Equity implications of automated vehicles policies in full-scale prototype cities," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 92-107.
    13. May, Anthony D. & Shepherd, Simon & Pfaffenbichler, Paul & Emberger, Günter, 2020. "The potential impacts of automated cars on urban transport: An exploratory analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 127-138.
    14. Alberto Dianin & Elisa Ravazzoli & Georg Hauger, 2021. "Implications of Autonomous Vehicles for Accessibility and Transport Equity: A Framework Based on Literature," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-17, April.
    15. Maria Juschten & Shannon Page & Helen Fitt, 2020. "Mindsets Set in Concrete? Exploring the Perspectives of Domestic Travellers on New Zealand’s (Auto-)Mobility Culture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-21, September.
    16. Karst Geurs & Cathy Macharis, 2019. "The future of European communication and transportation research: a research agenda," REGION, European Regional Science Association, vol. 6, pages 1-21.
    17. Dimitrios Rizopoulos & Marina Laskari & Gerasimos Kouloumbis & Ioanna Fergadiotou & Patrick Durkin & Kati Kõrbe Kaare & Muhammad Mahtab Alam, 2022. "5G as an Enabler of Connected-and-Automated Mobility in European Cross-Border Corridors—A Market Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-30, November.
    18. Pudāne, Baiba & van Cranenburgh, Sander & Chorus, Caspar G., 2021. "A day in the life with an automated vehicle: Empirical analysis of data from an interactive stated activity-travel survey," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    19. Kim, Sung Hoo & Circella, Giovanni & Mokhtarian, Patricia L., 2019. "Identifying latent mode-use propensity segments in an all-AV era," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 192-207.
    20. Ganji, S.S. & Ahangar, A.N. & Awasthi, Anjali & Jamshidi Bandari, Smaneh, 2021. "Psychological analysis of intercity bus passenger satisfaction using Q methodology," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 345-363.
    21. Amalia Polydoropoulou & Ioannis Tsouros & Nikolas Thomopoulos & Cristina Pronello & Arnór Elvarsson & Haraldur Sigþórsson & Nima Dadashzadeh & Kristina Stojmenova & Jaka Sodnik & Stelios Neophytou & D, 2021. "Who Is Willing to Share Their AV? Insights about Gender Differences among Seven Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-19, April.
    22. Yatao Huang & Hua Liu & Xuanxuan Guo & Wenxian Jiao, 2022. "The Perception of the National Traceability Platform among Small-Scale Tea Farmers in Typical Agricultural Areas in Central China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-20, December.
    23. Rounaq Basu & Joseph Ferreira, 2020. "A LUTI microsimulation framework to evaluate long-term impacts of automated mobility on the choice of housing-mobility bundles," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 47(8), pages 1397-1417, October.
    24. Lee, Jaehyung & Lee, Euntak & Yun, Jaewoong & Chung, Jin-Hyuk & Kim, Jinhee, 2021. "Latent heterogeneity in autonomous driving preferences and in-vehicle activities by travel distance," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guo, Yuntao & Souders, Dustin & Labi, Samuel & Peeta, Srinivas & Benedyk, Irina & Li, Yujie, 2021. "Paving the way for autonomous Vehicles: Understanding autonomous vehicle adoption and vehicle fuel choice under user heterogeneity," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 364-398.
    2. Nourinejad, Mehdi & Bahrami, Sina & Roorda, Matthew J., 2018. "Designing parking facilities for autonomous vehicles," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 110-127.
    3. Mourad, Abood & Puchinger, Jakob & Chu, Chengbin, 2019. "A survey of models and algorithms for optimizing shared mobility," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 323-346.
    4. Gelauff, George & Ossokina, Ioulia & Teulings, Coen, 2019. "Spatial and welfare effects of automated driving: Will cities grow, decline or both?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 277-294.
    5. Sajjad Shafiei & Ziyuan Gu & Hanna Grzybowska & Chen Cai, 2023. "Impact of self-parking autonomous vehicles on urban traffic congestion," Transportation, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 183-203, February.
    6. Marletto, Gerardo, 2019. "Who will drive the transition to self-driving? A socio-technical analysis of the future impact of automated vehicles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 221-234.
    7. Cokyasar, Taner & Larson, Jeffrey, 2020. "Optimal assignment for the single-household shared autonomous vehicle problem," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 98-115.
    8. Kolarova, Viktoriya & Steck, Felix & Bahamonde-Birke, Francisco J., 2019. "Assessing the effect of autonomous driving on value of travel time savings: A comparison between current and future preferences," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 155-169.
    9. Li, Dun & Huang, Youlin & Qian, Lixian, 2022. "Potential adoption of robotaxi service: The roles of perceived benefits to multiple stakeholders and environmental awareness," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 120-135.
    10. Emberger, Guenter & Pfaffenbichler, Paul, 2020. "A quantitative analysis of potential impacts of automated vehicles in Austria using a dynamic integrated land use and transport interaction model," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 57-67.
    11. Martin Adler & Stefanie Peer & Tanja Sinozic, 2019. "Autonomous, Connected, Electric Shared vehicles (ACES) and public finance: an explorative analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-005/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    12. Meyer, Jonas & Becker, Henrik & Bösch, Patrick M. & Axhausen, Kay W., 2017. "Autonomous vehicles: The next jump in accessibilities?," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 80-91.
    13. Zhou, Fan & Zheng, Zuduo & Whitehead, Jake & Washington, Simon & Perrons, Robert K. & Page, Lionel, 2020. "Preference heterogeneity in mode choice for car-sharing and shared automated vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 633-650.
    14. Fraedrich, Eva & Heinrichs, Dirk & Bahamonde-Birke, Francisco J. & Cyganski, Rita, 2019. "Autonomous driving, the built environment and policy implications," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 162-172.
    15. Ostermeijer, Francis & Koster, Hans RA. & van Ommeren, Jos, 2019. "Residential parking costs and car ownership: Implications for parking policy and automated vehicles," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 276-288.
    16. Tian, Zhihui & Feng, Tao & Yao, Baozhen & Hu, Yan & Zhang, Jing, 2023. "Where to park an autonomous vehicle? Results of a stated choice experiment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    17. Faber, Koen & van Lierop, Dea, 2020. "How will older adults use automated vehicles? Assessing the role of AVs in overcoming perceived mobility barriers," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 353-363.
    18. Liu, Zhaocai & Chen, Zhibin & He, Yi & Song, Ziqi, 2021. "Network user equilibrium problems with infrastructure-enabled autonomy," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 207-241.
    19. Sehyun Tak & Soomin Woo & Sungjin Park & Sunghoon Kim, 2021. "The City-Wide Impacts of the Interactions between Shared Autonomous Vehicle-Based Mobility Services and the Public Transportation System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-29, June.
    20. Nadafianshahamabadi, Razieh & Tayarani, Mohammad & Rowangould, Gregory, 2021. "A closer look at urban development under the emergence of autonomous vehicles: Traffic, land use and air quality impacts," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:142-148. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-transport-geography .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.