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Assessing High-Speed Rail’s impacts on land cover change in large urban areas based on spatial mixed logit methods: a case study of Madrid Atocha railway station from 1990 to 2006

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  • Shen, Yu
  • de Abreu e Silva, João
  • Martínez, Luis Miguel

Abstract

This paper proposes an accessibility-based spatial mixed logit (SML) model with panel data structure to examine the impacts of High-Speed Rail (HSR) on land cover change in large urban areas. Using data between 1990 and 2006, impacts of the Spanish HSR on Madrid’s Atocha railway station influence area – a 20km radius buffer centred on the station – were investigated. To model the HSR impacts, besides socioeconomic variables, the development of both local and regional transportation networks with corresponding accessibility improvement is also taken into account to segregate the impacts of land-cover change brought by different sources of accessibility measures. In this study, two SML models are used: one incorporates regional accessibility indicators as a base model, and the other does not, acting as a control model. The model estimation results reveal that the reduction of the local and regional weighted travel average time has positive impacts on the Atocha station catchment area’s urbanised land-cover rates. Although the base and control models both achieve high goodness-of-fit values, the base model that considers regional accessibility reveals a better goodness-of-fit statistic and is more robust than the control model. It is concluded that the improvement of regional accessibility due to the arrival of HSR at Atocha station plays an essential role in the urbanisation of land cover changes in the study area.

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  • Shen, Yu & de Abreu e Silva, João & Martínez, Luis Miguel, 2014. "Assessing High-Speed Rail’s impacts on land cover change in large urban areas based on spatial mixed logit methods: a case study of Madrid Atocha railway station from 1990 to 2006," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 184-196.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:41:y:2014:i:c:p:184-196
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2014.09.007
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    5. Zhu, Xinhua & Qian, Tiannan & Wei, Yigang, 2020. "Do high-speed railways accelerate urban land expansion in China? A study based on the multi-stage difference-in-differences model," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Deng, Taotao & Wang, Dandan & Hu, Yukun & Liu, Shuang, 2020. "Did high-speed railway cause urban space expansion? ——Empirical evidence from China's prefecture-level cities," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Zhu, Xinhua & Dai, Chun & Wei, Yigang, 2022. "Does the opening of high-speed railway improve air quality? Evidence from China," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Hu, Zhibin & Wu, Guangdong & Han, Yilong & Niu, Yanliang, 2023. "Unraveling the dynamic changes of high-speed rail network with urban development: Evidence from China," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    9. (Ato) Xu, Wangtu & Zhou, Jiangping & Yang, Linchuan & Li, Ling, 2018. "The implications of high-speed rail for Chinese cities: Connectivity and accessibility," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 308-326.
    10. (Ato) Xu, Wangtu & Huang, Ying, 2019. "The correlation between HSR construction and economic development – Empirical study of Chinese cities," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 24-36.
    11. Faghih-Imani, Ahmadreza & Eluru, Naveen, 2016. "Incorporating the impact of spatio-temporal interactions on bicycle sharing system demand: A case study of New York CitiBike system," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 218-227.
    12. Liansheng Zheng & Juncheng Li & Zhihua Zhao, 2022. "High‐Speed Rail Service and the Issuance of Municipal Corporate Bonds," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(4), pages 230-254, July.
    13. S., Minal & Chalumuri (Ch.), Ravi Sekhar, 2016. "Commuter's sensitivity in mode choice: An empirical study of New Delhi," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 207-217.
    14. Mu, Rui & de Jong, Martin & Ma, Yongchi & Xi, Bao, 2015. "Trading off public values in High-Speed Rail development in China," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 66-77.
    15. Weichen Liu & Jiaying Guo & Wei Wu & Youhui Cao, 2022. "The evolution of regional spatial structure influenced by passenger rail service: A case study of the Yangtze River Delta," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(2), pages 651-679, June.
    16. Yu, Danlin & Murakami, Daisuke & Zhang, Yaojun & Wu, Xiwei & Li, Ding & Wang, Xiaoxi & Li, Guangdong, 2020. "Investigating high-speed rail construction's support to county level regional development in China: An eigenvector based spatial filtering panel data analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 21-37.
    17. Zhang, Yaoyu & Liu, Jin & Wang, Bo, 2022. "The impact of High-Speed Rails on urban expansion: An investigation using an SDID with dynamic effects method," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PB).

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