The US monetary policy regime, interest differentials, and dollar exchange rate risk premia
AbstractIt is commonly believed that the Federal Reserve targeted money growth directly and allowed greater variation in interest rates during the October 1979-October 1982 period. Other things the same, this policy regime would be expected to increase the risk premium on the dollar exchange rate relative to a regime that attempted to reduce variations in the interest rate. We find that risk premia apparently did increase during the regime of M1 targeting. This implied that failure to recognize the effects of changes in Fed policy is a source of specification error in exchange rate models.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Money and Finance.
Volume (Year): 8 (1989)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30443
Other versions of this item:
- Michael T. Belongia & Mack Ott, 1987. "The U. S. monetary policy regime, interest differentials and dollar exchange rate risk premia," Working Papers 1987-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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