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U.S. Monetary Policy Regimes and U.S.-Japan Financial Relations

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Author Info
V. Vance Roley
Abstract

This paper examines the pervasiveness of the effects of U.S. monetary policy regime shifts and unanticipated changes in money on international financial markets. Four potential regimes from October 1977 to May 1985 are examined in terms of the response of yen-denominated securities in the Tokyo market to U.S. money surprises. The rationality of the responses in domestic and foreign on shore financial markets is further examined by testing whether the responses of dollar-denominated securities, yen-dominated securities, the spot yen/dollar exchange rate,and the forward yen/dollar exchange rate violate covered interest parity.The use of yen-denominated assets and the yen/dollar exchange rate allows further tests of the effects of the liberalization of restrictions on capital mobility in Japan since the late 1970s on market efficiency.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 1858.

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Date of creation: May 1987
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1858

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Roley, V Vance, 1983. "The Response of Short-Term Interest Rates to Weekly Money Announcements," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 15(3), pages 344-54, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. William T. Gavin & Nicholas V. Karamouzis, 1984. "Monetary policy and real interest rates: new evidence from the money stock announcements," Working Paper 8406, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
  3. V. Vance Roley, 1983. "The Response of Short-Term Interest Rates to Weekly Money Announcements," NBER Working Papers 1001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ito, Takatoshi, 1988. "Use of (Time-Domain) Vector Autoregressions to Test Uncovered Interest Parity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 70(2), pages 296-305, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-76, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Takatoshi Ito, 1987. "Capital Controls and Covered Interest Parity," NBER Working Papers 1187, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Grossman, Jacob, 1981. "The "Rationality" of Money Supply Expectations and the Short-Run Response of Interest Rates to Monetary Surprises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(4), pages 409-24, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Deardorff, Alan V, 1979. "One-Way Arbitrage and Its Implications for the Foreign Exchange Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(2), pages 351-64, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Hakkio, Craig S & Pearce, Douglas K, 1985. "The Reaction of Exchange Rates to Economic News," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 621-36, October.
  10. Cornell, Bradford, 1983. "Money Supply Announcements and Interest Rates: Another View," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56(1), pages 1-23, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. V. Vance Roley & Carl E. Walsh, 1986. "Monetary Policy Regimes, Expected Inflation, and the Response of Interest Rates to Money Announcements," NBER Working Papers 1181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Hansen, Lars Peter & Hodrick, Robert J, 1980. "Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(5), pages 829-53, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Husted, Steven & Kitchen, John, 1985. "Some Evidence on the International Transmission of U.S. Money Supply Announcement Effects," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(4), pages 456-66, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Frenkel, Jacob A & Levich, Richard M, 1977. "Transaction Costs and Interest Arbitrage: Tranquil versus Turbulent Periods," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(6), pages 1209-26, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Mussa, Michael, 1979. "Empirical regularities in the behavior of exchange rates and theories of the foreign exchange market," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 9-57, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Frankel, Jeffrey A & Hardouvelis, Gikas A, 1985. "Commodity Prices, Money Surprises and Fed Credibility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(4), pages 425-38, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Falk, Barry & Orazem, Peter F, 1985. "The Money Supply Announcements Puzzle: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(3), pages 562-64, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Abel, Andrew B. & Mishkin, Frederic S., 1983. "An integrated view of tests of rationality, market efficiency and the short-run neutrality of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 3-24. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. Henry C. Wallich, 1984. "Recent techniques of monetary policy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue May, pages 21-30. [Downloadable!]
  20. Cornell, Bradford & Shapiro, Alan C., 1985. "Interest rates and exchange rates: Some new empirical results," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 431-442, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. Walsh, Carl E, 1984. "Interest Rate Volatility and Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 16(2), pages 133-50, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  22. V. Vance Roley, 1982. "Weekly money supply announcements and the volatility of short-term interest rates," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Apr, pages 3-15. [Downloadable!]
  23. Hein, Scott E, 1985. "The Response of Short-term Interest Rates to Weekly Money Announcements: A Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(2), pages 264-71, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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