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Determinants of the incidence of U.S. Mortgage Loan Modifications

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  • Been, Vicki
  • Weselcouch, Mary
  • Voicu, Ioan
  • Murff, Scott
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    Abstract

    This paper combines data on the performance of mortgage loans with detailed borrower, neighborhood, and property characteristics to examine the factors that determine the outcomes of seriously delinquent loans. We employ multinomial logit models in a hazard framework to explain how loan, borrower, property, servicer and neighborhood characteristics affect which of the following four outcomes results from a seriously delinquent loan: (1) the borrower cures the delinquency; (2) the borrower and lender agree to modify the loan; (3) the borrower suffers a liquidation (short sale, deed in lieu, foreclosure auction sale or REO); or (4) the loan remains delinquent. In particular, we focus on mortgage modification. We find that the outcomes of delinquent loans are significantly related to: current LTV, FICO scores, especially risky loan characteristics, the servicer of the loan, neighborhood housing price appreciation, and whether the borrower received foreclosure counseling.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Banking & Finance.

    Volume (Year): 37 (2013)
    Issue (Month): 10 ()
    Pages: 3951-3973

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:10:p:3951-3973

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf

    Related research

    Keywords: Mortgage; Modification; Default; Foreclosure;

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