IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jbfina/v126y2021ics037842662100073x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Portfolio selection with parsimonious higher comoments estimation

Author

Listed:
  • Lassance, Nathan
  • Vrins, Frédéric

Abstract

Large investment universes are usually fatal to portfolio strategies optimizing higher moments because of computational and estimation issues resulting from the number of parameters involved. In this paper, we introduce a parsimonious method to estimate higher moments that consists of projecting asset returns onto a small set of maximally independent factors found via independent component analysis (ICA). In contrast to principal component analysis (PCA), we show that ICA resolves the curse of dimensionality affecting the comoment tensors of asset returns. The method is easy to implement, computationally efficient, and makes portfolio strategies optimizing higher moments appealing in large investment universes. Considering the value-at-risk as a risk measure, an investment universe of up to 500 stocks and adjusting for transaction costs, we show that our ICA approach leads to superior out-of-sample risk-adjusted performance compared with PCA, equally weighted, and minimum-variance portfolios.

Suggested Citation

  • Lassance, Nathan & Vrins, Frédéric, 2021. "Portfolio selection with parsimonious higher comoments estimation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:126:y:2021:i:c:s037842662100073x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106115
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037842662100073X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106115?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ledoit, Olivier & Wolf, Michael, 2004. "A well-conditioned estimator for large-dimensional covariance matrices," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 365-411, February.
    2. Walter Briec & Kristiaan Kerstens & Octave Jokung, 2007. "Mean-Variance-Skewness Portfolio Performance Gauging: A General Shortage Function and Dual Approach," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(1), pages 135-149, January.
    3. Zakamouline, Valeri & Koekebakker, Steen, 2009. "Portfolio performance evaluation with generalized Sharpe ratios: Beyond the mean and variance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 1242-1254, July.
    4. Anthonisz, Sean A., 2012. "Asset pricing with partial-moments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 2122-2135.
    5. Gordon J. Alexander & Alexandre M. Baptista, 2004. "A Comparison of VaR and CVaR Constraints on Portfolio Selection with the Mean-Variance Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1261-1273, September.
    6. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2002. "Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 191-221, January.
    7. Victor DeMiguel & Lorenzo Garlappi & Raman Uppal, 2009. "Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1-N Portfolio Strategy?," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(5), pages 1915-1953, May.
    8. Eric Jondeau & Emmanuel Jurczenko & Michael Rockinger, 2018. "Moment Component Analysis: An Illustration With International Stock Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 576-598, October.
    9. Boudt, Kris & Lu, Wanbo & Peeters, Benedict, 2015. "Higher order comoments of multifactor models and asset allocation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 225-233.
    10. Lwin, Khin T. & Qu, Rong & MacCarthy, Bart L., 2017. "Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: A nonparametric approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(2), pages 751-766.
    11. Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2006. "Optimal Portfolio Allocation under Higher Moments," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 12(1), pages 29-55, January.
    12. Ravi Jagannathan & Tongshu Ma, 2003. "Risk Reduction in Large Portfolios: Why Imposing the Wrong Constraints Helps," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1651-1683, August.
    13. Turan G. Bali & Stephen J. Brown & K. Ozgur Demirtas, 2013. "Do Hedge Funds Outperform Stocks and Bonds?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(8), pages 1887-1903, August.
    14. Victor DeMiguel & Lorenzo Garlappi & Francisco J. Nogales & Raman Uppal, 2009. "A Generalized Approach to Portfolio Optimization: Improving Performance by Constraining Portfolio Norms," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 798-812, May.
    15. Michael W. Brandt & Pedro Santa-Clara & Rossen Valkanov, 2009. "Parametric Portfolio Policies: Exploiting Characteristics in the Cross-Section of Equity Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(9), pages 3411-3447, September.
    16. Briec, Walter & Kerstens, Kristiaan & Van de Woestyne, Ignace, 2013. "Portfolio selection with skewness: A comparison of methods and a generalized one fund result," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 412-421.
    17. MacKinlay, A Craig & Pastor, Lubos, 2000. "Asset Pricing Models: Implications for Expected Returns and Portfolio Selection," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(4), pages 883-916.
    18. Alexios Ghalanos & Eduardo Rossi & Giovanni Urga, 2015. "Independent Factor Autoregressive Conditional Density Model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(5), pages 594-616, May.
    19. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    20. Hitaj, Asmerilda & Mercuri, Lorenzo & Rroji, Edit, 2015. "Portfolio selection with independent component analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 146-159.
    21. Ravi Jagannathan & Tongshu Ma, 2003. "Risk Reduction in Large Portfolios: Why Imposing the Wrong Constraints Helps," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1651-1684, August.
    22. Nathan Lassance & Frédéric Vrins, 2021. "Minimum Rényi entropy portfolios," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 23-46, April.
    23. Campbell Harvey & John Liechty & Merrill Liechty & Peter Muller, 2010. "Portfolio selection with higher moments," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 469-485.
    24. Merton, Robert C., 1980. "On estimating the expected return on the market : An exploratory investigation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 323-361, December.
    25. Ľuboš Pástor, 2000. "Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(1), pages 179-223, February.
    26. Eling, Martin & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2007. "Does the choice of performance measure influence the evaluation of hedge funds?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 2632-2647, September.
    27. Campbell R. Harvey & Akhtar Siddique, 2000. "Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1263-1295, June.
    28. Campbell, Rachel & Huisman, Ronald & Koedijk, Kees, 2001. "Optimal portfolio selection in a Value-at-Risk framework," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1789-1804, September.
    29. Kris Boudt & Dries Cornilly & Tim Verdonck, 2020. "A Coskewness Shrinkage Approach for Estimating the Skewness of Linear Combinations of Random Variables [International Asset Allocation with Regime Shifts]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 18(1), pages 1-23.
    30. Boudt, Kris & Cornilly, Dries & Verdonck, Tim, 2020. "Nearest comoment estimation with unobserved factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 381-397.
    31. Simaan, Yusif, 2014. "The opportunity cost of mean–variance choice under estimation risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 382-391.
    32. Behr, Patrick & Guettler, Andre & Miebs, Felix, 2013. "On portfolio optimization: Imposing the right constraints," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1232-1242.
    33. León, Angel & Moreno, Manuel, 2017. "One-sided performance measures under Gram-Charlier distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 38-50.
    34. Lionel Martellini & Volker Ziemann, 2010. "Improved Estimates of Higher-Order Comoments and Implications for Portfolio Selection," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(4), pages 1467-1502, April.
    35. Jiaqin Chen & Ming Yuan, 2016. "Efficient Portfolio Selection in a Large Market," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 496-524.
    36. Scott, Robert C & Horvath, Philip A, 1980. "On the Direction of Preference for Moments of Higher Order Than the Variance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(4), pages 915-919, September.
    37. Zoia, Maria Grazia & Biffi, Paola & Nicolussi, Federica, 2018. "Value at risk and expected shortfall based on Gram-Charlier-like expansions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 92-104.
    38. Ardia, David & Boudt, Kris, 2015. "Testing equality of modified Sharpe ratios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 97-104.
    39. Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "International asset allocation under regime switching, skew, and kurtosis preferences," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 889-935, April.
    40. Robert Jarrow & Feng Zhao, 2006. "Downside Loss Aversion and Portfolio Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 558-566, April.
    41. Price, Kelly & Price, Barbara & Nantell, Timothy J, 1982. "Variance and Lower Partial Moment Measures of Systematic Risk: Some Analytical and Empirical Results," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 37(3), pages 843-855, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lassance, Nathan, 2022. "Reconciling mean-variance portfolio theory with non-Gaussian returns," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(2), pages 729-740.
    2. Vitor Azevedo & Georg Sebastian Kaiser & Sebastian Mueller, 2023. "Stock market anomalies and machine learning across the globe," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(5), pages 419-441, September.
    3. Lassance, Nathan & Vrins, Frédéric, 2023. "Portfolio selection: A target-distribution approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(1), pages 302-314.
    4. M. D. Braga & C. R. Nava & M. G. Zoia, 2023. "Kurtosis-based risk parity: methodology and portfolio effects," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 453-469, March.
    5. Pier Francesco Procacci & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Portfolio optimization with sparse multivariate modeling," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(6), pages 445-465, October.
    6. Rogelio Ladrón de Guevara Cortés & Salvador Torra Porras & Enric Monte Moreno, 2021. "Comparison of Statistical Underlying Systematic Risk Factors and Betas Driving Returns on Equities," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(TNEA), pages 1-25, Septiembr.
    7. Eranda c{C}ela & Stephan Hafner & Roland Mestel & Ulrich Pferschy, 2022. "Integrating multiple sources of ordinal information in portfolio optimization," Papers 2211.00420, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    8. Khashanah, Khaldoun & Simaan, Majeed & Simaan, Yusif, 2022. "Do we need higher-order comoments to enhance mean-variance portfolios? Evidence from a simplified jump process," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Caldeira, João F. & Santos, André A.P. & Torrent, Hudson S., 2023. "Semiparametric portfolios: Improving portfolio performance by exploiting non-linearities in firm characteristics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    10. Inés Jiménez & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Javier Perote, 2022. "Dynamic selection of Gram–Charlier expansions with risk targets: an application to cryptocurrencies," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(1), pages 81-99, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lassance, Nathan, 2022. "Reconciling mean-variance portfolio theory with non-Gaussian returns," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(2), pages 729-740.
    2. Lassance, Nathan & Vrins, Frédéric, 2019. "Robust portfolio selection using sparse estimation of comoment tensors," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2019007, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    3. Lassance, Nathan & Vrins, Frédéric, 2023. "Portfolio selection: A target-distribution approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(1), pages 302-314.
    4. Le, Trung H., 2021. "International portfolio allocation: The role of conditional higher moments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 33-57.
    5. Penaranda, Francisco, 2007. "Portfolio choice beyond the traditional approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24481, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Khashanah, Khaldoun & Simaan, Majeed & Simaan, Yusif, 2022. "Do we need higher-order comoments to enhance mean-variance portfolios? Evidence from a simplified jump process," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Carroll, Rachael & Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Salvador, Enrique, 2017. "Asset allocation with correlation: A composite trade-off," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1164-1180.
    8. DeMiguel, Victor & Plyakha, Yuliya & Uppal, Raman & Vilkov, Grigory, 2013. "Improving Portfolio Selection Using Option-Implied Volatility and Skewness," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(6), pages 1813-1845, December.
    9. Lassance, Nathan & Vanderveken, Rodolphe & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "On the optimal combination of naive and mean-variance portfolio strategies," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    10. Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Iason Kynigakis, 2021. "Machine Learning and Factor-Based Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2107.13866, arXiv.org.
    11. Johannes Bock, 2018. "An updated review of (sub-)optimal diversification models," Papers 1811.08255, arXiv.org.
    12. Branger, Nicole & Lučivjanská, Katarína & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2019. "Optimal granularity for portfolio choice," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 125-146.
    13. Hwang, Inchang & Xu, Simon & In, Francis, 2018. "Naive versus optimal diversification: Tail risk and performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 372-388.
    14. Kerstens, Kristiaan & Mazza, Paolo & Ren, Tiantian & Van de Woestyne, Ignace, 2022. "Multi-Time and Multi-Moment Nonparametric Frontier-Based Fund Rating: Proposal and Buy-and-Hold Backtesting Strategy," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    15. DeMiguel, Victor & Martin-Utrera, Alberto & Nogales, Francisco J., 2013. "Size matters: Optimal calibration of shrinkage estimators for portfolio selection," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3018-3034.
    16. Han, Chulwoo, 2020. "A nonparametric approach to portfolio shrinkage," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    17. Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Han, Qiheng & Wu, Wensheng & Cao, Zhiguang, 2018. "Asset allocation strategies, data snooping, and the 1 / N rule," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 257-269.
    18. Behr, Patrick & Guettler, Andre & Truebenbach, Fabian, 2012. "Using industry momentum to improve portfolio performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 1414-1423.
    19. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Rosales, Francisco, 2022. "Orthogonal portfolios to assess estimation risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 906-937.
    20. Brinkmann, Felix & Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf, 2014. "Forward-looking measures of higher-order dependencies with an application to portfolio selection," CFR Working Papers 13-08 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:126:y:2021:i:c:s037842662100073x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.