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Financial linkages between US sector credit default swaps markets

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  • Arouri, Mohamed
  • Hammoudeh, Shawkat
  • Jawadi, Fredj
  • Nguyen, Duc Khuong

Abstract

We investigate the dynamic relationships between the US five-year financial CDS sector index spreads for the banking, financial services and insurance sectors in the short- and long-run over the recent period which is marked by the onset of the global financial crisis. For this purpose, we implement a Smooth Transition Error-Correction Model (STECM) to accommodate the presence of nonlinearities and asymmetry in the adjustment process of the CDS variables toward their long-run equilibrium. Our findings provide evidence of significant long-run equilibrium links for two out of the three CDS indices, which are found to be typically asymmetric and nonlinear. These findings are more potent and more strongly policy oriented when the control variables are introduced into an extended STECM.

Suggested Citation

  • Arouri, Mohamed & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Jawadi, Fredj & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Financial linkages between US sector credit default swaps markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 223-243.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:33:y:2014:i:c:p:223-243
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.08.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Balcilar, Mehmet & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Toparli, Elif Akay, 2018. "On the risk spillover across the oil market, stock market, and the oil related CDS sectors: A volatility impulse response approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 813-827.
    2. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor & Nur Azura Sanusi & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar, 2018. "The Determinants of Credit Risk: Analysis of US Industry-level Indices," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(5), pages 1152-1165, October.
    3. Moussa, Wajdi & Mgadmi, Nidhal & Béjaoui, Azza & Regaieg, Rym, 2021. "Exploring the dynamic relationship between Bitcoin and commodities: New insights through STECM model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Walid M. A. Ahmed, 2016. "The Dynamic Linkages among Sector Indices: The Case of the Egyptian Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(4), pages 23-38, April.
    5. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Nor, Safwan Mohd & Ferrer, Roman & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2017. "Asymmetric determinants of CDS spreads: U.S. industry-level evidence through the NARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 211-230.
    6. Mudiangombe, Benjamin & Muteba Mwamba, John Weirstrass, 2019. "Dependence Structure of Insurance Credit Default Swaps," MPRA Paper 97335, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Lahiani, Amine & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Linkages between financial sector CDS spreads and macroeconomic influence in a nonlinear setting," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 443-456.
    8. Umar, Zaghum & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Kenourgios, Dimitris, 2019. "Hedging U.S. metals & mining Industry's credit risk with industrial and precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    9. Da Fonseca, José & Ignatieva, Katja & Ziveyi, Jonathan, 2016. "Explaining credit default swap spreads by means of realized jumps and volatilities in the energy market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 215-228.
    10. Cumhur ÞAHÝN & Hüseyin ALTAY, 2016. "Examination of the Relationship between Turkey’s Credit Default Swap (CDS) Points and Unemployment," Eurasian Business & Economics Journal, Eurasian Academy Of Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 52-67, January.
    11. Sohel Azad, A.S.M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Fang, Victor & Wickramanayake, Jayasinghe, 2015. "International swap market contagion and volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 355-371.
    12. Guesmi, Khaled & Dhaoui, Abderrazak & Goutte, Stéphane & Abid, Ilyes, 2018. "On the determinants of industry-CDS index spreads: Evidence from a nonlinear setting," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 233-254.
    13. Tamakoshi, Go & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2016. "Time-varying co-movements and volatility spillovers among financial sector CDS indexes in the UK," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 288-296.
    14. Kizys, Renatas & Paltalidis, Nikos & Vergos, Konstantinos, 2016. "The quest for banking stability in the euro area: The role of government interventions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 111-133.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sector CDS indices; Credit risk; Long-run equilibrium; Nonlinear risk models; Forcing variables;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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