The information content of option-implied volatility for credit default swap valuation
Abstract
Credit default swaps (CDS) are similar to out-of-the-money put options in that both offer a low cost and effective protection against downside risk. This study investigates whether put option-implied volatility is an important determinant of CDS spreads. Using a large sample of firms with both CDS and options data, we find that individual firms' put option-implied volatility dominates historical volatility in explaining the time-series variation in CDS spreads. To understand this result, we show that implied volatility is a more efficient forecast for future realized volatility than historical volatility. More importantly, the volatility risk premium embedded in option prices covaries with the CDS spread. These findings complement existing empirical evidence based on market-level data.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Financial Markets.
Volume (Year): 13 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 321-343
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Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:13:y:2010:i:3:p:321-343
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/finmar
For corrections or technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Jeroen Loos).
Related research
Keywords: Credit default swaps Option implied volatility Historical volatility Price discovery Volatility risk premium;References
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Sergio Mayordomo & Juan Ignacio Peña & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2010. "Are all Credit Default Swap Databases Equal?," NBER Working Papers 16590, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sergio Mayordomo & Juan Ignacio Peña Sánchez de Rivera & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2010. "Are all Credit Default Swap databases equal?," Business Economics Working Papers wb104621, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
- repec:ner:carlos:info:hdl:10016/9704 is not listed on IDEAS
- Cho-Hoi Hui & Tom Fong, 2011. "Information Flow between Sovereign CDS and Dollar-Yen Currency Option Markets in the Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2009-2011," Working Papers 402011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
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