Disagreement in bargaining: An empirical analysis of OPEC
Abstract
We consider a stylised model in which two cartel members bargain over the aggregate-production quota in a world of asymmetric information. We show that when the two cartel members are sufficiently different, the probability of agreement depends on both the current state of demand and initial production. Specifically, the probability of agreement is much lower when demand is low (and initial production is relatively high) than when demand is high (and initial production is relatively low). We also find that, regardless of the current demand state, the more extreme is initial production, the higher is the probability of agreement. Using an event study, where we take as events OPEC production quota announcements, we demonstrate empirically that the predictions of the model are borne out.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Industrial Organization.
Volume (Year): 26 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (May)
Pages: 811-828
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505551
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Wirl, Franz, 2010. "Dynamic demand and noncompetitive intertemporal output adjustments," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 220-229, May.
- Kyle Hyndman, 2011. "Repeated bargaining with reference-dependent preferences," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 527-549, August.
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UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance
2009/14, University of Stavanger.
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- Demirer, RIza & Kutan, Ali M., 2010. "The behavior of crude oil spot and futures prices around OPEC and SPR announcements: An event study perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1467-1476, November.
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