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Asymmetric effects of climate policy uncertainty, infectious diseases-related uncertainty, crude oil volatility, and geopolitical risks on green bond prices

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  • Tian, Hao
  • Long, Shaobo
  • Li, Zixuan

Abstract

Employing the nonlinear ARDL model, this paper examines the asymmetric effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU), Infectious Disease Equity Market Volatility (IDEMV), the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX), and Geopolitical Risks (GPR) on green bond prices in the US, Europe, and China. The results show that the green bond markets in the US, Europe and China exhibit heterogeneities facing uncertainties. In the short-run, only China's green bond market is asymmetrically affected by uncertainties. In the long-run, the asymmetric effect exhibited by European green bond market is more extensive and shares similar characteristics to that of the US.

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  • Tian, Hao & Long, Shaobo & Li, Zixuan, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of climate policy uncertainty, infectious diseases-related uncertainty, crude oil volatility, and geopolitical risks on green bond prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:48:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322002501
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103008
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    Cited by:

    1. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2023. "Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10801, CESifo.
    2. Xiang, Feiyun & Chang, Tsangyao & Jiang, Shi-jie, 2023. "Economic and climate policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and life insurance premiums in China: A quantile ARDL approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Chan, Kam Fong & Malik, Ihtisham, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and the cross-section of stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    4. Lorente, Daniel Balsalobre & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness among climate change index, green financial assets and renewable energy markets: Novel evidence from sustainable development perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 94-105.
    5. Zhu, Bo & Hu, Xin & Deng, Yuanyue & Zhang, Bokai & Li, Xiru, 2023. "The differential effects of climate risks on non-fossil and fossil fuel stock markets: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    6. Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben & Zaied, Younes Ben, 2023. "Investigating the dynamics of crude oil and clean energy markets in times of geopolitical tensions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    7. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    8. Tang, Yumei & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Sarker, Provash Kumer & Baroudi, Sarra, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks and uncertainties on green bond markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    9. Wang, Kai-Hua & Zhao, Yan-Xin & Su, Yun Hsuan & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "Energy security and CO2 emissions: New evidence from time-varying and quantile-varying aspects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    10. Jiasheng Yu & Maojun Zhang & Ruoyu Liu & Guodong Wang, 2023. "Dynamic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty on Green Bond Volatility: An Empirical Investigation Based on TVP-VAR Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, January.
    11. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Liu, Hong-Wen & Liu, Lu, 2023. "Promotion or hindrance? Exploring the bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and green bonds from an energy perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    12. Chen, Zhonglu & Zhang, Li & Weng, Chen, 2023. "Does climate policy uncertainty affect Chinese stock market volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 369-381.
    13. Long, Shaobo & Tian, Hao & Li, Zixuan, 2022. "Dynamic spillovers between uncertainties and green bond markets in the US, Europe, and China: Evidence from the quantile VAR framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    14. Ren, Xiaohang & An, Yaning & Jin, Chenglu, 2023. "The asymmetric effect of geopolitical risk on China's crude oil prices: New evidence from a QARDL approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    15. Guo, Jiaqi & Long, Shaobo & Luo, Weijie, 2022. "Nonlinear effects of climate policy uncertainty and financial speculation on the global prices of oil and gas," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Green Bond; Climate Policy Uncertainty; Infectious Disease Uncertainty; Crude Oil Volatility; Geopolitical Risks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C87 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Econometric Software
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development

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