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Impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks on China's financial conditions

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  • Li, Zhenghui
  • Zhong, Junhao

Abstract

This study explores the effect of global economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on China's financial conditions index (CFCI) and analyzes the sources of uncertainty shocks. The results of the spillover index showed that the spillover effects of global EPU on CFCI were concentrated in the crisis periods, but mostly insignificant effect in the normal periods. The uncertainty shocks emanating from China itself were the major sources of China's financial markets volatility and the US EPU appeared to be the most significant exogenous cause of the fall of CFCI. The source of long-term uncertainty shocks changed over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Zhenghui & Zhong, Junhao, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks on China's financial conditions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:35:y:2020:i:c:s1544612319306841
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.101303
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    4. Yan Ding & Yue Liu & Pierre Failler, 2022. "The Impact of Uncertainties on Crude Oil Prices: Based on a Quantile-on-Quantile Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-35, May.
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    11. Jing Yuan & Yajing Dong & Weijie Zhai & Zongwu Cai, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Cross-Country Linkages and Spillover Effects on Economic Development in Some Belt and Road Countries," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202110, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2021.
    12. Yu, Jian & Shi, Xunpeng & Guo, Dongmei & Yang, Longjian, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and firm carbon emissions: Evidence using a China provincial EPU index," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    13. Kexian Zhang & Yan Wang & Zimei Huang, 2021. "Do the Green Credit Guidelines Affect Renewable Energy Investment? Empirical Research from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-18, August.
    14. Jiaying Peng & Zhenghui Li & Benjamin M. Drakeford, 2020. "Dynamic Characteristics of Crude Oil Price Fluctuation—From the Perspective of Crude Oil Price Influence Mechanism," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    15. Yanqiong Liu & Zhenghui Li & Yanyan Yao & Hao Dong, 2021. "Asymmetry of Risk Evolution in Crude Oil Market: From the Perspective of Dual Attributes of Oil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
    16. Wu, Weixing & Zhao, Jing, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and household consumption: Evidence from Chinese households," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    18. Deng, Chuang & Zhao, Xiuyi & Xu, Man, 2022. "Financial cycle and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    19. Chen, Zhang-HangJian & Li, Sai-Ping & Cai, Mei-Ling & Zhong, Li-Xin & Ren, Fei, 2021. "Cross-region risk spillover between the stock and stock index futures markets under exogenous shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    20. Yanhong Feng & Dilong Xu & Pierre Failler & Tinghui Li, 2020. "Research on the Time-Varying Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Crude Oil Price Fluctuation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-24, August.
    21. Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    22. Dongyang, Zhang, 2021. "Does a green-designed fiscal policy optimal firm innovation scheme on volatility? A firm level evidence in the Post-Covid-19 era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    23. Jia Li & Zhoutianyang Sun, 2023. "Cost stickiness, earnings forecast accuracy, and the informativeness of stock prices about future earnings: evidence from China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic policy uncertainty; China's financial conditions index; Spillover effect; Uncertainty shock;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy

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