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A common jump factor stochastic volatility model

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  • Laurini, Márcio Poletti
  • Mauad, Roberto Baltieri

Abstract

We introduce a new multivariate stochastic volatility model, based on the presence of a latent common factor with random jumps. The common factor is parameterized as a permanent component using a compound binomial process. This model can capture common jumps in the latent volatilities between markets, with particular relevance in the presence of crises and contagion in emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Mauad, Roberto Baltieri, 2015. "A common jump factor stochastic volatility model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 2-10.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:12:y:2015:i:c:p:2-10
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2014.12.009
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    Cited by:

    1. Everaert, Gerdie & Iseringhausen, Martin, 2018. "Measuring the international dimension of output volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 20-39.
    2. Li, Chenxing & Maheu, John M, 2020. "A Multivariate GARCH-Jump Mixture Model," MPRA Paper 104770, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Márcio Poletti Laurini & Roberto Baltieri Mauad & Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube, 2016. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility-Double Jump Model: an application for oil assets," Working Papers Series 415, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    4. Branger, Nicole & Muck, Matthias & Seifried, Frank Thomas & Weisheit, Stefan, 2017. "Optimal portfolios when variances and covariances can jump," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 59-89.
    5. Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube & Ariel Levy, 2019. "Recent movement of oil prices and future scenarios [Movimentos recentes dos preços do petróleo e os cenários futuros]," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 29(1), pages 223-248, January-A.
    6. Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Mauad, Roberto Baltieri & Aiube, Fernando Antônio Lucena, 2020. "The impact of co-jumps in the oil sector," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stochastic volatility; MCMC; Jump process; Regime changes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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