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Regulation, efficiency and equilibrium: A general equilibrium analysis of liberalization in the Turkish electricity market

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  • Akkemik, K. Ali
  • Oğuz, Fuat

Abstract

Turkish electricity sector has been undergoing significant regulatory reforms since 2001 and competition was introduced to some extent. This paper examines potential impacts of full liberalization on efficiency and competition in the electricity market using an applied computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and a counter-factual simulation. Simulation results imply enhanced efficiency in the electricity sector, reduced household energy prices, and gains in output and welfare by 0.5–1.1 percent of GDP. The paper also explains possible factors that lead to differences between estimated effects and actual results. With changing institutional background and legal framework, political pressures tend to dominate efficiency gains.

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  • Akkemik, K. Ali & Oğuz, Fuat, 2011. "Regulation, efficiency and equilibrium: A general equilibrium analysis of liberalization in the Turkish electricity market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 3282-3292.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:36:y:2011:i:5:p:3282-3292
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2011.03.024
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    8. Erisa Dautaj Şenerdem & K. Ali Akkemik, 2020. "Evaluation of the reform in the Turkish electricity sector: a CGE analysis," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 389-419, August.
    9. Michael L. Polemis & Thanasis Stengos, 2019. "Does competition prevent industrial pollution? Evidence from a panel threshold model," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 98-110, January.
    10. Çetin, Tamer & Yüksel, Fatih, 2014. "Empirical investigation on energy dependence-consumption nexus: Evidence from Turkish natural gas market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 243-251.
    11. Langarita, Raquel & Duarte, Rosa & Hewings, Geoffrey & Sánchez-Chóliz, Julio, 2019. "Testing European goals for the Spanish electricity system using a disaggregated CGE model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1288-1301.
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    13. Ayala, Edgardo & Chapa, Joana & García, Lester & Hibert, Abel, 2018. "Welfare effects of the Telecommunication Reform in Mexico," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 24-36.
    14. He, Yongda & Lin, Boqiang, 2017. "The impact of natural gas price control in China: A computable general equilibrium approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 524-531.
    15. Jieting Yin & Qingyou Yan & Kaijie Lei & Tomas Baležentis & Dalia Streimikiene, 2019. "Economic and Efficiency Analysis of China Electricity Market Reform Using Computable General Equilibrium Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    16. Sumei Chen & Lingyun He, 2013. "Deregulation or Governmental Intervention? A Counterfactual Perspective on China's Electricity Market Reform," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 21(4), pages 101-120, July.
    17. Taran Faehn & Gabriel Bachner & Robert Beach & Jean Chateau & Shinichiro Fujimori & Madanmohan Ghosh & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Elisa Lanzi & Sergey Paltsev & Toon Vandyck & Bruno Cunha & Rafael Garaffa , 2020. "Capturing Key Energy and Emission Trends in CGE models: Assessment of Status and Remaining Challenges," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 5(1), pages 196-272, June.
    18. Fenglong XIAO, 2011. "General Equilibrium Analysis of Electricity Market Liberalization in Singapore: A Comparative Study," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(12(565)), pages 107-114, December.
    19. Hwang, Won-Sik & Lee, Jeong-Dong, 2015. "A CGE analysis for quantitative evaluation of electricity market changes," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 69-81.
    20. Polemis, Michael L., 2016. "New evidence on the impact of structural reforms on electricity sector performance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 420-431.
    21. Iimura, Akiko & Cross, Jeffrey S., 2018. "The impact of renewable energy on household electricity prices in liberalized electricity markets: A cross-national panel data analysis," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 96-106.
    22. Verbič, Miroslav & Filipović, Sanja & Radovanović, Mirjana, 2017. "Electricity prices and energy intensity in Europe," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 58-68.
    23. Peng Ou & Ruting Huang & Xin Yao, 2016. "Economic Impacts of Power Shortage," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-21, July.
    24. Yuanying Chi & Zhengquan Guo & Yuhua Zheng & Xingping Zhang, 2014. "Scenarios Analysis of the Energies’ Consumption and Carbon Emissions in China Based on a Dynamic CGE Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-26, January.
    25. K. Ali Akkemik & Shinya Kato, 2023. "Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 489-532, August.

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