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Projecting India's energy requirements for policy formulation

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  • Parikh, Kirit S.
  • Karandikar, Vivek
  • Rana, Ashish
  • Dani, Prasanna

Abstract

Energy policy has to have a long-term perspective. To formulate it one needs to know the contours of energy requirements and options. Different approaches have been followed in literature, each with their own problems. A top down econometric approach provides little guidance on policies, while a bottom up approval requires too much knowledge and too many assumptions. Using top-down econometric approach for aggregate overall benchmarking and a detailed activity analysis model, Integrated Energy System Model, for a few large sectors, provides a unique combination for easing the difficulties of policy formulation. The model is described in this paper. Eleven alternate scenarios are built, designed to map out extreme points of feasible options. Results show that even after employing all domestic energy resource to their full potential, there will be a continued rise of fossil fuel use, continued importance of coal, and continued rise of import dependence. Energy efficiency emerges as a major option with a potential to reduce energy requirement by as much as 17%. Scenario results point towards pushing for development of alternative sources.

Suggested Citation

  • Parikh, Kirit S. & Karandikar, Vivek & Rana, Ashish & Dani, Prasanna, 2009. "Projecting India's energy requirements for policy formulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 928-941.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:34:y:2009:i:8:p:928-941
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2008.11.010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joyashree Roy & Jayant Sathaye & Alan Sanstad & Puran Mongia & Katja Schumacher, 1999. "Productivity Trends in India's Energy Intensive Industries," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 33-61.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ghosh, Sajal, 2010. "High speed diesel consumption and economic growth in India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1794-1798.
    2. Luo, D.K. & Dai, Y.J. & Xia, L.Y., 2011. "Economic evaluation based policy analysis for coalbed methane industry in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 360-368.
    3. Bass, Robert J. & Malalasekera, Weeratunge & Willmot, Peter & Versteeg, Henk K., 2011. "The impact of variable demand upon the performance of a combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) power plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1956-1965.
    4. Gambhir, Ajay & Napp, Tamaryn A. & Emmott, Christopher J.M. & Anandarajah, Gabrial, 2014. "India's CO2 emissions pathways to 2050: Energy system, economic and fossil fuel impacts with and without carbon permit trading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 791-801.
    5. Parikh, Jyoti & Parikh, Kirit, 2011. "India’s energy needs and low carbon options," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 3650-3658.
    6. Parikh, Kirit S. & Parikh, Jyoti K. & Ghosh, Probal P., 2018. "Can India grow and live within a 1.5 degree CO2 emissions budget?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 24-37.
    7. Pukšec, Tomislav & Krajačić, Goran & Lulić, Zoran & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Duić, Neven, 2013. "Forecasting long-term energy demand of Croatian transport sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 169-176.
    8. van Ruijven, Bas & de Vries, Bert & van Vuuren, Detlef P. & van der Sluijs, Jeroen P., 2010. "A global model for residential energy use: Uncertainty in calibration to regional data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 269-282.

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