IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v181y2019icp1321-1330.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Repurposing an energy system optimization model for seasonal power generation planning

Author

Listed:
  • de Queiroz, A.R.
  • Mulcahy, D.
  • Sankarasubramanian, A.
  • Deane, J.P.
  • Mahinthakumar, G.
  • Lu, N.
  • DeCarolis, J.F.

Abstract

Seasonal climate variations affect electricity demand, which in turn affects month-to-month electricity planning and operations. Electricity system planning at the monthly timescale can be improved by adapting climate forecasts to estimate electricity demand and utilizing energy models to estimate monthly electricity generation and associated operational costs. The objective of this paper is to develop and test a computationally efficient model that can support seasonal planning while preserving key aspects of system operation over hourly and daily timeframes. To do so, an energy system optimization model is repurposed for seasonal planning using features drawn from a unit commitment model. Different scenarios utilizing a well-known test system are used to evaluate the errors associated with both the repurposed energy system model and an imperfect load forecast. The results show that the energy system optimization model using an imperfect load forecast produces differences in monthly cost and generation levels that are less than 2% compared with a unit commitment model using a perfect load forecast. The enhanced energy system optimization model can be solved approximately 100 times faster than the unit commitment model, making it a suitable tool for future work aimed at evaluating seasonal electricity generation and demand under uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • de Queiroz, A.R. & Mulcahy, D. & Sankarasubramanian, A. & Deane, J.P. & Mahinthakumar, G. & Lu, N. & DeCarolis, J.F., 2019. "Repurposing an energy system optimization model for seasonal power generation planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 1321-1330.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:181:y:2019:i:c:p:1321-1330
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2019.05.126
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544219310084
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2019.05.126?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Collins, Seán & Deane, John Paul & Poncelet, Kris & Panos, Evangelos & Pietzcker, Robert C. & Delarue, Erik & Ó Gallachóir, Brian Pádraig, 2017. "Integrating short term variations of the power system into integrated energy system models: A methodological review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 839-856.
    2. Kia, Mohsen & Nazar, Mehrdad Setayesh & Sepasian, Mohammad Sadegh & Heidari, Alireza & Siano, Pierluigi, 2017. "Optimal day ahead scheduling of combined heat and power units with electrical and thermal storage considering security constraint of power system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 241-252.
    3. Jiang, Yibo & Xu, Jian & Sun, Yuanzhang & Wei, Congying & Wang, Jing & Ke, Deping & Li, Xiong & Yang, Jun & Peng, Xiaotao & Tang, Bowen, 2017. "Day-ahead stochastic economic dispatch of wind integrated power system considering demand response of residential hybrid energy system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1126-1137.
    4. Deane, J.P. & Chiodi, Alessandro & Gargiulo, Maurizio & Ó Gallachóir, Brian P., 2012. "Soft-linking of a power systems model to an energy systems model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 303-312.
    5. Wang, Jiadong & Wang, Jianhui & Liu, Cong & Ruiz, Juan P., 2013. "Stochastic unit commitment with sub-hourly dispatch constraints," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 418-422.
    6. de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo, 2016. "Stochastic hydro-thermal scheduling optimization: An overview," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 382-395.
    7. Jonathan F. Bard, 1988. "Short-Term Scheduling of Thermal-Electric Generators Using Lagrangian Relaxation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 36(5), pages 756-766, October.
    8. Oree, Vishwamitra & Sayed Hassen, Sayed Z. & Fleming, Peter J., 2017. "Generation expansion planning optimisation with renewable energy integration: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 790-803.
    9. Zhiqiang Jiang & Hui Qin & Changming Ji & Dechao Hu & Jianzhong Zhou, 2019. "Effect Analysis of Operation Stage Difference on Energy Storage Operation Chart of Cascade Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(4), pages 1349-1365, March.
    10. Hong, Tao & Fan, Shu, 2016. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting: A tutorial review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 914-938.
    11. Apadula, Francesco & Bassini, Alessandra & Elli, Alberto & Scapin, Simone, 2012. "Relationships between meteorological variables and monthly electricity demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 346-356.
    12. Hobbs, Benjamin F., 1995. "Optimization methods for electric utility resource planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 1-20, May.
    13. Hunt, Julian David & Freitas, Marcos Aurélio Vasconcelos & Pereira Junior, Amaro Olímipio, 2014. "Enhanced-Pumped-Storage: Combining pumped-storage in a yearly storage cycle with dams in cascade in Brazil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 513-523.
    14. Jiang, Zhiqiang & Li, Rongbo & Li, Anqiang & Ji, Changming, 2018. "Runoff forecast uncertainty considered load adjustment model of cascade hydropower stations and its application," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 693-708.
    15. Howells, Mark & Rogner, Holger & Strachan, Neil & Heaps, Charles & Huntington, Hillard & Kypreos, Socrates & Hughes, Alison & Silveira, Semida & DeCarolis, Joe & Bazillian, Morgan & Roehrl, Alexander, 2011. "OSeMOSYS: The Open Source Energy Modeling System: An introduction to its ethos, structure and development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 5850-5870, October.
    16. Ignacio J. Perez-Arriaga & Carlos Batlle, 2012. "Impacts of Intermittent Renewables on Electricity Generation System Operation," Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    17. Hunter, Kevin & Sreepathi, Sarat & DeCarolis, Joseph F., 2013. "Modeling for insight using Tools for Energy Model Optimization and Analysis (Temoa)," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 339-349.
    18. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Georgiadis, Michael C., 2015. "A multi-period, multi-regional generation expansion planning model incorporating unit commitment constraints," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 310-331.
    19. de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo & Faria, Victor A.D. & Lima, Luana M.M. & Lima, José W.M., 2019. "Hydropower revenues under the threat of climate change in Brazil," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 873-882.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sajad Aliakbari Sani & Olivier Bahn & Erick Delage & Rinel Foguen Tchuendom, 2022. "Robust Integration of Electric Vehicles Charging Load in Smart Grid’s Capacity Expansion Planning," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 1010-1041, September.
    2. Sodano, Daniel & DeCarolis, Joseph F. & Rodrigo de Queiroz, Anderson & Johnson, Jeremiah X., 2021. "The symbiotic relationship of solar power and energy storage in providing capacity value," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 823-832.
    3. Ren, Hongbo & Jiang, Zipei & Wu, Qiong & Li, Qifen & Lv, Hang, 2023. "Optimal planning of an economic and resilient district integrated energy system considering renewable energy uncertainty and demand response under natural disasters," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    4. de Faria, Victor A.D. & de Queiroz, Anderson R. & DeCarolis, Joseph F., 2022. "Optimizing offshore renewable portfolios under resource variability," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    5. Bastien Alonzo & Philippe Drobinski & Riwal Plougonven & Peter Tankov, 2020. "Measuring the Risk of Supply and Demand Imbalance at the Monthly to Seasonal Scale in France," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-21, September.
    6. Eshraghi, Hadi & Rodrigo de Queiroz, Anderson & Sankarasubramanian, A. & DeCarolis, Joseph F., 2021. "Quantification of climate-induced interannual variability in residential U.S. electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    7. Stanley Semelane, & Nnamdi Nwulu, & Njabulo Kambule, & Henerica Tazvinga,, 2021. "Evaluating available solar photovoltaic business opportunities in coal phase-out regions – An energy transition case of Steve Tshwete local municipality in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Niina Helistö & Juha Kiviluoma & Hannele Holttinen & Jose Daniel Lara & Bri‐Mathias Hodge, 2019. "Including operational aspects in the planning of power systems with large amounts of variable generation: A review of modeling approaches," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(5), September.
    2. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2018. "State-of-the-art generation expansion planning: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 563-589.
    3. Mehigan, L. & Deane, J.P. & Gallachóir, B.P.Ó. & Bertsch, V., 2018. "A review of the role of distributed generation (DG) in future electricity systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 822-836.
    4. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    5. Vrionis, Constantinos & Tsalavoutis, Vasilios & Tolis, Athanasios, 2020. "A Generation Expansion Planning model for integrating high shares of renewable energy: A Meta-Model Assisted Evolutionary Algorithm approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    6. Yue, Xiufeng & Deane, J.P. & O'Gallachoir, Brian & Rogan, Fionn, 2020. "Identifying decarbonisation opportunities using marginal abatement cost curves and energy system scenario ensembles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    7. Chang, Miguel & Lund, Henrik & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2023. "Perspectives on purpose-driven coupling of energy system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    8. Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E., 2019. "Review of models for integrating renewable energy in the generation expansion planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1573-1587.
    9. Yue, Xiufeng & Patankar, Neha & Decarolis, Joseph & Chiodi, Alessandro & Rogan, Fionn & Deane, J.P. & O’Gallachoir, Brian, 2020. "Least cost energy system pathways towards 100% renewable energy in Ireland by 2050," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    10. Lopion, Peter & Markewitz, Peter & Robinius, Martin & Stolten, Detlef, 2018. "A review of current challenges and trends in energy systems modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 156-166.
    11. Thimet, P.J. & Mavromatidis, G., 2022. "Review of model-based electricity system transition scenarios: An analysis for Switzerland, Germany, France, and Italy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    12. Poncelet, Kris & Delarue, Erik & D’haeseleer, William, 2020. "Unit commitment constraints in long-term planning models: Relevance, pitfalls and the role of assumptions on flexibility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    13. Chen, Siyuan & Liu, Pei & Li, Zheng, 2020. "Low carbon transition pathway of power sector with high penetration of renewable energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    14. DeCarolis, Joseph & Daly, Hannah & Dodds, Paul & Keppo, Ilkka & Li, Francis & McDowall, Will & Pye, Steve & Strachan, Neil & Trutnevyte, Evelina & Usher, Will & Winning, Matthew & Yeh, Sonia & Zeyring, 2017. "Formalizing best practice for energy system optimization modelling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 184-198.
    15. Sajad Aliakbari Sani & Olivier Bahn & Erick Delage & Rinel Foguen Tchuendom, 2022. "Robust Integration of Electric Vehicles Charging Load in Smart Grid’s Capacity Expansion Planning," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 1010-1041, September.
    16. Oree, Vishwamitra & Sayed Hassen, Sayed Z. & Fleming, Peter J., 2017. "Generation expansion planning optimisation with renewable energy integration: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 790-803.
    17. Buchholz, Stefanie & Gamst, Mette & Pisinger, David, 2020. "Sensitivity analysis of time aggregation techniques applied to capacity expansion energy system models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    18. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Manzolini, Giampaolo & Moser, David & Nastasi, Benedetto & Sparber, Wolfram, 2020. "Classification and challenges of bottom-up energy system models - A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    19. Després, Jacques & Hadjsaid, Nouredine & Criqui, Patrick & Noirot, Isabelle, 2015. "Modelling the impacts of variable renewable sources on the power sector: Reconsidering the typology of energy modelling tools," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 486-495.
    20. Collins, Seán & Deane, J.P. & Ó Gallachóir, Brian, 2017. "Adding value to EU energy policy analysis using a multi-model approach with an EU-28 electricity dispatch model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 433-447.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:181:y:2019:i:c:p:1321-1330. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.