IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v155y2018icp162-173.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating residential energy consumption in metropolitan areas: A microsimulation approach

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Wenwen
  • Robinson, Caleb
  • Guhathakurta, Subhrajit
  • Garikapati, Venu M.
  • Dilkina, Bistra
  • Brown, Marilyn A.
  • Pendyala, Ram M.

Abstract

Prior research has shown that land use patterns and the spatial configurations of cities have a significant impact on residential energy demand. Given the pressing issues surrounding energy security and climate change, there is renewed interest in developing and retrofitting cities to make them more energy efficient. Yet deriving micro-scale residential energy footprints of metropolitan areas is challenging because high resolution data from energy providers is generally unavailable. In this study, a bottom-up model is proposed to estimate residential energy demand using datasets that are commonly available in the United States. The model applies novel machine learning methods to match records in the Residential Energy Consumption Survey with Public Use Microdata samples. This matching and machine learning produce a synthetic household energy distribution at a neighborhood scale. The model was tested and validated with data from the Atlanta metropolitan region to demonstrate its application and promise.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Wenwen & Robinson, Caleb & Guhathakurta, Subhrajit & Garikapati, Venu M. & Dilkina, Bistra & Brown, Marilyn A. & Pendyala, Ram M., 2018. "Estimating residential energy consumption in metropolitan areas: A microsimulation approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 162-173.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:155:y:2018:i:c:p:162-173
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.04.161
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544218307849
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2018.04.161?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Glaeser, Edward L. & Kahn, Matthew E., 2010. "The greenness of cities: Carbon dioxide emissions and urban development," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 404-418, May.
    2. Jain, Rishee K. & Smith, Kevin M. & Culligan, Patricia J. & Taylor, John E., 2014. "Forecasting energy consumption of multi-family residential buildings using support vector regression: Investigating the impact of temporal and spatial monitoring granularity on performance accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 168-178.
    3. Hargreaves, Anthony & Cheng, Vicky & Deshmukh, Sandip & Leach, Matthew & Steemers, Koen, 2017. "Forecasting how residential urban form affects the regional carbon savings and costs of retrofitting and decentralized energy supply," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(P3), pages 549-561.
    4. Nichols, Brice G. & Kockelman, Kara M., 2014. "Life-cycle energy implications of different residential settings: Recognizing buildings, travel, and public infrastructure," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 232-242.
    5. Kavousian, Amir & Rajagopal, Ram & Fischer, Martin, 2013. "Determinants of residential electricity consumption: Using smart meter data to examine the effect of climate, building characteristics, appliance stock, and occupants' behavior," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 184-194.
    6. Aydinalp, Merih & Ismet Ugursal, V. & Fung, Alan S., 2004. "Modeling of the space and domestic hot-water heating energy-consumption in the residential sector using neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 159-178, October.
    7. Friedman, Jerome H., 2002. "Stochastic gradient boosting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 367-378, February.
    8. Zhao, Hai-xiang & Magoulès, Frédéric, 2012. "A review on the prediction of building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 3586-3592.
    9. Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali, 2014. "Long-term equilibrium relationship between urbanization, energy consumption and economic activity: Empirical evidence from India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 324-331.
    10. Wang, Shaojian & Fang, Chuanglin & Guan, Xingliang & Pang, Bo & Ma, Haitao, 2014. "Urbanisation, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A panel data analysis of China’s provinces," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 738-749.
    11. Tso, Geoffrey K.F. & Guan, Jingjing, 2014. "A multilevel regression approach to understand effects of environment indicators and household features on residential energy consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 722-731.
    12. Swan, Lukas G. & Ugursal, V. Ismet, 2009. "Modeling of end-use energy consumption in the residential sector: A review of modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(8), pages 1819-1835, October.
    13. Aydinalp, Merih & Ismet Ugursal, V. & Fung, Alan S., 2002. "Modeling of the appliance, lighting, and space-cooling energy consumptions in the residential sector using neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 87-110, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shi, Xunpeng & Wang, Keying & Cheong, Tsun Se & Zhang, Hongwu, 2020. "Prioritizing driving factors of household carbon emissions: An application of the LASSO model with survey data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Jin, Xiaoyu & Xiao, Fu & Zhang, Chong & Chen, Zhijie, 2022. "Semi-supervised learning based framework for urban level building electricity consumption prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    3. Muhammad Ali & Krishneel Prakash & Carlos Macana & Ali Kashif Bashir & Alireza Jolfaei & Awais Bokhari & Jiří Jaromír Klemeš & Hemanshu Pota, 2022. "Modeling Residential Electricity Consumption from Public Demographic Data for Sustainable Cities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-16, March.
    4. Langevin, J. & Reyna, J.L. & Ebrahimigharehbaghi, S. & Sandberg, N. & Fennell, P. & Nägeli, C. & Laverge, J. & Delghust, M. & Mata, É. & Van Hove, M. & Webster, J. & Federico, F. & Jakob, M. & Camaras, 2020. "Developing a common approach for classifying building stock energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Hu, Ting & Wang, Ting & Yan, Qingyun & Chen, Tiexi & Jin, Shuanggen & Hu, Jun, 2022. "Modeling the spatiotemporal dynamics of global electric power consumption (1992–2019) by utilizing consistent nighttime light data from DMSP-OLS and NPP-VIIRS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    6. Chen, Peipei & Wu, Yi & Zhong, Honglin & Long, Yin & Meng, Jing, 2022. "Exploring household emission patterns and driving factors in Japan using machine learning methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    7. Zhiyuan Zhang & Zhanshan Wang, 2023. "Multi-Objective Prediction of Integrated Energy System Using Generative Tractive Network," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-18, October.
    8. Besagni, Giorgio & Borgarello, Marco & Premoli Vilà, Lidia & Najafi, Behzad & Rinaldi, Fabio, 2020. "MOIRAE – bottom-up MOdel to compute the energy consumption of the Italian REsidential sector: Model design, validation and evaluation of electrification pathways," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    9. Chen, Shaoqing & Zhu, Feiyao & Long, Huihui & Yang, Jin, 2019. "Energy footprint controlled by urban demands: How much does supply chain complexity contribute?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 561-572.
    10. Sunil Kumar Mohapatra & Sushruta Mishra & Hrudaya Kumar Tripathy & Akash Kumar Bhoi & Paolo Barsocchi, 2021. "A Pragmatic Investigation of Energy Consumption and Utilization Models in the Urban Sector Using Predictive Intelligence Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-28, June.
    11. Wang, Jiaxin & Lu, Feng, 2021. "Modeling the electricity consumption by combining land use types and landscape patterns with nighttime light imagery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    12. Soltanisarvestani, A. & Safavi, A.A., 2021. "Modeling unaccounted-for gas among residential natural gas consumers using a comprehensive fuzzy cognitive map," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Xu, Chao & Haase, Dagmar & Su, Meirong & Yang, Zhifeng, 2019. "The impact of urban compactness on energy-related greenhouse gas emissions across EU member states: Population density vs physical compactness," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Satre-Meloy, Aven, 2019. "Investigating structural and occupant drivers of annual residential electricity consumption using regularization in regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 148-168.
    2. Yanxia Li & Chao Wang & Sijie Zhu & Junyan Yang & Shen Wei & Xinkai Zhang & Xing Shi, 2020. "A Comparison of Various Bottom-Up Urban Energy Simulation Methods Using a Case Study in Hangzhou, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Gholami, M. & Barbaresi, A. & Torreggiani, D. & Tassinari, P., 2020. "Upscaling of spatial energy planning, phases, methods, and techniques: A systematic review through meta-analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Wang, Lan & Lee, Eric W.M. & Hussian, Syed Asad & Yuen, Anthony Chun Yin & Feng, Wei, 2021. "Quantitative impact analysis of driving factors on annual residential building energy end-use combining machine learning and stochastic methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    5. Biswas, M.A. Rafe & Robinson, Melvin D. & Fumo, Nelson, 2016. "Prediction of residential building energy consumption: A neural network approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 117(P1), pages 84-92.
    6. Niemierko, Rochus & Töppel, Jannick & Tränkler, Timm, 2019. "A D-vine copula quantile regression approach for the prediction of residential heating energy consumption based on historical data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 691-708.
    7. Chalal, Moulay Larbi & Benachir, Medjdoub & White, Michael & Shrahily, Raid, 2016. "Energy planning and forecasting approaches for supporting physical improvement strategies in the building sector: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 761-776.
    8. Anna Kipping & Erik Trømborg, 2017. "Modeling Aggregate Hourly Energy Consumption in a Regional Building Stock," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Langevin, J. & Reyna, J.L. & Ebrahimigharehbaghi, S. & Sandberg, N. & Fennell, P. & Nägeli, C. & Laverge, J. & Delghust, M. & Mata, É. & Van Hove, M. & Webster, J. & Federico, F. & Jakob, M. & Camaras, 2020. "Developing a common approach for classifying building stock energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Maria Cecilia P Moura & Steven J Smith & David B Belzer, 2015. "120 Years of U.S. Residential Housing Stock and Floor Space," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(8), pages 1-18, August.
    11. Silva, Mafalda C. & Horta, Isabel M. & Leal, Vítor & Oliveira, Vítor, 2017. "A spatially-explicit methodological framework based on neural networks to assess the effect of urban form on energy demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 386-398.
    12. McLoughlin, Fintan & Duffy, Aidan & Conlon, Michael, 2015. "A clustering approach to domestic electricity load profile characterisation using smart metering data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 190-199.
    13. Salari, Mahmoud & Javid, Roxana J., 2017. "Modeling household energy expenditure in the United States," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 822-832.
    14. Hsu, David, 2015. "Identifying key variables and interactions in statistical models of building energy consumption using regularization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 144-155.
    15. Kazas, Georgios & Fabrizio, Enrico & Perino, Marco, 2017. "Energy demand profile generation with detailed time resolution at an urban district scale: A reference building approach and case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 243-262.
    16. Yi-Tui Chen, 2017. "The Factors Affecting Electricity Consumption and the Consumption Characteristics in the Residential Sector—A Case Example of Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-16, August.
    17. Marcin Zygmunt & Dariusz Gawin, 2021. "Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Urban Building Energy Modelling of Polish Residential Building Stock," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-15, December.
    18. Theofano Fotiou & Alessia de Vita & Pantelis Capros, 2019. "Economic-Engineering Modelling of the Buildings Sector to Study the Transition towards Deep Decarbonisation in the EU," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-28, July.
    19. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    20. Yang, Xiu'e & Liu, Shuli & Zou, Yuliang & Ji, Wenjie & Zhang, Qunli & Ahmed, Abdullahi & Han, Xiaojing & Shen, Yongliang & Zhang, Shaoliang, 2022. "Energy-saving potential prediction models for large-scale building: A state-of-the-art review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:155:y:2018:i:c:p:162-173. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.