IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v123y2014icp168-178.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecasting energy consumption of multi-family residential buildings using support vector regression: Investigating the impact of temporal and spatial monitoring granularity on performance accuracy

Author

Listed:
  • Jain, Rishee K.
  • Smith, Kevin M.
  • Culligan, Patricia J.
  • Taylor, John E.

Abstract

Buildings are the dominant source of energy consumption and environmental emissions in urban areas. Therefore, the ability to forecast and characterize building energy consumption is vital to implementing urban energy management and efficiency initiatives required to curb emissions. Advances in smart metering technology have enabled researchers to develop “sensor based” approaches to forecast building energy consumption that necessitate less input data than traditional methods. Sensor-based forecasting utilizes machine learning techniques to infer the complex relationships between consumption and influencing variables (e.g., weather, time of day, previous consumption). While sensor-based forecasting has been studied extensively for commercial buildings, there is a paucity of research applying this data-driven approach to the multi-family residential sector. In this paper, we build a sensor-based forecasting model using Support Vector Regression (SVR), a commonly used machine learning technique, and apply it to an empirical data-set from a multi-family residential building in New York City. We expand our study to examine the impact of temporal (i.e., daily, hourly, 10min intervals) and spatial (i.e., whole building, by floor, by unit) granularity have on the predictive power of our single-step model. Results indicate that sensor based forecasting models can be extended to multi-family residential buildings and that the optimal monitoring granularity occurs at the by floor level in hourly intervals. In addition to implications for the development of residential energy forecasting models, our results have practical significance for the deployment and installation of advanced smart metering devices. Ultimately, accurate and cost effective wide-scale energy prediction is a vital step towards next-generation energy efficiency initiatives, which will require not only consideration of the methods, but the scales for which data can be distilled into meaningful information.

Suggested Citation

  • Jain, Rishee K. & Smith, Kevin M. & Culligan, Patricia J. & Taylor, John E., 2014. "Forecasting energy consumption of multi-family residential buildings using support vector regression: Investigating the impact of temporal and spatial monitoring granularity on performance accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 168-178.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:123:y:2014:i:c:p:168-178
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.02.057
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261914002013
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.02.057?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kusiak, Andrew & Xu, Guanglin, 2012. "Modeling and optimization of HVAC systems using a dynamic neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 241-250.
    2. Kavaklioglu, Kadir, 2011. "Modeling and prediction of Turkey's electricity consumption using Support Vector Regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 368-375, January.
    3. Wong, S.L. & Wan, Kevin K.W. & Lam, Tony N.T., 2010. "Artificial neural networks for energy analysis of office buildings with daylighting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 551-557, February.
    4. Emery, A.F. & Kippenhan, C.J., 2006. "A long term study of residential home heating consumption and the effect of occupant behavior on homes in the Pacific Northwest constructed according to improved thermal standards," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 677-693.
    5. Venkatesan, Naveen & Solanki, Jignesh & Solanki, Sarika Khushalani, 2012. "Residential Demand Response model and impact on voltage profile and losses of an electric distribution network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 84-91.
    6. Zhao, Hai-xiang & Magoulès, Frédéric, 2012. "A review on the prediction of building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 3586-3592.
    7. Marcelo Espinoza & Johan Suykens & Bart Moor, 2006. "Fixed-size Least Squares Support Vector Machines: A Large Scale Application in Electrical Load Forecasting," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 113-129, April.
    8. Lü, Xiaoshu & Lu, Tao & Kibert, Charles J. & Viljanen, Martti, 2014. "A novel dynamic modeling approach for predicting building energy performance," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 91-103.
    9. Li, Qiong & Meng, Qinglin & Cai, Jiejin & Yoshino, Hiroshi & Mochida, Akashi, 2009. "Applying support vector machine to predict hourly cooling load in the building," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(10), pages 2249-2256, October.
    10. Zhang, Wen Yu & Hong, Wei-Chiang & Dong, Yucheng & Tsai, Gary & Sung, Jing-Tian & Fan, Guo-feng, 2012. "Application of SVR with chaotic GASA algorithm in cyclic electric load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 850-858.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    2. Tian, Wei & Song, Jitian & Li, Zhanyong & de Wilde, Pieter, 2014. "Bootstrap techniques for sensitivity analysis and model selection in building thermal performance analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 320-328.
    3. Amasyali, Kadir & El-Gohary, Nora M., 2018. "A review of data-driven building energy consumption prediction studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1192-1205.
    4. Alobaidi, Mohammad H. & Chebana, Fateh & Meguid, Mohamed A., 2018. "Robust ensemble learning framework for day-ahead forecasting of household based energy consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 997-1012.
    5. Li, Zhengwei & Han, Yanmin & Xu, Peng, 2014. "Methods for benchmarking building energy consumption against its past or intended performance: An overview," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 325-334.
    6. Wang, Zeyu & Srinivasan, Ravi S., 2017. "A review of artificial intelligence based building energy use prediction: Contrasting the capabilities of single and ensemble prediction models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 796-808.
    7. Mahmoud Abdelkader Bashery Abbass & Mohamed Hamdy, 2021. "A Generic Pipeline for Machine Learning Users in Energy and Buildings Domain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-30, August.
    8. Deb, Chirag & Zhang, Fan & Yang, Junjing & Lee, Siew Eang & Shah, Kwok Wei, 2017. "A review on time series forecasting techniques for building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 902-924.
    9. Foucquier, Aurélie & Robert, Sylvain & Suard, Frédéric & Stéphan, Louis & Jay, Arnaud, 2013. "State of the art in building modelling and energy performances prediction: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 272-288.
    10. Geyer, Philipp & Singaravel, Sundaravelpandian, 2018. "Component-based machine learning for performance prediction in building design," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1439-1453.
    11. Sehrish Malik & DoHyeun Kim, 2018. "Prediction-Learning Algorithm for Efficient Energy Consumption in Smart Buildings Based on Particle Regeneration and Velocity Boost in Particle Swarm Optimization Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, May.
    12. Debnath, Kumar Biswajit & Mourshed, Monjur, 2018. "Forecasting methods in energy planning models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 297-325.
    13. Nutkiewicz, Alex & Yang, Zheng & Jain, Rishee K., 2018. "Data-driven Urban Energy Simulation (DUE-S): A framework for integrating engineering simulation and machine learning methods in a multi-scale urban energy modeling workflow," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 1176-1189.
    14. Wang, Ran & Lu, Shilei & Feng, Wei, 2020. "A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    15. Wei, Yixuan & Xia, Liang & Pan, Song & Wu, Jinshun & Zhang, Xingxing & Han, Mengjie & Zhang, Weiya & Xie, Jingchao & Li, Qingping, 2019. "Prediction of occupancy level and energy consumption in office building using blind system identification and neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 276-294.
    16. Perera, D.W.U. & Winkler, D. & Skeie, N.-O., 2016. "Multi-floor building heating models in MATLAB and Modelica environments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 46-57.
    17. Milen Balbis-Morejón & Juan J. Cabello-Eras & Javier M. Rey-Hernández & Francisco J. Rey-Martínez, 2021. "Energy Evaluation and Energy Savings Analysis with the 2 Selection of AC Systems in an Educational Building," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-10, July.
    18. Pino-Mejías, Rafael & Pérez-Fargallo, Alexis & Rubio-Bellido, Carlos & Pulido-Arcas, Jesús A., 2017. "Comparison of linear regression and artificial neural networks models to predict heating and cooling energy demand, energy consumption and CO2 emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 24-36.
    19. Guelpa, Elisa & Marincioni, Ludovica & Verda, Vittorio, 2019. "Towards 4th generation district heating: Prediction of building thermal load for optimal management," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 510-522.
    20. Wang, Lan & Lee, Eric W.M. & Yuen, Richard K.K., 2018. "Novel dynamic forecasting model for building cooling loads combining an artificial neural network and an ensemble approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1740-1753.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:123:y:2014:i:c:p:168-178. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.