IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v104y2021ics014098832100493x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Gains associated with linking the EU and Chinese ETS under different assumptions on restrictions, allowance endowments, and international trade

Author

Listed:
  • Winkler, Malte Björn Johannes
  • Peterson, Sonja
  • Thube, Sneha

Abstract

Linking the EU and Chinese Emission Trading Systems (ETS) increases the cost-efficiency of reaching greenhouse gas mitigation targets, but both partners will benefit – if at all – to different degrees. Using the global computable-general equilibrium (CGE) model DART Kiel, we evaluate the effects of linking ETS in combination with 1) restricted allowances trading, 2) adjusted allowance endowments to compensate China, and 3) altered Armington elasticities when Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) targets are met. We find that generally, both partners benefit from linking their respective trading systems. Yet, while the EU prefers full linking, China favors restricted allowance trading. Adjusted allowance endowments which shift reduction obligations to the EU cannot sufficiently compensate China so as to make full linking as attractive as restricted trading. Gains associated with linking increase with higher Armington elasticities for China, but decrease for the EU. Overall, the EU and China favor different options for linking ETS. Moreover, heterogeneous impacts across EU countries could cause dissent among EU regions, potentially increasing the difficulty of finding a linking solution favorable for all trading partners.

Suggested Citation

  • Winkler, Malte Björn Johannes & Peterson, Sonja & Thube, Sneha, 2021. "Gains associated with linking the EU and Chinese ETS under different assumptions on restrictions, allowance endowments, and international trade," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:104:y:2021:i:c:s014098832100493x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105630
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014098832100493X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105630?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Angel Aguiar & Badri Narayanan & Robert McDougall, 2016. "An Overview of the GTAP 9 Data Base," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(1), pages 181-208, June.
    2. Alban Kitous & Kimon Keramidas & Toon Vandyck & Bert Saveyn, 2016. "Global Energy and Climate Outlook (GECO 2016) Road from Paris," JRC Research Reports JRC101899, Joint Research Centre.
    3. Michael Mehling & Erik Haites, 2009. "Mechanisms for linking emissions trading schemes," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 169-184, January.
    4. Hübler, Michael & Voigt, Sebastian & Löschel, Andreas, 2014. "Designing an emissions trading scheme for China—An up-to-date climate policy assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 57-72.
    5. Li, Mengyu & Weng, Yuyan & Duan, Maosheng, 2019. "Emissions, energy and economic impacts of linking China’s national ETS with the EU ETS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1235-1244.
    6. Sergey V. Paltsev, 2001. "The Kyoto Protocol: Regional and Sectoral Contributions to the Carbon Leakage," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 53-80.
    7. Yang Liu & Taoyuan Wei, 2016. "Linking the emissions trading schemes of Europe and China - Combining climate and energy policy instruments," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 135-151, February.
    8. Jeffrey C Peters, 2016. "The GTAP-Power Data Base: Disaggregating the Electricity Sector in the GTAP Data Base," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(1), pages 209-250, June.
    9. Gavard, Claire & Winchester, Niven & Paltsev, Sergey, 2016. "Limited trading of emissions permits as a climate cooperation mechanism? US–China and EU–China examples," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 95-104.
    10. Christian Flachsland & Robert Marschinski & Ottmar Edenhofer, 2009. "To link or not to link: benefits and disadvantages of linking cap-and-trade systems," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 358-372, July.
    11. Sonja Peterson & Matthias Weitzel, 2016. "Reaching a climate agreement: compensating for energy market effects of climate policy," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(8), pages 993-1010, November.
    12. Erik Haites & Michael Mehling, 2009. "Linking existing and proposed GHG emissions trading schemes in North America," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 373-388, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Heimann, Tobias & Delzeit, Ruth, 2024. "Land for fish: Quantifying the connection between the aquaculture sector and agricultural markets," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 281986, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Ma, Guangcheng & Qin, Jiahong & Zhang, Yumeng, 2023. "Does the carbon emissions trading system reduce carbon emissions by promoting two-way FDI in developing countries? Evidence from Chinese listed companies and cities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    3. Che, Shuai & Wang, Jun, 2022. "Policy effectiveness of market-oriented energy reform: Experience from China energy-consumption permit trading scheme," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    4. Jing Han & Weilin Zhu & Chaofan Chen, 2023. "Identifying Emissions Reduction Opportunities in International Bilateral Emissions Trading Systems to Achieve China’s Energy Sector NDCs," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-24, January.
    5. Ernst, Anne & Hinterlang, Natascha & Mahle, Alexander & Stähler, Nikolai, 2022. "Carbon pricing, border adjustment and climate clubs: An assessment with EMuSe," Discussion Papers 25/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    6. Yaxue Yan & Weijuan Liang & Banban Wang & Xiaoling Zhang, 2023. "Spillover effect among independent carbon markets: evidence from China’s carbon markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3065-3093, October.
    7. Ernst, Anne & Hinterlang, Natascha & Mahle, Alexander & Stähler, Nikolai, 2023. "Carbon pricing, border adjustment and climate clubs: Options for international cooperation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    8. Johannes Ziesmer & Ding Jin & Sneha D Thube & Christian Henning, 2023. "A Dynamic Baseline Calibration Procedure for CGE models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1331-1368, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Mengyu & Duan, Maosheng, 2021. "Exploring linkage opportunities for China's emissions trading system under the Paris targets——EU-China and Japan-Korea-China cases," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    2. Li, Mengyu & Weng, Yuyan & Duan, Maosheng, 2019. "Emissions, energy and economic impacts of linking China’s national ETS with the EU ETS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1235-1244.
    3. Ru Li & Sigit Perdana & Marc Vielle, 2021. "Potential integration of Chinese and European emissions trading market: welfare distribution analysis," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 1-28, June.
    4. Khabbazan, Mohammad M. & von Hirschhausen, Christian, 2021. "The implication of the Paris targets for the Middle East through different cooperation options," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Chao Qi & Yongrok Choi, 2019. "A Study of the Feasibility of International ETS Cooperation between Shanghai and Korea from Environmental Efficiency and CO 2 Marginal Abatement Cost Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-16, August.
    6. Diniz Oliveira, Thais & Costa Gurgel, Angelo & Tonry, Steve, 2021. "Potential trading partners of a brazilian emissions trading scheme: The effects of linking with a developed region (Europe) and two developing regions (Latin America and China)," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    7. Winchester, Niven & Reilly, John M., 2020. "The economic and emissions benefits of engineered wood products in a low-carbon future," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    8. Diniz Oliveira, Thais & Gurgel, Angelo & Tonry, Steve, 2018. "The Effects for Brazil of Linking Emissions Trading Schemes in the context of the Heterogeneity of Trading Partners," Conference papers 332951, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Mu, Yaqian & Evans, Samuel & Wang, Can & Cai, Wenjia, 2018. "How will sectoral coverage affect the efficiency of an emissions trading system? A CGE-based case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C), pages 403-414.
    10. Simon Quemin & Christian Perthuis, 2019. "Transitional Restricted Linkage Between Emissions Trading Schemes," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(1), pages 1-32, September.
    11. Woerman, Matt, 2023. "Linking carbon markets with different initial conditions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    12. Clora, Francesco & Yu, Wusheng, 2022. "GHG emissions, trade balance, and carbon leakage: Insights from modeling thirty-one European decarbonization pathways towards 2050," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    13. Böhringer, Christoph & Peterson, Sonja & Rutherford, Thomas F. & Schneider, Jan & Winkler, Malte, 2021. "Climate policies after Paris: Pledge, Trade and Recycle," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    14. Pizer, William A. & Yates, Andrew J., 2015. "Terminating links between emission trading programs," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 142-159.
    15. Yifei Hua & Feng Dong, 2019. "China’s Carbon Market Development and Carbon Market Connection: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-25, May.
    16. Zhang, Xu & Qi, Tian-yu & Ou, Xun-min & Zhang, Xi-liang, 2017. "The role of multi-region integrated emissions trading scheme: A computable general equilibrium analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 1860-1868.
    17. Khabbazan, Mohammad M. & von Hirschhausen, Christian, 2021. "The implication of the Paris targets for the Middle East through different cooperation options," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 104.
    18. Zhang, Xiaohan & Winchester, Niven & Zhang, Xiliang, 2017. "The future of coal in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 644-652.
    19. Diniz Oliveira, Thais & Costa Gurgel, Angelo & Tonry, Steve, 2019. "International market mechanisms under the Paris Agreement: A cooperation between Brazil and Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 397-409.
    20. Peter Zaman & Adam Hedley, 2016. "Networked Carbon Markets," World Bank Publications - Reports 26430, The World Bank Group.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Paris agreement; NDC; Emission trading; Linking ETS; China; EU;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:104:y:2021:i:c:s014098832100493x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.