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Systemic risk, Islamic banks, and the COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical investigation

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  • Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail
  • Ahmad, Ghufran
  • Ashraf, Dawood

Abstract

While operating side-by-side with conventional banks, in a dual-banking system, the systemic risk profile of Islamic banks can be different due to their unique business model. The objective of this study is to understand the evolution of systemic risk in dual-banking systems and determine whether there are any differences in the systemic risk profiles of conventional and Islamic banks during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study also identifies the determinants of systemic importance (measured using spillover indices) of financial institutions. The sample includes ten countries where the Islamic banking sector is considered systemically important and covers the period from November 2015 to November 2020. The empirical results indicate a significant increase in systemic risk, in the sample countries, during the first half which is followed by a recovery in the second half of 2020. Comparative analysis shows that Islamic banks have similar systemic vulnerabilities to systematic and idiosyncratic factors during the exogenously induced real economic shock of the COVID-19. However, Islamic banks pose significantly less spillover to others relative to conventional banks while earning abnormal returns. The results are robust to the inclusion of macroeconomic factors and alternate estimation methodologies. The findings of this study provide valuable insights for the regulators of dual-banking systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran & Ashraf, Dawood, 2022. "Systemic risk, Islamic banks, and the COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical investigation," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:51:y:2022:i:pb:s1566014122000073
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2022.100890
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    Cited by:

    1. Ashraf, Dawood & Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran, 2022. "Islamic equity investments and the COVID-19 pandemic," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Zhang, Ping & Yin, Shiqi & Sha, Yezhou, 2023. "Global systemic risk dynamic network connectedness during the COVID-19: Evidence from nonlinear Granger causality," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Qureshi, Anum & Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran & Ashraf, Dawood, 2022. "Russia–Ukraine war and systemic risk: Who is taking the heat?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    4. Addi, Abdelhamid & Bouoiyour, Jamal, 2023. "Interconnectedness and extreme risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    5. Chen, Yu & Lin, Boqiang, 2022. "Quantifying the extreme spillovers on worldwide ESG leaders' equity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Systemic risk; COVID-19; Dual-banking systems; Financial institutions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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