IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/econom/v196y2017i2p305-319.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tests for conditional ellipticity in multivariate GARCH models

Author

Listed:
  • Francq, C.
  • Jiménez-Gamero, M.D.
  • Meintanis, S.G.

Abstract

Tests are proposed for the assumption that the conditional distribution of a multivariate GARCH process is elliptic. These tests are of Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Cramér–von Mises-type and make use of the common geometry underlying the characteristic function of any spherically symmetric distribution. The asymptotic null distribution of the test statistics as well as the consistency of the tests is investigated under general conditions. It is shown that both the finite sample and the asymptotic null distribution depend on the unknown distribution of the Euclidean norm of the innovations. Therefore a conditional Monte Carlo procedure is used to actually carry out the tests. The validity of this resampling scheme is formally justified. Results on the behavior of the new tests in finite-samples are included along with comparisons with other tests.

Suggested Citation

  • Francq, C. & Jiménez-Gamero, M.D. & Meintanis, S.G., 2017. "Tests for conditional ellipticity in multivariate GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 305-319.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:196:y:2017:i:2:p:305-319
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.10.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407616301920
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.10.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ling, Shiqing & McAleer, Michael, 2003. "Asymptotic Theory For A Vector Arma-Garch Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 280-310, April.
    2. Rasmus S. Pedersen & Anders Rahbek, 2014. "Multivariate variance targeting in the BEKK–GARCH model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 17(1), pages 24-55, February.
    3. Marc Hallin & Bas Werker, 2003. "Semiparametric efficiency, distribution-freeness, and invariance," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2119, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. Trindade, A. Alexandre & Zhu, Yun, 2007. "Approximating the distributions of estimators of financial risk under an asymmetric Laplace law," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3433-3447, April.
    5. John Einmahl & Maria Gantner, 2012. "Testing for bivariate spherical symmetry," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(1), pages 54-73, March.
    6. Giacomini, Raffaella & Politis, Dimitris N. & White, Halbert, 2013. "A Warp-Speed Method For Conducting Monte Carlo Experiments Involving Bootstrap Estimators," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(3), pages 567-589, June.
    7. Hafner, Christian M. & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2007. "Semiparametric Multivariate Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 251-280, April.
    8. Cacoullos, T., 2014. "Polar angle tangent vectors follow Cauchy distributions under spherical symmetry," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 147-153.
    9. Berk, Jonathan B., 1997. "Necessary Conditions for the CAPM," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 245-257, March.
    10. Bai, Jushan & Chen, Zhihong, 2008. "Testing multivariate distributions in GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 19-36, March.
    11. Hallin, Marc & Paindaveine, Davy, 2005. "Affine-invariant aligned rank tests for the multivariate general linear model with VARMA errors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 122-163, March.
    12. Haas, Markus & Mittnik, Stefan & Paolella, Marc S., 2009. "Asymmetric multivariate normal mixture GARCH," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2129-2154, April.
    13. Zhu, Dongming & Zinde-Walsh, Victoria, 2009. "Properties and estimation of asymmetric exponential power distribution," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(1), pages 86-99, January.
    14. Boussama, Farid & Fuchs, Florian & Stelzer, Robert, 2011. "Stationarity and geometric ergodicity of BEKK multivariate GARCH models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(10), pages 2331-2360, October.
    15. Jeantheau, Thierry, 1998. "Strong Consistency Of Estimators For Multivariate Arch Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 70-86, February.
    16. Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2012. "Qml Estimation Of A Class Of Multivariate Asymmetric Garch Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(1), pages 179-206, February.
    17. Huffer, Fred W. & Park, Cheolyong, 2007. "A test for elliptical symmetry," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 256-281, February.
    18. Chen, Qian & Gerlach, Richard & Lu, Zudi, 2012. "Bayesian Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall forecasting via the asymmetric Laplace distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3498-3516.
    19. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2001. "A consistent test for conditional symmetry in time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1-2), pages 225-258, July.
    20. Keith Vorkink & Douglas J. Hodgson & Oliver Linton, 2002. "Testing the capital asset pricing model efficiently under elliptical symmetry: a semiparametric approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(6), pages 617-639.
    21. Christian Francq & Lajos Horváth & Jean-Michel Zakoïan, 2016. "Variance Targeting Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 353-382.
    22. Pedersen, Rasmus Søndergaard, 2016. "Targeting Estimation Of Ccc-Garch Models With Infinite Fourth Moments," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 498-531, April.
    23. Kristensen, Dennis & Linton, Oliver, 2004. "03.5.2. Consistent Standard Errors for Target Variance Approach to GARCH Estimation—Solution," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(5), pages 990-993, October.
    24. Henze, N. & Klar, B. & Meintanis, S. G., 2003. "Invariant tests for symmetry about an unspecified point based on the empirical characteristic function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 275-297, November.
    25. Battey, Heather & Linton, Oliver, 2014. "Nonparametric estimation of multivariate elliptic densities via finite mixture sieves," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 43-67.
    26. Delgado, Miguel A. & Carlos Escanciano, J., 2007. "Nonparametric tests for conditional symmetry in dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 652-682, December.
    27. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
    28. Delgado, Miguel A. & Stute, Winfried, 2008. "Distribution-free specification tests of conditional models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 37-55, March.
    29. Gian Piero Aielli, 2013. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: On Properties and Estimation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 282-299, July.
    30. M. Jiménez Gamero, 2014. "On the empirical characteristic function process of the residuals in GARCH models and applications," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 409-432, June.
    31. Comte, F. & Lieberman, O., 2003. "Asymptotic theory for multivariate GARCH processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 61-84, January.
    32. Christian Francq & Jean-Michel Zakoïan, 2016. "Estimating multivariate volatility models equation by equation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(3), pages 613-635, June.
    33. Jones, M.C., 2008. "The distribution of the ratio X/Y for all centred elliptically symmetric distributions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(3), pages 572-573, March.
    34. Shuangzhe Liu & Chris Heyde & Wing-Keung Wong, 2011. "Moment matrices in conditional heteroskedastic models under elliptical distributions with applications in AR-ARCH models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 621-632, August.
    35. Bollerslev, Tim, 1990. "Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 498-505, August.
    36. Arellano-Valle, Reinaldo B. & Azzalini, Adelchi, 2008. "The centred parametrization for the multivariate skew-normal distribution," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(7), pages 1362-1382, August.
    37. Koltchinskii, V. I. & Li, Lang, 1998. "Testing for Spherical Symmetry of a Multivariate Distribution," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 228-244, May.
    38. Sakhanenko, Lyudmila, 2008. "Testing for ellipsoidal symmetry: A comparison study," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 565-581, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Karanasos, Menelaos & Xu, Yongdeng & Yfanti, Stavroula, 2017. "Constrained QML Estimation for Multivariate Asymmetric MEM with Spillovers: The Practicality of Matrix Inequalities," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Francq, Christian, 2021. "Count And Duration Time Series With Equal Conditional Stochastic And Mean Orders," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(2), pages 248-280, April.
    3. Albisetti, Isaia & Balabdaoui, Fadoua & Holzmann, Hajo, 2020. "Testing for spherical and elliptical symmetry," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    4. Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2022. "Testing the existence of moments for GARCH processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 47-64.
    5. Yannick Hoga, 2023. "The Estimation Risk in Extreme Systemic Risk Forecasts," Papers 2304.10349, arXiv.org.
    6. Donghang Luo & Ke Zhu & Huan Gong & Dong Li, 2020. "Testing error distribution by kernelized Stein discrepancy in multivariate time series models," Papers 2008.00747, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Francq, Christian & Jiménez Gamero, Maria Dolores & Meintanis, Simos, 2015. "Tests for sphericity in multivariate garch models," MPRA Paper 67411, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018. "MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
    3. Christian Francq & Jean-Michel Zakoïan, 2016. "Estimating multivariate volatility models equation by equation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(3), pages 613-635, June.
    4. Pedersen, Rasmus Søndergaard, 2016. "Targeting Estimation Of Ccc-Garch Models With Infinite Fourth Moments," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 498-531, April.
    5. Boubacar Maïnassara, Y. & Kadmiri, O. & Saussereau, B., 2022. "Estimation of multivariate asymmetric power GARCH models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    6. Pedersen, Rasmus Søndergaard, 2017. "Inference and testing on the boundary in extended constant conditional correlation GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 23-36.
    7. Donghang Luo & Ke Zhu & Huan Gong & Dong Li, 2020. "Testing error distribution by kernelized Stein discrepancy in multivariate time series models," Papers 2008.00747, arXiv.org.
    8. Marco Barassi & Lajos Horváth & Yuqian Zhao, 2020. "Change‐Point Detection in the Conditional Correlation Structure of Multivariate Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 340-349, April.
    9. Chia-Lin Chang & Yiying Li & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Volatility Spillovers between Energy and Agricultural Markets: A Critical Appraisal of Theory and Practice," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-19, June.
    10. Norbert Henze & María Dolores Jiménez-Gamero, 2019. "A new class of tests for multinormality with i.i.d. and garch data based on the empirical moment generating function," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 28(2), pages 499-521, June.
    11. Stefano Grassi & Francesco Violante, 2021. "Asset Pricing Using Block-Cholesky GARCH and Time-Varying Betas," CREATES Research Papers 2021-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Simon Hetland, 2020. "Spectral Targeting Estimation of $\lambda$-GARCH models," Papers 2007.02588, arXiv.org.
    13. Cheng Yu & Dong Li & Feiyu Jiang & Ke Zhu, 2023. "Matrix GARCH Model: Inference and Application," Papers 2306.05169, arXiv.org.
    14. Darolles, Serge & Francq, Christian & Laurent, Sébastien, 2018. "Asymptotics of Cholesky GARCH models and time-varying conditional betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 223-247.
    15. Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2020. "Multivariate leverage effects and realized semicovariance GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 411-430.
    16. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Multivariate GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 669, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2008.
    17. Christian Francq & Lajos Horváth & Jean-Michel Zakoïan, 2016. "Variance Targeting Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 353-382.
    18. Francq, Christian & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2015. "Joint inference on market and estimation risks in dynamic portfolios," MPRA Paper 68100, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Francq, Christian & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2014. "Estimating multivariate GARCH and stochastic correlation models equation by equation," MPRA Paper 54250, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Luc Bauwens & Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2006. "Multivariate GARCH models: a survey," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 79-109, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    MGARCH; Spherical symmetry; Empirical characteristic function; Conditional Monte Carlo test; Extended CCC-GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:196:y:2017:i:2:p:305-319. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.