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White noise testing and model diagnostic checking for functional time series

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  • Zhang, Xianyang

Abstract

This paper is concerned with white noise testing and model diagnostic checking for stationary functional time series. To test for the functional white noise null hypothesis, we propose a Cramér–von Mises type test based on the functional periodogram introduced by Panaretos and Tavakoli (2013a). Using the Hilbert space approach, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under suitable assumptions. A new block bootstrap procedure is introduced to obtain the critical values from the non-pivotal limiting distribution. Compared to existing methods, our approach is robust to the dependence within white noise and it does not involve the choices of functional principal components and lag truncation number. We employ the proposed method to check the adequacy of functional linear models and functional autoregressive models of order one by testing the uncorrelatedness of the residuals. Monte Carlo simulations are provided to demonstrate the empirical advantages of the proposed method over existing alternatives. Our method is illustrated via an application to cumulative intradaily returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Xianyang, 2016. "White noise testing and model diagnostic checking for functional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 76-95.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:194:y:2016:i:1:p:76-95
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.04.004
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    2. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2020. "Forecasting value at risk with intra-day return curves," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1023-1038.
    3. Gregory Rice & Tony Wirjanto & Yuqian Zhao, 2020. "Tests for conditional heteroscedasticity of functional data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(6), pages 733-758, November.
    4. Horváth, Lajos & Liu, Zhenya & Rice, Gregory & Wang, Shixuan, 2020. "A functional time series analysis of forward curves derived from commodity futures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 646-665.
    5. Oomen, Roel, 2018. "Price signatures," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90481, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Farzad Sabzikar & Piotr Kokoszka, 2023. "Tempered functional time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 280-293, May.
    7. Eduardo García‐Portugués & Javier Álvarez‐Liébana & Gonzalo Álvarez‐Pérez & Wenceslao González‐Manteiga, 2021. "A goodness‐of‐fit test for the functional linear model with functional response," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(2), pages 502-528, June.
    8. Gregory Rice & Han Lin Shang, 2017. "A Plug-in Bandwidth Selection Procedure for Long-Run Covariance Estimation with Stationary Functional Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 591-609, July.
    9. Axel Bücher & Holger Dette & Florian Heinrichs, 2023. "A portmanteau-type test for detecting serial correlation in locally stationary functional time series," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 255-278, July.
    10. Mestre, Guillermo & Portela, José & Rice, Gregory & Muñoz San Roque, Antonio & Alonso, Estrella, 2021. "Functional time series model identification and diagnosis by means of auto- and partial autocorrelation analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    11. van Delft, Anne, 2020. "A note on quadratic forms of stationary functional time series under mild conditions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(7), pages 4206-4251.
    12. Hill, Jonathan B. & Motegi, Kaiji, 2019. "Testing the white noise hypothesis of stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 231-242.
    13. Erdmann, Anett & Ponzoa, José M., 2021. "Digital inbound marketing: Measuring the economic performance of grocery e-commerce in Europe and the USA," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    14. Characiejus, Vaidotas & Rice, Gregory, 2020. "A general white noise test based on kernel lag-window estimates of the spectral density operator," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 175-196.
    15. James Cameron & Pramita Bagchi, 2022. "A test for heteroscedasticity in functional linear models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 31(2), pages 519-542, June.
    16. Lajos Horváth & Piotr Kokoszka & Jeremy VanderDoes & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Inference in functional factor models with applications to yield curves," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 872-894, November.
    17. Kokoszka Piotr & Miao Hong & Stoev Stilian & Zheng Ben, 2019. "Risk Analysis of Cumulative Intraday Return Curves," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 1-31, July.
    18. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2019. "Tests for conditional heteroscedasticity with functional data and goodness-of-fit tests for FGARCH models," MPRA Paper 93048, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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