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Testing seasonal mean-reversion in the real exchange rates: An application of nonlinear IV estimator

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  • Ho, Tsung-wu

Abstract

Recent panel unit root tests for PPP usually ignore seasonality, which may generate unknown effects on cross-sectional dependencies. Chang [Chang Y., 2002. Nonlinear IV unit root tests in panels with cross-sectional dependency. Journal of Econometrics 110, 261-292] proposed a nonlinear IV estimator removing cross-sectional dependencies asymptotically. We extend it to test seasonal panel unit root in the form of Hylleberg et al. [Hylleberg, S., Engle, R.F., Granger, C.W.J., Yoo, B.S., 1990. Seasonal integration and cointegration. Journal of Econometrics 44, 215-238]. The empirical robustness of the statistic to seasonality is confirmed.

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  • Ho, Tsung-wu, 2008. "Testing seasonal mean-reversion in the real exchange rates: An application of nonlinear IV estimator," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 314-316, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:99:y:2008:i:2:p:314-316
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    Cited by:

    1. Meher Manzur, 2018. "Exchange rate economics is always and everywhere controversial," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 216-232, January.
    2. Hsu Shih-Hsun, 2021. "Disentangling the source of non-stationarity in a panel of seasonal data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(1), pages 1-18, February.
    3. Snaith, Stuart, 2012. "The PPP debate: Multiple breaks and cross-sectional dependence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 342-344.
    4. Al-Khazali, Osamah M. & Pyun, Chong Soo & Kim, Daewon, 2012. "Are exchange rate movements predictable in Asia-Pacific markets? Evidence of random walk and martingale difference processes," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 221-231.
    5. Williams Ohemeng & Elvis Kwame Agyapong & Kenneth Ofori-Boateng, 2021. "Exchange rate and inflation dynamics: does the month or quarter of the year matter?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(6), pages 1-24, June.

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