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What drives Bitcoin’s price crash risk?

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  • Kalyvas, Antonios
  • Papakyriakou, Panayiotis
  • Sakkas, Athanasios
  • Urquhart, Andrew

Abstract

We examine the association of the Bitcoin price crash risk with economic uncertainty and behavioral factors. We show that economic uncertainty displays a negative and significant association with Bitcoin price crash risk, indicating that when economic uncertainty is high, the crash risk of Bitcoin is low. We also find that behavioral factors have a weak association with Bitcoin crash risk. Our results suggest that investors can hedge economic uncertainty by investing in Bitcoin.

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  • Kalyvas, Antonios & Papakyriakou, Panayiotis & Sakkas, Athanasios & Urquhart, Andrew, 2020. "What drives Bitcoin’s price crash risk?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:191:y:2020:i:c:s0165176519303908
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108777
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    7. Sabeeh Ullah, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Markets: a Global Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 982-1003, June.
    8. Nakagawa, Kei & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2022. "Market uncertainty and correlation between Bitcoin and Ether," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    9. Wei Zhang & Yi Li, 2023. "Liquidity risk and expected cryptocurrency returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 472-492, January.
    10. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Umme Humaira, 2023. "The Russia–Ukraine conflict and investor psychology in financial markets," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 388-405, October.
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