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Robust determination for the number of common factors in the approximate factor models

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  • Wu, Jianhong

Abstract

This paper proposes a robust determination method for the number of common factors in the approximate factor models. The new method is based on the ratio values of some transformation function of adjacent eigenvalues arranged in descending order. Under some mild conditions, the resulted estimator can be proved to be consistent. It can be further shown that, comparing with the competitors in the existing literature, the new method has desired performance on truly selecting the value of the number of latent common factors whether there are dominant factors or not. Monte Carlo simulation is carried out for illustration.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Jianhong, 2016. "Robust determination for the number of common factors in the approximate factor models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 102-106.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:144:y:2016:i:c:p:102-106
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.04.026
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2002. "Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 191-221, January.
    2. Seung C. Ahn & Alex R. Horenstein, 2013. "Eigenvalue Ratio Test for the Number of Factors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1203-1227, May.
    3. Pan, Jiazhu & Yao, Qiwei, 2008. "Modelling multiple time series via common factors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 22876, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Hallin, Marc & Liska, Roman, 2007. "Determining the Number of Factors in the General Dynamic Factor Model," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 603-617, June.
    5. Jiazhu Pan & Qiwei Yao, 2008. "Modelling multiple time series via common factors," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(2), pages 365-379.
    6. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2007. "Determining the Number of Primitive Shocks in Factor Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 52-60, January.
    7. Alexei Onatski, 2010. "Determining the Number of Factors from Empirical Distribution of Eigenvalues," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(4), pages 1004-1016, November.
    8. Mehmet Caner & Xu Han, 2014. "Selecting the Correct Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models: The Large Panel Case With Group Bridge Estimators," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 359-374, July.
    9. Tibor F. Liska, 2007. "The Liska model," Society and Economy, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 29(3), pages 363-381, December.
    10. Lam, Clifford & Yao, Qiwei, 2012. "Factor modeling for high-dimensional time series: inference for the number of factors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 45684, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Jianhong, 2019. "Detecting irrelevant variables in possible proxies for the latent factors in macroeconomics and finance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 60-63.
    2. Shuquan Yang & Nengxiang Ling & Yulin Gong, 2022. "Robust estimation of the number of factors for the pair-elliptical factor models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 37(3), pages 1495-1522, July.
    3. Ruan Weihua & Hou Qian, 2021. "Determining the Number of Factors in Static Approximate Factor Models Using Discrete Fourier Transforms and Pseudo-Eigenvalues," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 241(1), pages 71-117, February.
    4. Yu, Long & He, Yong & Zhang, Xinsheng, 2019. "Robust factor number specification for large-dimensional elliptical factor model," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    5. Esther Ruiz & Pilar Poncela, 2022. "Factor Extraction in Dynamic Factor Models: Kalman Filter Versus Principal Components," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 12(2), pages 121-231, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Approximate factor model; Determining the number of factors; Dominant factor; Eigenvalues; Transformation function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

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