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Crucial exchange rate parity. Evidence for Mexico

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  • Loría, Eduardo
  • Salas, Emmanuel

Abstract

Through a structural vector error correction model, one restricted cointegrating relationship for monthly data (1999.01–2012.04) was found between three exchange parities of great relevance for the Mexican economy: US Dollar–Euro, Mexican Peso–US Dollar, and Mexican Peso–Euro. The data's structure revealed endogeneity of the last one, but the first is the one that adjusts the long run (cointegrating) relation. A unitary elasticity of MxP–Euro parity to the other two parities was found, which validates PPP condition in absolute terms. These results are crucial to analyze the possible long run exchange effects on the Mexican real and financial variables because of the possible intensification of the Euro crisis and the currency war.

Suggested Citation

  • Loría, Eduardo & Salas, Emmanuel, 2013. "Crucial exchange rate parity. Evidence for Mexico," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 101-112.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:24:y:2013:i:c:p:101-112
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2012.07.001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    PPP; Exchange rate; Cointegration; Structural restrictions; SVEC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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