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The sources of contagion risk in a banking sector with foreign ownership

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  • Fiala, Tomas
  • Havranek, Tomas

Abstract

Foreign-dominated banking sectors, such as those prevalent in Central and Eastern Europe, are susceptible to two major sources of systemic risk: (i) linkages between local banks and (ii) linkages between a foreign parent bank and its local subsidiary. During and after the global financial crisis, the second source of risk has been stressed by local regulators. Using a nonparametric method based on extreme value theory, we analyze interdependencies in downward risk in the banking sectors of the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia, and Turkey during 1994–2013. We find that the risk of contagion from a foreign parent bank to its local subsidiary is substantially smaller than the risk between two local banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Fiala, Tomas & Havranek, Tomas, 2017. "The sources of contagion risk in a banking sector with foreign ownership," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 108-121.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:60:y:2017:i:c:p:108-121
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.08.025
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    2. Alin Marius Andrieş & Simona Nistor, 2018. "Systemic Risk and Foreign Currency Positions of Banks: Evidence from Emerging Europe," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(5), pages 382-421, September.
    3. Ionut – Daniel Pop, 2019. "Systemic Sustainability of European Banking Activity: A Multi-Perspective Approach," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 9(3), pages 49-58, July.
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    5. Vaclav Broz & Dominika Kolcunova & Simona Malovana & Lukas Pfeifer, 2018. "Risk-Sensitive Capital Regulation," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, edition 1, volume 16, number rb16/1 edited by Simona Malovana & Jan Frait, January.
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    12. Yao, Yanzhen & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Wei, Lu, 2017. "Expected default based score for identifying systemically important banks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 589-600.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Systemic risk; Extreme value theory; Financial stability; Central and Eastern Europe; Banking; Parent–subsidiary relationship;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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